Toledo
W-L: (17-15) PR = 93.9468Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Troy SB (25- 9, 95.4) 51-88 1109 H Gonzaga WC (24- 9, 95.6) 69-72 1116 A Detroit HL ( 7-24, 92.3) 66-52 1119 H No Kentucky HL (15-17, 93.7) 61-70 1125 A Youngstown St HL (23-10, 94.4) 69-65 1202 A Morgan State MEAC ( 5-25, 90.9) 79-66 1206 H No Iowa MV (18-14, 94.3) 52-68 1214 H Ohio St B10 (27- 9, 97.9) 60-85 1222 A LB St BW ( 4-24, 91.8) 64-43 1231 A Buffalo MA ( 3-28, 91.6) 79-46 103 H Miami (OH) MA (27- 7, 95.4) 55-63 107 H Ball St MA (26- 7, 95.1) 68-72 110 A We Michigan MA ( 9-20, 92.8) 59-46 114 A No Illinois MA ( 7-24, 92.3) 70-49 114 A No Illinois MA ( 7-24, 92.3) 70-49 120 H Ea Michigan MA (13-17, 93.5) 71-76 124 A Ohio MA (17-15, 94.0) 75-66 128 A Kent State MA (14-16, 94.0) 59-53 131 A Bowling Grn MA (16-14, 93.8) 59-49 204 H Akron MA ( 4-25, 92.4) 74-77 207 A So Miss SB (16-16, 93.8) 76-67 210 H Ohio MA (17-15, 94.0) 67-71 214 A Ea Michigan MA (13-17, 93.5) 62-51 218 A Mass MA (24- 7, 94.8) 60-52 221 H Bowling Grn MA (16-14, 93.8) 52-61 225 H Ce Michigan MA (17-12, 94.3) 64-68 228 H Buffalo MA ( 3-28, 91.6) 66-69 304 A We Michigan MA ( 9-20, 92.8) 56-49 307 H Ball St MA (26- 7, 95.1) 71-78 311 A Mass MA (24- 7, 94.8) 67-56 313 A Ball St MA (26- 7, 95.1) 69-65 314 H Miami (OH) MA (27- 7, 95.4) 58-68
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Troy 51-88 -37 -1 -0.58
1109 H Gonzaga 69-72 -3 -2 -0.36
1116 A Detroit 66-52 14 2 0.37
1119 H No Kentucky 61-70 -9 0 - -2.27
1125 A Youngstown St 69-65 4 0 + 2.46
1202 A Morgan State 79-66 13 3 0.00
1206 H No Iowa 52-68 -16 0 -1.69
1214 H Ohio St 60-85 -25 -4 0.00
1222 A LB St 64-43 21 2 0.00
1231 A Buffalo 79-46 33 2 0.00
103 H Miami (OH) 55-63 -8 -1 -0.57
107 H Ball St 68-72 -4 -1 -0.82
110 A We Michigan 59-46 13 1 0.90
114 A No Illinois 70-49 21 2 0.39
114 A No Illinois 70-49 21 2 0.39
120 H Ea Michigan 71-76 -5 0 - -2.49
124 A Ohio 75-66 9 0 + 2.06
128 A Kent State 59-53 6 0 + 2.04
131 A Bowling Grn 59-49 10 0 1.91
204 H Akron 74-77 -3 2 - -3.58
207 A So Miss 76-67 9 0 1.82
210 H Ohio 67-71 -4 0 -1.96
214 A Ea Michigan 62-51 11 0 1.53
218 A Mass 60-52 8 -1 + 2.90
221 H Bowling Grn 52-61 -9 0 - -2.11
225 H Ce Michigan 64-68 -4 0 -1.61
228 H Buffalo 66-69 -3 2 -- -4.00
304 A We Michigan 56-49 7 1 0.90
307 H Ball St 71-78 -7 -1 -0.82
311 A Mass 67-56 11 -1 + 2.90
313 A Ball St 69-65 4 -1 + 3.20
314 H Miami (OH) 58-68 -10 -1 -0.57
