UC Irvine
W-L: (26- 7) PR = 94.6290Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1105 A San Diego WC (10-21, 93.3) 72-54 1109 H Arizona B12 (12-18, 94.7) 61-75 1112 H Idaho St BS (18-11, 94.2) 49-61 1115 A No Arizona BS ( 9-22, 92.9) 90-75 1121 A Bowling Grn MA (16-14, 93.8) 75-50 1122 A St Thomas MN SM (11-16, 93.4) 63-55 1128 A Wichita St AME ( 7-23, 93.0) 58-52 1129 A Colgate PAT ( 6-25, 91.9) 82-48 1204 A Ca Riverside BW ( 9-21, 92.8) 77-40 1206 A Northridge BW ( 8-20, 92.5) 72-46 1213 A Cal Baptist WAC C (23-11, 94.4) 77-57 1216 A NM St CUSA ( 7-21, 92.7) 83-66 1218 A TX-El Paso CUSA (11-17, 93.1) 93-72 101 A CS Baker BW ( 6-22, 92.0) 82-63 103 A CS Fullerton BW (16-15, 93.3) 64-51 108 A LB St BW ( 4-24, 91.8) 78-59 110 A Hawaii BW (20-11, 94.2) 50-47 117 A UC Davis BW (21-11, 94.2) 73-42 122 A Ca Riverside BW ( 9-21, 92.8) 74-68 124 H UC San Diego BW (24- 9, 94.5) 66-68 130 H Hawaii BW (20-11, 94.2) 50-55 205 A CS Baker BW ( 6-22, 92.0) 85-53 207 A Santa Barbara BW (19-10, 93.9) 63-41 212 A Cal Poly BW ( 3-26, 91.1) 84-39 214 A CS Fullerton BW (16-15, 93.3) 77-71 219 A LB St BW ( 4-24, 91.8) 77-62 221 A UC San Diego BW (24- 9, 94.5) 70-68 226 A Northridge BW ( 8-20, 92.5) 60-57 228 H Santa Barbara BW (19-10, 93.9) 62-70 305 A Cal Poly BW ( 3-26, 91.1) 85-65 307 A UC Davis BW (21-11, 94.2) 70-58 313 H Hawaii BW (20-11, 94.2) 63-67 319 H San Diego St MW (25- 6, 95.5) 55-61
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1105 A San Diego 72-54 18 1 0.66
1109 H Arizona 61-75 -14 0 -1.97
1112 H Idaho St 49-61 -12 0 - -2.46
1115 A No Arizona 90-75 15 2 0.26
1121 A Bowling Grn 75-50 25 1 1.23
1122 A St Thomas MN 63-55 8 1 0.76
1128 A Wichita St 58-52 6 2 0.34
1129 A Colgate 82-48 34 3 0.00
1204 A Ca Riverside 77-40 37 2 0.18
1206 A Northridge 72-46 26 2 0.00
1213 A Cal Baptist 77-57 20 0 1.76
1216 A NM St 83-66 17 2 0.09
1218 A TX-El Paso 93-72 21 1 0.52
101 A CS Baker 82-63 19 3 0.00
103 A CS Fullerton 64-51 13 1 0.70
108 A LB St 78-59 19 3 0.00
110 A Hawaii 50-47 3 0 1.60
117 A UC Davis 73-42 31 0 1.56
122 A Ca Riverside 74-68 6 2 0.18
124 H UC San Diego 66-68 -2 0 - -2.14
130 H Hawaii 50-55 -5 0 - -2.42
205 A CS Baker 85-53 32 3 0.00
207 A Santa Barbara 63-41 22 1 1.31
212 A Cal Poly 84-39 45 4 0.00
214 A CS Fullerton 77-71 6 1 0.70
219 A LB St 77-62 15 3 0.00
221 A UC San Diego 70-68 2 0 1.88
226 A Northridge 60-57 3 2 0.00
228 H Santa Barbara 62-70 -8 1 - -2.71
305 A Cal Poly 85-65 20 4 0.00
307 A UC Davis 70-58 12 0 1.56
313 H Hawaii 63-67 -4 0 - -2.42
