Connecticut
W-L: (38- 1) PR = 99.3458Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 A Louisville ACC (29- 8, 97.5) 79-66 1109 A Florida St ACC (11-20, 94.8) 99-67 1112 A Loyola Chic A10 (16-19, 94.0) 85-31 1116 A Ohio St B10 (27- 9, 97.9) **-68 1121 A Michigan B10 (27- 7, 98.0) 72-69 1123 A Utah B12 (17-14, 95.8) 93-41 1130 A Xavier BE (11-19, 93.8) **-39 1202 A So Florida AME (20-12, 95.4) 85-51 1207 A DePaul BE ( 8-24, 93.6) **-35 1213 A USC B10 (18-14, 96.8) 79-51 1217 A Marquette BE (16-13, 95.1) 89-53 1220 A Iowa B10 (27- 7, 98.0) 90-64 1228 A Butler BE (13-19, 94.2) 94-47 1231 A Providence BE (14-19, 94.2) 90-53 103 A Seton Hall BE (20-13, 95.4) 84-48 107 A St. John's BE (21-12, 95.3) 88-43 111 A Creighton BE (15-15, 95.0) 95-54 115 A Villanova BE (25- 8, 96.3) 99-50 119 A Notre Dame ACC (25-11, 97.1) 85-47 122 A Georgetown BE (13-17, 94.5) 83-42 124 A Seton Hall BE (20-13, 95.4) 92-52 128 A Xavier BE (11-19, 93.8) 97-39 201 A Tennessee SEC (15-14, 96.6) 96-66 204 A DePaul BE ( 8-24, 93.6) 86-40 207 A Butler BE (13-19, 94.2) 80-48 211 A Creighton BE (15-15, 95.0) 94-44 214 A Marquette BE (16-13, 95.1) 71-56 218 A Villanova BE (25- 8, 96.3) 83-69 222 A Providence BE (14-19, 94.2) 81-38 226 A Georgetown BE (13-17, 94.5) 84-52 301 A St. John's BE (21-12, 95.3) 85-49 307 A Georgetown BE (13-17, 94.5) 84-39 308 A Creighton BE (15-15, 95.0) **-51 309 A Villanova BE (25- 8, 96.3) 90-51 321 A Texas-SA AME (16-17, 94.6) 90-52 323 A Syracuse ACC (22-10, 96.5) 98-45 327 A No Carolina ACC (28- 8, 97.4) 63-42 329 A Notre Dame ACC (25-11, 97.1) 70-52 403 H So Carolina SEC (35- 4, 99.2) 48-62
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 A Louisville 79-66 13 2 0.19
1109 A Florida St 99-67 32 5 0.00
1112 A Loyola Chic 85-31 54 5 0.00
1116 A Ohio St **-68 32 1 0.59
1121 A Michigan 72-69 3 1 0.71
1123 A Utah 93-41 52 4 0.00
1130 A Xavier **-39 65 6 0.00
1202 A So Florida 85-51 34 4 0.00
1207 A DePaul **-35 67 6 0.00
1213 A USC 79-51 28 2 0.00
1217 A Marquette 89-53 36 4 0.00
1220 A Iowa 90-64 26 1 0.63
1228 A Butler 94-47 47 5 0.00
1231 A Providence 90-53 37 5 0.00
103 A Seton Hall 84-48 36 4 0.00
107 A St. John's 88-43 45 4 0.00
111 A Creighton 95-54 41 4 0.00
115 A Villanova 99-50 49 3 0.00
119 A Notre Dame 85-47 38 2 0.00
122 A Georgetown 83-42 41 5 0.00
124 A Seton Hall 92-52 40 4 0.00
128 A Xavier 97-39 58 6 0.00
201 A Tennessee 96-66 30 3 0.00
204 A DePaul 86-40 46 6 0.00
207 A Butler 80-48 32 5 0.00
211 A Creighton 94-44 50 4 0.00
214 A Marquette 71-56 15 4 0.00
218 A Villanova 83-69 14 3 0.00
222 A Providence 81-38 43 5 0.00
226 A Georgetown 84-52 32 5 0.00
301 A St. John's 85-49 36 4 0.00
307 A Georgetown 84-39 45 5 0.00
308 A Creighton **-51 49 4 0.00
309 A Villanova 90-51 39 3 0.00
321 A Texas-SA 90-52 38 5 0.00
