Tarleton St
W-L: (13-17) PR = 93.2490Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A SCHRE 90-35 1107 H Arkansas St SB (25-10, 94.9) 77-87 1109 A Houston Chr SL ( 7-21, 91.7) 75-** 1113 H Texas A&M SEC T (14-13, 96.3) 64-79 1116 H McNeese SL (27- 6, 95.1) 47-49 1120 H TCU B12 (33- 5, 97.6) 32-80 1125 A TX St-SM SB (10-20, 93.0) 56-45 1202 A Miss Val St SWAC ( 9-22, 91.3) 66-50 1219 A Buffalo MA ( 3-28, 91.6) 70-65 1220 H Montana BS ( 8-22, 92.9) 85-90 1229 A UT Arlington WAC U (12-21, 93.2) 66-57 101 H Utah Valley WAC U (15-15, 93.6) 49-74 103 H Cal Baptist WAC C (23-11, 94.4) 68-80 108 H Abilene Chr WAC A (23-11, 94.2) 59-64 115 A So Utah WAC S (15-12, 93.8) 81-55 117 A Utah Tech WAC U ( 8-20, 92.6) 64-60 121 A UT Arlington WAC U (12-21, 93.2) 51-37 129 H Utah Valley WAC U (15-15, 93.6) 67-70 131 A Utah Tech WAC U ( 8-20, 92.6) 63-45 203 H Abilene Chr WAC A (23-11, 94.2) 65-68 205 H Cal Baptist WAC C (23-11, 94.4) 67-77 207 A So Utah WAC S (15-12, 93.8) 59-57 214 H Abilene Chr WAC A (23-11, 94.2) 67-72 218 H So Utah WAC S (15-12, 93.8) 69-76 221 H Utah Tech WAC U ( 8-20, 92.6) 55-76 226 H Utah Valley WAC U (15-15, 93.6) 51-65 228 H Cal Baptist WAC C (23-11, 94.4) 67-76 305 A UT Arlington WAC U (12-21, 93.2) 65-54 312 A Utah Valley WAC U (15-15, 93.6) 60-57 313 H Cal Baptist WAC C (23-11, 94.4) 60-77
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1107 H Arkansas St 77-87 -10 -2 -0.33
1109 A Houston Chr 75-** 131 2 0.49
1113 H Texas A&M 64-79 -15 -3 0.00
1116 H McNeese 47-49 -2 -2 -0.15
1120 H TCU 32-80 -48 -4 0.00
1125 A TX St-SM 56-45 11 0 1.72
1202 A Miss Val St 66-50 16 2 0.07
1219 A Buffalo 70-65 5 2 0.37
1220 H Montana 85-90 -5 0 - -2.38
1229 A UT Arlington 66-57 9 0 1.92
101 H Utah Valley 49-74 -25 0 -1.66
103 H Cal Baptist 68-80 -12 -1 -0.88
108 H Abilene Chr 59-64 -5 -1 -1.01
115 A So Utah 81-55 26 -1 + 2.58
117 A Utah Tech 64-60 4 1 1.31
121 A UT Arlington 51-37 14 0 1.92
129 H Utah Valley 67-70 -3 0 -1.66
131 A Utah Tech 63-45 18 1 1.31
203 H Abilene Chr 65-68 -3 -1 -1.01
205 H Cal Baptist 67-77 -10 -1 -0.88
207 A So Utah 59-57 2 -1 + 2.58
214 H Abilene Chr 67-72 -5 -1 -1.01
218 H So Utah 69-76 -7 -1 -1.44
221 H Utah Tech 55-76 -21 1 - -2.71
226 H Utah Valley 51-65 -14 0 -1.66
228 H Cal Baptist 67-76 -9 -1 -0.88
305 A UT Arlington 65-54 11 0 1.92
312 A Utah Valley 60-57 3 0 + 2.36
313 H Cal Baptist 60-77 -17 -1 -0.88
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1220 H Montana 85-90 -5 0 - -2.38 221 H Utah Tech 55-76 -21 1 - -2.71 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 115 A So Utah 81-55 26 -1 + 2.58 207 A So Utah 59-57 2 -1 + 2.58 312 A Utah Valley 60-57 3 0 + 2.36 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Arkansas St (25-10, 94.9) 77-87 -4.97 5.99 -0.01 1.05 -2.61
3 A Houston Chr ( 7-21, 91.7) 75-** -8.17 2.79 0.01 1.05 5.86
3 H Texas A&M (14-13, 96.3) 64-79 -3.58 7.38 -0.01 1.05 -1.88
3 H McNeese (27- 6, 95.1) 47-49 -4.79 6.17 -0.01 1.05 -2.51
3 H TCU (33- 5, 97.6) 32-80 -2.28 8.68 -0.01 1.05 -1.20
3 A TX St-SM (10-20, 93.0) 56-45 -6.94 4.02 0.01 1.05 8.44
3 A Miss Val St ( 9-22, 91.3) 66-50 -8.59 2.37 0.01 1.05 4.98
3 A Buffalo ( 3-28, 91.6) 70-65 -8.29 2.67 0.01 1.05 5.61
3 H Montana ( 8-22, 92.9) 85-90 -7.02 3.94 -0.01 1.05 -3.68
3 A UT Arlington (12-21, 93.2) 66-57 -6.75 4.21 0.01 1.05 8.84
3 H Utah Valley (15-15, 93.6) 49-74 -6.30 4.66 -0.01 1.05 -3.30
3 H Cal Baptist (23-11, 94.4) 68-80 -5.52 5.44 -0.01 1.05 -2.90
3 H Abilene Chr (23-11, 94.2) 59-64 -5.65 5.31 -0.01 1.05 -2.96
3 A So Utah (15-12, 93.8) 81-55 -6.08 4.88 0.01 1.05 10.23
3 A Utah Tech ( 8-20, 92.6) 64-60 -7.35 3.61 0.01 1.05 7.58
3 A UT Arlington (12-21, 93.2) 51-37 -6.75 4.21 0.01 1.05 8.84
3 H Utah Valley (15-15, 93.6) 67-70 -6.30 4.66 -0.01 1.05 -3.30
3 A Utah Tech ( 8-20, 92.6) 63-45 -7.35 3.61 0.01 1.05 7.58
3 H Abilene Chr (23-11, 94.2) 65-68 -5.65 5.31 -0.01 1.05 -2.96
3 H Cal Baptist (23-11, 94.4) 67-77 -5.52 5.44 -0.01 1.05 -2.90
3 A So Utah (15-12, 93.8) 59-57 -6.08 4.88 0.01 1.05 10.23
3 H Abilene Chr (23-11, 94.2) 67-72 -5.65 5.31 -0.01 1.05 -2.96
3 H So Utah (15-12, 93.8) 69-76 -6.08 4.88 -0.01 1.05 -3.19
3 H Utah Tech ( 8-20, 92.6) 55-76 -7.35 3.61 -0.01 1.05 -3.85
3 H Utah Valley (15-15, 93.6) 51-65 -6.30 4.66 -0.01 1.05 -3.30
3 H Cal Baptist (23-11, 94.4) 67-76 -5.52 5.44 -0.01 1.05 -2.90
3 A UT Arlington (12-21, 93.2) 65-54 -6.75 4.21 0.01 1.05 8.84
3 A Utah Valley (15-15, 93.6) 60-57 -6.30 4.66 0.01 1.05 9.78
3 H Cal Baptist (23-11, 94.4) 60-77 -5.52 5.44 -0.01 1.05 -2.90
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47.53
|
winning pts = 96.8175 losing points = -49.2832
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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