Ca Riverside
W-L: ( 9-21) PR = 92.7948Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Cal Baptist WAC C (23-11, 94.4) 53-56 1106 H Arizona B12 (12-18, 94.7) 59-62 1114 H Saint Marys WC (13-17, 93.9) 41-51 1121 H Idaho BS (27- 6, 94.9) 75-89 1123 H Boise St MW (24- 9, 94.8) 56-67 1204 H UC Irvine BW (26- 7, 94.6) 40-77 1206 A Cal Poly BW ( 3-26, 91.1) 63-46 1214 H San Diego WC (10-21, 93.3) 56-63 1217 H Utah B12 (17-14, 95.8) 52-61 1221 H Gonzaga WC (24- 9, 95.6) 62-68 102 A Hawaii BW (20-11, 94.2) 65-58 108 A CS Baker BW ( 6-22, 92.0) 64-42 110 H UC San Diego BW (24- 9, 94.5) 54-70 115 A LB St BW ( 4-24, 91.8) 77-59 117 H CS Fullerton BW (16-15, 93.3) 71-83 122 H UC Irvine BW (26- 7, 94.6) 68-74 124 H UC Davis BW (21-11, 94.2) 68-81 129 H LB St BW ( 4-24, 91.8) 72-75 131 A Cal Poly BW ( 3-26, 91.1) 70-66 205 H CS Fullerton BW (16-15, 93.3) 78-82 207 H Northridge BW ( 8-20, 92.5) 53-58 212 A Santa Barbara BW (19-10, 93.9) 69-62 214 H UC San Diego BW (24- 9, 94.5) 68-79 219 A CS Baker BW ( 6-22, 92.0) 62-58 221 H UC Davis BW (21-11, 94.2) 56-65 226 H Santa Barbara BW (19-10, 93.9) 57-61 228 A Northridge BW ( 8-20, 92.5) 70-61 305 H Hawaii BW (20-11, 94.2) 56-89 311 A Santa Barbara BW (19-10, 93.9) 58-53 312 H UC Davis BW (21-11, 94.2) 59-70
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Cal Baptist 53-56 -3 -2 -0.43
1106 H Arizona 59-62 -3 -2 -0.14
1114 H Saint Marys 41-51 -10 -1 -0.93
1121 H Idaho 75-89 -14 -2 0.00
1123 H Boise St 56-67 -11 -2 -0.05
1204 H UC Irvine 40-77 -37 -2 -0.18
1206 A Cal Poly 63-46 17 2 0.33
1214 H San Diego 56-63 -7 0 -1.53
1217 H Utah 52-61 -9 -3 0.00
1221 H Gonzaga 62-68 -6 -3 0.00
102 A Hawaii 65-58 7 -1 + 3.44
108 A CS Baker 64-42 22 1 1.25
110 H UC San Diego 54-70 -16 -2 -0.31
115 A LB St 77-59 18 1 0.99
117 H CS Fullerton 71-83 -12 -1 -1.49
122 H UC Irvine 68-74 -6 -2 -0.18
124 H UC Davis 68-81 -13 -1 -0.62
129 H LB St 72-75 -3 1 - -3.03
131 A Cal Poly 70-66 4 2 0.33
205 H CS Fullerton 78-82 -4 -1 -1.49
207 H Northridge 53-58 -5 0 - -2.26
212 A Santa Barbara 69-62 7 -1 + 3.14
214 H UC San Diego 68-79 -11 -2 -0.31
219 A CS Baker 62-58 4 1 1.25
221 H UC Davis 56-65 -9 -1 -0.62
226 H Santa Barbara 57-61 -4 -1 -0.88
228 A Northridge 70-61 9 0 1.76
305 H Hawaii 56-89 -33 -1 -0.58
311 A Santa Barbara 58-53 5 -1 + 3.14
312 H UC Davis 59-70 -11 -1 -0.62
