UC Davis
W-L: (21-11) PR = 94.1813Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1107 A Idaho BS (27- 6, 94.9) 89-76 1112 A Weber St BS ( 9-21, 92.8) 75-52 1114 H Boise St MW (24- 9, 94.8) 77-91 1120 H Stanford ACC (20-14, 95.7) 45-70 1124 A Sacra St BS (14-18, 93.4) 70-67 1128 A Jacksonv St CUSA (15-16, 93.4) 69-59 1129 A WI-Milw HL ( 7-25, 92.3) 81-72 1204 A Hawaii BW (20-11, 94.2) 68-63 1206 H Gonzaga WC (24- 9, 95.6) 72-83 1220 H No Colorado BS (20-11, 94.2) 47-57 101 A Northridge BW ( 8-20, 92.5) 85-66 103 A CS Baker BW ( 6-22, 92.0) 69-59 108 H Santa Barbara BW (19-10, 93.9) 47-55 110 A Cal Poly BW ( 3-26, 91.1) 87-61 115 A CS Fullerton BW (16-15, 93.3) 73-67 117 H UC Irvine BW (26- 7, 94.6) 42-73 122 A UC San Diego BW (24- 9, 94.5) 66-62 124 A Ca Riverside BW ( 9-21, 92.8) 81-68 129 A Northridge BW ( 8-20, 92.5) 68-51 131 A CS Baker BW ( 6-22, 92.0) 76-68 205 H Santa Barbara BW (19-10, 93.9) 61-69 207 A Cal Poly BW ( 3-26, 91.1) 59-55 212 A UC San Diego BW (24- 9, 94.5) 88-35 214 A LB St BW ( 4-24, 91.8) 77-66 219 A CS Fullerton BW (16-15, 93.3) 70-64 221 A Ca Riverside BW ( 9-21, 92.8) 65-56 227 H Hawaii BW (20-11, 94.2) 46-67 305 A LB St BW ( 4-24, 91.8) 59-56 307 H UC Irvine BW (26- 7, 94.6) 58-70 312 A Ca Riverside BW ( 9-21, 92.8) 70-59 313 H UC San Diego BW (24- 9, 94.5) 79-84 319 H Pepperdine WC (19-13, 94.5) 68-71
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1107 A Idaho 89-76 13 -1 + 2.77
1112 A Weber St 75-52 23 1 0.65
1114 H Boise St 77-91 -14 -1 -1.44
1120 H Stanford 45-70 -25 -2 -0.46
1124 A Sacra St 70-67 3 1 1.20
1128 A Jacksonv St 69-59 10 1 1.20
1129 A WI-Milw 81-72 9 2 0.10
1204 A Hawaii 68-63 5 0 + 2.05
1206 H Gonzaga 72-83 -11 -1 -0.60
1220 H No Colorado 47-57 -10 0 - -2.02
101 A Northridge 85-66 19 2 0.37
103 A CS Baker 69-59 10 2 0.00
108 H Santa Barbara 47-55 -8 0 - -2.26
110 A Cal Poly 87-61 26 3 0.00
115 A CS Fullerton 73-67 6 1 1.15
117 H UC Irvine 42-73 -31 0 -1.56
122 A UC San Diego 66-62 4 0 + 2.32
124 A Ca Riverside 81-68 13 1 0.62
129 A Northridge 68-51 17 2 0.37
131 A CS Baker 76-68 8 2 0.00
205 H Santa Barbara 61-69 -8 0 - -2.26
207 A Cal Poly 59-55 4 3 0.00
212 A UC San Diego 88-35 53 0 + 2.32
214 A LB St 77-66 11 2 0.00
219 A CS Fullerton 70-64 6 1 1.15
221 A Ca Riverside 65-56 9 1 0.62
227 H Hawaii 46-67 -21 0 -1.97
305 A LB St 59-56 3 2 0.00
307 H UC Irvine 58-70 -12 0 -1.56
312 A Ca Riverside 70-59 11 1 0.62
313 H UC San Diego 79-84 -5 0 -1.70
319 H Pepperdine 68-71 -3 0 -1.69
