Towson
W-L: (16-14) PR = 93.3420Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 H Va Tech ACC (23-10, 96.3) 56-** 1111 A Stetson AS (18-12, 93.9) 76-54 1113 H Maryland B10 (24- 9, 97.2) 70-88 1116 A Coppin St MEAC ( 9-23, 91.8) 65-54 1123 A UMBC AE (15-15, 93.5) 71-64 1126 H Georgetown BE (13-17, 94.5) 67-94 1130 H Delaware CUSA (12-19, 93.3) 80-91 1204 H Loyola-MD PAT L (13-18, 92.8) 63-64 1217 A MD-Ea Shore MEAC (20-15, 93.4) 87-86 1220 A Lehigh PAT L (17-16, 93.4) 75-67 1230 A Morgan State MEAC ( 5-25, 90.9) 63-61 102 A Campbell CA (19-12, 93.5) 57-54 109 A Hofstra CA (11-22, 92.5) 47-46 111 A UNC-Wilm CA ( 6-24, 91.6) 79-68 116 H Monmouth CA (19-13, 93.4) 53-56 118 H Stony Brook CA (16-15, 93.3) 43-55 123 A Hofstra CA (11-22, 92.5) 58-55 124 H Drexel CA (21-10, 93.8) 45-68 130 A NC A&T CA ( 8-19, 92.2) 59-57 201 H Elon CA (15-16, 93.0) 54-68 206 H Will&Mary CA (16-14, 93.2) 51-52 208 A Northeastern CA ( 8-21, 92.1) 63-55 213 A Hampton CA ( 7-21, 92.1) 69-44 215 H Will&Mary CA (16-14, 93.2) 70-75 220 H Charlotte AME (38-24, 94.3) 78-88 222 A Stony Brook CA (16-15, 93.3) 73-68 227 A Campbell CA (19-12, 93.5) 63-55 305 H Monmouth CA (19-13, 93.4) 77-83 307 A Drexel CA (21-10, 93.8) 74-58 312 H Hofstra CA (11-22, 92.5) 71-72
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 H Va Tech 56-** -44 -3 0.00
1111 A Stetson 76-54 22 -1 + 2.60
1113 H Maryland 70-88 -18 -4 0.00
1116 A Coppin St 65-54 11 2 0.42
1123 A UMBC 71-64 7 0 + 2.20
1126 H Georgetown 67-94 -27 -1 -0.87
1130 H Delaware 80-91 -11 0 - -2.09
1204 H Loyola-MD 63-64 -1 1 -1.58
1217 A MD-Ea Shore 87-86 1 0 1.03
1220 A Lehigh 75-67 8 0 + 2.08
1230 A Morgan State 63-61 2 2 0.00
102 A Campbell 57-54 3 0 + 2.13
109 A Hofstra 47-46 1 1 0.21
111 A UNC-Wilm 79-68 11 2 0.23
116 H Monmouth 53-56 -3 0 -1.99
118 H Stony Brook 43-55 -12 0 - -2.03
123 A Hofstra 58-55 3 1 1.21
124 H Drexel 45-68 -23 0 -1.54
130 A NC A&T 59-57 2 1 0.83
201 H Elon 54-68 -14 0 - -2.33
206 H Will&Mary 51-52 -1 0 -1.15
208 A Northeastern 63-55 8 1 0.77
213 A Hampton 69-44 25 1 0.72
215 H Will&Mary 70-75 -5 0 - -2.15
220 H Charlotte 78-88 -10 -1 -1.03
222 A Stony Brook 73-68 5 0 1.99
227 A Campbell 63-55 8 0 + 2.13
305 H Monmouth 77-83 -6 0 -1.99
307 A Drexel 74-58 16 0 + 2.48
312 H Hofstra 71-72 -1 1 -1.81