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 129 H LB St 72-75 -3 1 - -3.03 207 H Northridge 53-58 -5 0 - -2.26 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 102 A Hawaii 65-58 7 -1 + 3.44 212 A Santa Barbara 69-62 7 -1 + 3.14 311 A Santa Barbara 58-53 5 -1 + 3.14 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Cal Baptist (23-11, 94.4) 53-56 -5.52 5.44 -0.01 1.01 -2.80
3 H Arizona (12-18, 94.7) 59-62 -5.23 5.73 -0.01 1.01 -2.65
3 H Saint Marys (13-17, 93.9) 41-51 -6.03 4.93 -0.01 1.01 -3.05
3 H Idaho (27- 6, 94.9) 75-89 -4.96 6.00 -0.01 1.01 -2.52
3 H Boise St (24- 9, 94.8) 56-67 -5.15 5.81 -0.01 1.01 -2.61
3 H UC Irvine (26- 7, 94.6) 40-77 -5.27 5.69 -0.01 1.01 -2.67
3 A Cal Poly ( 3-26, 91.1) 63-46 -8.78 2.18 0.01 1.01 4.42
3 H San Diego (10-21, 93.3) 56-63 -6.62 4.34 -0.01 1.01 -3.35
3 H Utah (17-14, 95.8) 52-61 -4.09 6.87 -0.01 1.01 -2.07
3 H Gonzaga (24- 9, 95.6) 62-68 -4.31 6.65 -0.01 1.01 -2.18
3 A Hawaii (20-11, 94.2) 65-58 -5.68 5.28 0.01 1.01 10.71
3 A CS Baker ( 6-22, 92.0) 64-42 -7.86 3.10 0.01 1.01 6.29
3 H UC San Diego (24- 9, 94.5) 54-70 -5.41 5.55 -0.01 1.01 -2.74
3 A LB St ( 4-24, 91.8) 77-59 -8.13 2.83 0.01 1.01 5.75
3 H CS Fullerton (16-15, 93.3) 71-83 -6.58 4.38 -0.01 1.01 -3.33
3 H UC Irvine (26- 7, 94.6) 68-74 -5.27 5.69 -0.01 1.01 -2.67
3 H UC Davis (21-11, 94.2) 68-81 -5.72 5.24 -0.01 1.01 -2.90
3 H LB St ( 4-24, 91.8) 72-75 -8.13 2.83 -0.01 1.01 -4.12
3 A Cal Poly ( 3-26, 91.1) 70-66 -8.78 2.18 0.01 1.01 4.42
3 H CS Fullerton (16-15, 93.3) 78-82 -6.58 4.38 -0.01 1.01 -3.33
3 H Northridge ( 8-20, 92.5) 53-58 -7.35 3.61 -0.01 1.01 -3.73
3 A Santa Barbara (19-10, 93.9) 69-62 -5.97 4.99 0.01 1.01 10.12
3 H UC San Diego (24- 9, 94.5) 68-79 -5.41 5.55 -0.01 1.01 -2.74
3 A CS Baker ( 6-22, 92.0) 62-58 -7.86 3.10 0.01 1.01 6.29
3 H UC Davis (21-11, 94.2) 56-65 -5.72 5.24 -0.01 1.01 -2.90
3 H Santa Barbara (19-10, 93.9) 57-61 -5.97 4.99 -0.01 1.01 -3.03
3 A Northridge ( 8-20, 92.5) 70-61 -7.35 3.61 0.01 1.01 7.32
3 H Hawaii (20-11, 94.2) 56-89 -5.68 5.28 -0.01 1.01 -2.88
3 A Santa Barbara (19-10, 93.9) 58-53 -5.97 4.99 0.01 1.01 10.12
3 H UC Davis (21-11, 94.2) 59-70 -5.72 5.24 -0.01 1.01 -2.90
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4.27
|
winning pts = 65.4320 losing points = -61.1646
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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