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1220 H No Colorado 47-57 -10 0 - -2.02 108 H Santa Barbara 47-55 -8 0 - -2.26 205 H Santa Barbara 61-69 -8 0 - -2.26 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1107 A Idaho 89-76 13 -1 + 2.77 1204 A Hawaii 68-63 5 0 + 2.05 122 A UC San Diego 66-62 4 0 + 2.32 212 A UC San Diego 88-35 53 0 + 2.32 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Idaho (27- 6, 94.9) 89-76 -4.96 6.00 0.01 0.95 11.39
3 A Weber St ( 9-21, 92.8) 75-52 -7.08 3.88 0.01 0.95 7.39
3 H Boise St (24- 9, 94.8) 77-91 -5.15 5.81 -0.01 0.95 -2.45
3 H Stanford (20-14, 95.7) 45-70 -4.17 6.79 -0.01 0.95 -1.98
3 A Sacra St (14-18, 93.4) 70-67 -6.53 4.43 0.01 0.95 8.42
3 A Jacksonv St (15-16, 93.4) 69-59 -6.53 4.43 0.01 0.95 8.42
3 A WI-Milw ( 7-25, 92.3) 81-72 -7.63 3.33 0.01 0.95 6.33
3 A Hawaii (20-11, 94.2) 68-63 -5.68 5.28 0.01 0.95 10.04
3 H Gonzaga (24- 9, 95.6) 72-83 -4.31 6.65 -0.01 0.95 -2.05
3 H No Colorado (20-11, 94.2) 47-57 -5.73 5.23 -0.01 0.95 -2.72
3 A Northridge ( 8-20, 92.5) 85-66 -7.35 3.61 0.01 0.95 6.86
3 A CS Baker ( 6-22, 92.0) 69-59 -7.86 3.10 0.01 0.95 5.90
3 H Santa Barbara (19-10, 93.9) 47-55 -5.97 4.99 -0.01 0.95 -2.84
3 A Cal Poly ( 3-26, 91.1) 87-61 -8.78 2.18 0.01 0.95 4.15
3 A CS Fullerton (16-15, 93.3) 73-67 -6.58 4.38 0.01 0.95 8.33
3 H UC Irvine (26- 7, 94.6) 42-73 -5.27 5.69 -0.01 0.95 -2.50
3 A UC San Diego (24- 9, 94.5) 66-62 -5.41 5.55 0.01 0.95 10.55
3 A Ca Riverside ( 9-21, 92.8) 81-68 -7.11 3.86 0.01 0.95 7.33
3 A Northridge ( 8-20, 92.5) 68-51 -7.35 3.61 0.01 0.95 6.86
3 A CS Baker ( 6-22, 92.0) 76-68 -7.86 3.10 0.01 0.95 5.90
3 H Santa Barbara (19-10, 93.9) 61-69 -5.97 4.99 -0.01 0.95 -2.84
3 A Cal Poly ( 3-26, 91.1) 59-55 -8.78 2.18 0.01 0.95 4.15
3 A UC San Diego (24- 9, 94.5) 88-35 -5.41 5.55 0.01 0.95 10.55
3 A LB St ( 4-24, 91.8) 77-66 -8.13 2.83 0.01 0.95 5.39
3 A CS Fullerton (16-15, 93.3) 70-64 -6.58 4.38 0.01 0.95 8.33
3 A Ca Riverside ( 9-21, 92.8) 65-56 -7.11 3.86 0.01 0.95 7.33
3 H Hawaii (20-11, 94.2) 46-67 -5.68 5.28 -0.01 0.95 -2.70
3 A LB St ( 4-24, 91.8) 59-56 -8.13 2.83 0.01 0.95 5.39
3 H UC Irvine (26- 7, 94.6) 58-70 -5.27 5.69 -0.01 0.95 -2.50
3 A Ca Riverside ( 9-21, 92.8) 70-59 -7.11 3.86 0.01 0.95 7.33
3 H UC San Diego (24- 9, 94.5) 79-84 -5.41 5.55 -0.01 0.95 -2.57
3 H Pepperdine (19-13, 94.5) 68-71 -5.40 5.56 -0.01 0.95 -2.57
------
128.63
|
winning pts = 156.3327 losing points = -27.7066
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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