319 H San Diego St 55-61 -6 -1 -1.16
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1112 H Idaho St 49-61 -12 0 - -2.46 124 H UC San Diego 66-68 -2 0 - -2.14 130 H Hawaii 50-55 -5 0 - -2.42 228 H Santa Barbara 62-70 -8 1 - -2.71 313 H Hawaii 63-67 -4 0 - -2.42 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A San Diego (10-21, 93.3) 72-54 -6.62 4.34 0.01 0.92 8.00
3 H Arizona (12-18, 94.7) 61-75 -5.23 5.73 -0.01 0.92 -2.41
3 H Idaho St (18-11, 94.2) 49-61 -5.72 5.24 -0.01 0.92 -2.64
3 A No Arizona ( 9-22, 92.9) 90-75 -7.02 3.94 0.01 0.92 7.26
3 A Bowling Grn (16-14, 93.8) 75-50 -6.05 4.91 0.01 0.92 9.04
3 A St Thomas MN (11-16, 93.4) 63-55 -6.53 4.43 0.01 0.92 8.17
3 A Wichita St ( 7-23, 93.0) 58-52 -6.94 4.02 0.01 0.92 7.42
3 A Colgate ( 6-25, 91.9) 82-48 -8.03 2.93 0.01 0.92 5.40
3 A Ca Riverside ( 9-21, 92.8) 77-40 -7.11 3.86 0.01 0.92 7.11
3 A Northridge ( 8-20, 92.5) 72-46 -7.35 3.61 0.01 0.92 6.65
3 A Cal Baptist (23-11, 94.4) 77-57 -5.52 5.44 0.01 0.92 10.02
3 A NM St ( 7-21, 92.7) 83-66 -7.19 3.77 0.01 0.92 6.95
3 A TX-El Paso (11-17, 93.1) 93-72 -6.76 4.20 0.01 0.92 7.75
3 A CS Baker ( 6-22, 92.0) 82-63 -7.86 3.10 0.01 0.92 5.72
3 A CS Fullerton (16-15, 93.3) 64-51 -6.58 4.38 0.01 0.92 8.07
3 A LB St ( 4-24, 91.8) 78-59 -8.13 2.83 0.01 0.92 5.23
3 A Hawaii (20-11, 94.2) 50-47 -5.68 5.28 0.01 0.92 9.74
3 A UC Davis (21-11, 94.2) 73-42 -5.72 5.24 0.01 0.92 9.66
3 A Ca Riverside ( 9-21, 92.8) 74-68 -7.11 3.86 0.01 0.92 7.11
3 H UC San Diego (24- 9, 94.5) 66-68 -5.41 5.55 -0.01 0.92 -2.49
3 H Hawaii (20-11, 94.2) 50-55 -5.68 5.28 -0.01 0.92 -2.62
3 A CS Baker ( 6-22, 92.0) 85-53 -7.86 3.10 0.01 0.92 5.72
3 A Santa Barbara (19-10, 93.9) 63-41 -5.97 4.99 0.01 0.92 9.20
3 A Cal Poly ( 3-26, 91.1) 84-39 -8.78 2.18 0.01 0.92 4.02
3 A CS Fullerton (16-15, 93.3) 77-71 -6.58 4.38 0.01 0.92 8.07
3 A LB St ( 4-24, 91.8) 77-62 -8.13 2.83 0.01 0.92 5.23
3 A UC San Diego (24- 9, 94.5) 70-68 -5.41 5.55 0.01 0.92 10.23
3 A Northridge ( 8-20, 92.5) 60-57 -7.35 3.61 0.01 0.92 6.65
3 H Santa Barbara (19-10, 93.9) 62-70 -5.97 4.99 -0.01 0.92 -2.75
3 A Cal Poly ( 3-26, 91.1) 85-65 -8.78 2.18 0.01 0.92 4.02
3 A UC Davis (21-11, 94.2) 70-58 -5.72 5.24 0.01 0.92 9.66
3 H Hawaii (20-11, 94.2) 63-67 -5.68 5.28 -0.01 0.92 -2.62
3 H San Diego St (25- 6, 95.5) 55-61 -4.42 6.54 -0.01 0.92 -2.04
------
174.54
|
winning pts = 192.0942 losing points = -17.5531
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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