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H Buffalo 66-69 -3 2 -- -4.00 1119 H No Kentucky 61-70 -9 0 - -2.27 120 H Ea Michigan 71-76 -5 0 - -2.49 204 H Akron 74-77 -3 2 - -3.58 221 H Bowling Grn 52-61 -9 0 - -2.11 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1125 A Youngstown St 69-65 4 0 + 2.46 124 A Ohio 75-66 9 0 + 2.06 128 A Kent State 59-53 6 0 + 2.04 218 A Mass 60-52 8 -1 + 2.90 311 A Mass 67-56 11 -1 + 2.90 313 A Ball St 69-65 4 -1 + 3.20 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Troy (25- 9, 95.4) 51-88 -4.52 6.44 -0.01 0.95 -2.15
3 H Gonzaga (24- 9, 95.6) 69-72 -4.31 6.65 -0.01 0.95 -2.05
3 A Detroit ( 7-24, 92.3) 66-52 -7.59 3.37 0.01 0.95 6.41
3 H No Kentucky (15-17, 93.7) 61-70 -6.21 4.75 -0.01 0.95 -2.95
3 A Youngstown St (23-10, 94.4) 69-65 -5.50 5.46 0.01 0.95 10.38
3 A Morgan State ( 5-25, 90.9) 79-66 -9.02 1.94 0.01 0.95 3.69
3 H No Iowa (18-14, 94.3) 52-68 -5.63 5.33 -0.01 0.95 -2.67
3 H Ohio St (27- 9, 97.9) 60-85 -1.98 8.98 -0.01 0.95 -0.94
3 A LB St ( 4-24, 91.8) 64-43 -8.13 2.83 0.01 0.95 5.39
3 A Buffalo ( 3-28, 91.6) 79-46 -8.29 2.67 0.01 0.95 5.08
3 H Miami (OH) (27- 7, 95.4) 55-63 -4.51 6.45 -0.01 0.95 -2.14
3 H Ball St (26- 7, 95.1) 68-72 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 0.95 -2.26
3 A We Michigan ( 9-20, 92.8) 59-46 -7.06 3.90 0.01 0.95 7.41
3 A No Illinois ( 7-24, 92.3) 70-49 -7.57 3.39 0.01 0.95 6.44
3 A No Illinois ( 7-24, 92.3) 70-49 -7.57 3.39 0.01 0.95 6.44
3 H Ea Michigan (13-17, 93.5) 71-76 -6.44 4.52 -0.01 0.95 -3.06
3 A Ohio (17-15, 94.0) 75-66 -5.91 5.05 0.01 0.95 9.60
3 A Kent State (14-16, 94.0) 59-53 -5.93 5.03 0.01 0.95 9.57
3 A Bowling Grn (16-14, 93.8) 59-49 -6.05 4.91 0.01 0.95 9.33
3 H Akron ( 4-25, 92.4) 74-77 -7.52 3.44 -0.01 0.95 -3.57
3 A So Miss (16-16, 93.8) 76-67 -6.14 4.82 0.01 0.95 9.16
3 H Ohio (17-15, 94.0) 67-71 -5.91 5.05 -0.01 0.95 -2.81
3 A Ea Michigan (13-17, 93.5) 62-51 -6.44 4.52 0.01 0.95 8.60
3 A Mass (24- 7, 94.8) 60-52 -5.06 5.90 0.01 0.95 11.21
3 H Bowling Grn (16-14, 93.8) 52-61 -6.05 4.91 -0.01 0.95 -2.88
3 H Ce Michigan (17-12, 94.3) 64-68 -5.56 5.40 -0.01 0.95 -2.64
3 H Buffalo ( 3-28, 91.6) 66-69 -8.29 2.67 -0.01 0.95 -3.94
3 A We Michigan ( 9-20, 92.8) 56-49 -7.06 3.90 0.01 0.95 7.41
3 H Ball St (26- 7, 95.1) 71-78 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 0.95 -2.26
3 A Mass (24- 7, 94.8) 67-56 -5.06 5.90 0.01 0.95 11.21
3 A Ball St (26- 7, 95.1) 69-65 -4.76 6.20 0.01 0.95 11.78
3 H Miami (OH) (27- 7, 95.4) 58-68 -4.51 6.45 -0.01 0.95 -2.14
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100.65
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winning pts = 139.1076 losing points = -38.4587
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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