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1130 H Delaware 80-91 -11 0 - -2.09 118 H Stony Brook 43-55 -12 0 - -2.03 201 H Elon 54-68 -14 0 - -2.33 215 H Will&Mary 70-75 -5 0 - -2.15 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1111 A Stetson 76-54 22 -1 + 2.60 1123 A UMBC 71-64 7 0 + 2.20 1220 A Lehigh 75-67 8 0 + 2.08 102 A Campbell 57-54 3 0 + 2.13 227 A Campbell 63-55 8 0 + 2.13 307 A Drexel 74-58 16 0 + 2.48 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Va Tech (23-10, 96.3) 56-** -3.62 7.34 -0.01 1.01 -1.84
3 A Stetson (18-12, 93.9) 76-54 -5.97 4.99 0.01 1.01 10.12
3 H Maryland (24- 9, 97.2) 70-88 -2.68 8.28 -0.01 1.01 -1.36
3 A Coppin St ( 9-23, 91.8) 65-54 -8.14 2.82 0.01 1.01 5.72
3 A UMBC (15-15, 93.5) 71-64 -6.37 4.59 0.01 1.01 9.30
3 H Georgetown (13-17, 94.5) 67-94 -5.41 5.55 -0.01 1.01 -2.74
3 H Delaware (12-19, 93.3) 80-91 -6.64 4.32 -0.01 1.01 -3.36
3 H Loyola-MD (13-18, 92.8) 63-64 -7.13 3.83 -0.01 1.01 -3.61
3 A MD-Ea Shore (20-15, 93.4) 87-86 -6.54 4.42 0.01 1.01 8.97
3 A Lehigh (17-16, 93.4) 75-67 -6.49 4.47 0.01 1.01 9.06
3 A Morgan State ( 5-25, 90.9) 63-61 -9.02 1.94 0.01 1.01 3.94
3 A Campbell (19-12, 93.5) 57-54 -6.44 4.52 0.01 1.01 9.16
3 A Hofstra (11-22, 92.5) 47-46 -7.36 3.60 0.01 1.01 7.30
3 A UNC-Wilm ( 6-24, 91.6) 79-68 -8.34 2.62 0.01 1.01 5.32
3 H Monmouth (19-13, 93.4) 53-56 -6.54 4.42 -0.01 1.01 -3.31
3 H Stony Brook (16-15, 93.3) 43-55 -6.58 4.38 -0.01 1.01 -3.33
3 A Hofstra (11-22, 92.5) 58-55 -7.36 3.60 0.01 1.01 7.30
3 H Drexel (21-10, 93.8) 45-68 -6.09 4.87 -0.01 1.01 -3.08
3 A NC A&T ( 8-19, 92.2) 59-57 -7.73 3.23 0.01 1.01 6.55
3 H Elon (15-16, 93.0) 54-68 -6.87 4.09 -0.01 1.01 -3.48
3 H Will&Mary (16-14, 93.2) 51-52 -6.70 4.26 -0.01 1.01 -3.39
3 A Northeastern ( 8-21, 92.1) 63-55 -7.80 3.16 0.01 1.01 6.41
3 A Hampton ( 7-21, 92.1) 69-44 -7.84 3.12 0.01 1.01 6.33
3 H Will&Mary (16-14, 93.2) 70-75 -6.70 4.26 -0.01 1.01 -3.39
3 H Charlotte (38-24, 94.3) 78-88 -5.57 5.39 -0.01 1.01 -2.82
3 A Stony Brook (16-15, 93.3) 73-68 -6.58 4.38 0.01 1.01 8.88
3 A Campbell (19-12, 93.5) 63-55 -6.44 4.52 0.01 1.01 9.16
3 H Monmouth (19-13, 93.4) 77-83 -6.54 4.42 -0.01 1.01 -3.31
3 A Drexel (21-10, 93.8) 74-58 -6.09 4.87 0.01 1.01 9.88
3 H Hofstra (11-22, 92.5) 71-72 -7.36 3.60 -0.01 1.01 -3.73
------
80.63
|
winning pts = 123.4098 losing points = -42.7796
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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