323 A Syracuse 98-45 53 3 0.00
327 A No Carolina 63-42 21 2 0.08
329 A Notre Dame 70-52 18 2 0.00
403 H So Carolina 48-62 -14 0 - -2.19
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 403 H So Carolina 48-62 -14 0 - -2.19 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Louisville (29- 8, 97.5) 79-66 -2.37 8.59 0.01 0.78 13.38
3 A Florida St (11-20, 94.8) 99-67 -5.07 5.89 0.01 0.78 9.18
3 A Loyola Chic (16-19, 94.0) 85-31 -5.87 5.09 0.01 0.78 7.94
3 A Ohio St (27- 9, 97.9) **-68 -1.98 8.98 0.01 0.78 14.00
3 A Michigan (27- 7, 98.0) 72-69 -1.86 9.10 0.01 0.78 14.18
3 A Utah (17-14, 95.8) 93-41 -4.09 6.87 0.01 0.78 10.71
3 A Xavier (11-19, 93.8) **-39 -6.08 4.88 0.01 0.78 7.61
3 A So Florida (20-12, 95.4) 85-51 -4.47 6.49 0.01 0.78 10.12
3 A DePaul ( 8-24, 93.6) **-35 -6.35 4.61 0.01 0.78 7.19
3 A USC (18-14, 96.8) 79-51 -3.05 7.91 0.01 0.78 12.32
3 A Marquette (16-13, 95.1) 89-53 -4.80 6.16 0.01 0.78 9.61
3 A Iowa (27- 7, 98.0) 90-64 -1.94 9.03 0.01 0.78 14.06
3 A Butler (13-19, 94.2) 94-47 -5.66 5.30 0.01 0.78 8.26
3 A Providence (14-19, 94.2) 90-53 -5.67 5.29 0.01 0.78 8.25
3 A Seton Hall (20-13, 95.4) 84-48 -4.46 6.51 0.01 0.78 10.14
3 A St. John's (21-12, 95.3) 88-43 -4.63 6.33 0.01 0.78 9.87
3 A Creighton (15-15, 95.0) 95-54 -4.88 6.08 0.01 0.78 9.48
3 A Villanova (25- 8, 96.3) 99-50 -3.60 7.36 0.01 0.78 11.47
3 A Notre Dame (25-11, 97.1) 85-47 -2.80 8.16 0.01 0.78 12.72
3 A Georgetown (13-17, 94.5) 83-42 -5.41 5.55 0.01 0.78 8.65
3 A Seton Hall (20-13, 95.4) 92-52 -4.46 6.51 0.01 0.78 10.14
3 A Xavier (11-19, 93.8) 97-39 -6.08 4.88 0.01 0.78 7.61
3 A Tennessee (15-14, 96.6) 96-66 -3.34 7.62 0.01 0.78 11.88
3 A DePaul ( 8-24, 93.6) 86-40 -6.35 4.61 0.01 0.78 7.19
3 A Butler (13-19, 94.2) 80-48 -5.66 5.30 0.01 0.78 8.26
3 A Creighton (15-15, 95.0) 94-44 -4.88 6.08 0.01 0.78 9.48
3 A Marquette (16-13, 95.1) 71-56 -4.80 6.16 0.01 0.78 9.61
3 A Villanova (25- 8, 96.3) 83-69 -3.60 7.36 0.01 0.78 11.47
3 A Providence (14-19, 94.2) 81-38 -5.67 5.29 0.01 0.78 8.25
3 A Georgetown (13-17, 94.5) 84-52 -5.41 5.55 0.01 0.78 8.65
3 A St. John's (21-12, 95.3) 85-49 -4.63 6.33 0.01 0.78 9.87
3 A Georgetown (13-17, 94.5) 84-39 -5.41 5.55 0.01 0.78 8.65
3 A Creighton (15-15, 95.0) **-51 -4.88 6.08 0.01 0.78 9.48
3 A Villanova (25- 8, 96.3) 90-51 -3.60 7.36 0.01 0.78 11.47
3 A Texas-SA (16-17, 94.6) 90-52 -5.34 5.62 0.01 0.78 8.77
3 A Syracuse (22-10, 96.5) 98-45 -3.41 7.55 0.01 0.78 11.77
3 A No Carolina (28- 8, 97.4) 63-42 -2.48 8.48 0.01 0.78 13.21
3 A Notre Dame (25-11, 97.1) 70-52 -2.80 8.16 0.01 0.78 12.72
3 H So Carolina (35- 4, 99.2) 48-62 -0.74 10.22 -0.01 0.78 -0.29
------
387.34
|
winning pts = 387.6338 losing points = -0.2914
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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