Mass
W-L: (24- 7) PR = 94.8383Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Old Dominion SB (18-14, 94.5) 58-52 1108 A Siena MAAC (13-18, 91.8) 84-73 1111 A Harvard IVY (20-12, 95.2) 68-55 1118 A UMass Lowell AE ( 6-21, 91.8) 85-45 1122 A Boston Col ACC ( 5-26, 92.9) 61-52 1125 A Holy Cross PAT H (23-11, 94.1) 63-40 1203 A Northeastern CA ( 8-21, 92.1) 71-52 1206 H Army PAT (26- 7, 94.4) 61-64 1219 A Florida Atl AME (13-18, 93.8) 66-50 1220 H Youngstown St HL (23-10, 94.4) 69-72 1231 A We Michigan MA ( 9-20, 92.8) 73-40 103 A Kent State MA (14-16, 94.0) 75-70 107 H Miami (OH) MA (27- 7, 95.4) 60-72 110 A Ce Michigan MA (17-12, 94.3) 74-72 114 A Akron MA ( 4-25, 92.4) 82-68 114 A Akron MA ( 4-25, 92.4) 82-68 117 A Buffalo MA ( 3-28, 91.6) 79-67 121 H Ball St MA (26- 7, 95.1) 60-78 124 A Bowling Grn MA (16-14, 93.8) 65-64 128 A Ohio MA (17-15, 94.0) 85-76 204 A Ea Michigan MA (13-17, 93.5) 75-60 208 H Jam Madison SB (26- 9, 95.6) 57-71 210 A No Illinois MA ( 7-24, 92.3) 75-54 214 A Miami (OH) MA (27- 7, 95.4) 65-64 218 H Toledo MA (17-15, 93.9) 52-60 221 A Ce Michigan MA (17-12, 94.3) 69-50 225 A Kent State MA (14-16, 94.0) 66-56 228 A We Michigan MA ( 9-20, 92.8) 64-48 304 A Akron MA ( 4-25, 92.4) 74-64 307 A Buffalo MA ( 3-28, 91.6) 73-55 311 H Toledo MA (17-15, 93.9) 56-67
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Old Dominion 58-52 6 0 1.66
1108 A Siena 84-73 11 3 0.00
1111 A Harvard 68-55 13 0 + 2.34
1118 A UMass Lowell 85-45 40 3 0.00
1122 A Boston Col 61-52 9 2 0.05
1125 A Holy Cross 63-40 23 1 1.27
1203 A Northeastern 71-52 19 3 0.00
1206 H Army 61-64 -3 0 - -2.42
1219 A Florida Atl 66-50 16 1 1.00
1220 H Youngstown St 69-72 -3 0 - -2.45
1231 A We Michigan 73-40 33 2 0.01
103 A Kent State 75-70 5 1 1.14
107 H Miami (OH) 60-72 -12 -1 -1.46
110 A Ce Michigan 74-72 2 0 1.51
114 A Akron 82-68 14 2 0.00
114 A Akron 82-68 14 2 0.00
117 A Buffalo 79-67 12 3 0.00
121 H Ball St 60-78 -18 0 -1.71
124 A Bowling Grn 65-64 1 1 0.02
128 A Ohio 85-76 9 1 1.16
204 A Ea Michigan 75-60 15 1 0.63
208 H Jam Madison 57-71 -14 -1 -1.20
210 A No Illinois 75-54 21 3 0.00
214 A Miami (OH) 65-64 1 -1 1.56
218 H Toledo 52-60 -8 1 - -2.90
221 A Ce Michigan 69-50 19 0 1.51
225 A Kent State 66-56 10 1 1.14
228 A We Michigan 64-48 16 2 0.01
304 A Akron 74-64 10 2 0.00
307 A Buffalo 73-55 18 3 0.00
311 H Toledo 56-67 -11 1 - -2.90
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1206 H Army 61-64 -3 0 - -2.42 1220 H Youngstown St 69-72 -3 0 - -2.45 218 H Toledo 52-60 -8 1 - -2.90 311 H Toledo 56-67 -11 1 - -2.90 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1111 A Harvard 68-55 13 0 + 2.34 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Old Dominion (18-14, 94.5) 58-52 -5.42 5.54 0.01 0.98 10.87
3 A Siena (13-18, 91.8) 84-73 -8.08 2.88 0.01 0.98 5.66
3 A Harvard (20-12, 95.2) 68-55 -4.73 6.23 0.01 0.98 12.21
3 A UMass Lowell ( 6-21, 91.8) 85-45 -8.14 2.82 0.01 0.98 5.55
3 A Boston Col ( 5-26, 92.9) 61-52 -7.02 3.94 0.01 0.98 7.73
3 A Holy Cross (23-11, 94.1) 63-40 -5.80 5.16 0.01 0.98 10.12
3 A Northeastern ( 8-21, 92.1) 71-52 -7.80 3.16 0.01 0.98 6.21
3 H Army (26- 7, 94.4) 61-64 -5.47 5.49 -0.01 0.98 -2.68
3 A Florida Atl (13-18, 93.8) 66-50 -6.08 4.89 0.01 0.98 9.58
3 H Youngstown St (23-10, 94.4) 69-72 -5.50 5.46 -0.01 0.98 -2.70
3 A We Michigan ( 9-20, 92.8) 73-40 -7.06 3.90 0.01 0.98 7.65
3 A Kent State (14-16, 94.0) 75-70 -5.93 5.03 0.01 0.98 9.87
3 H Miami (OH) (27- 7, 95.4) 60-72 -4.51 6.45 -0.01 0.98 -2.21
3 A Ce Michigan (17-12, 94.3) 74-72 -5.56 5.40 0.01 0.98 10.60
3 A Akron ( 4-25, 92.4) 82-68 -7.52 3.44 0.01 0.98 6.75
3 A Akron ( 4-25, 92.4) 82-68 -7.52 3.44 0.01 0.98 6.75
3 A Buffalo ( 3-28, 91.6) 79-67 -8.29 2.67 0.01 0.98 5.25
3 H Ball St (26- 7, 95.1) 60-78 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 0.98 -2.33
3 A Bowling Grn (16-14, 93.8) 65-64 -6.05 4.91 0.01 0.98 9.63
3 A Ohio (17-15, 94.0) 85-76 -5.91 5.05 0.01 0.98 9.91
3 A Ea Michigan (13-17, 93.5) 75-60 -6.44 4.52 0.01 0.98 8.87
3 H Jam Madison (26- 9, 95.6) 57-71 -4.25 6.71 -0.01 0.98 -2.09
3 A No Illinois ( 7-24, 92.3) 75-54 -7.57 3.39 0.01 0.98 6.65
3 A Miami (OH) (27- 7, 95.4) 65-64 -4.51 6.45 0.01 0.98 12.65
3 H Toledo (17-15, 93.9) 52-60 -5.95 5.01 -0.01 0.98 -2.92
3 A Ce Michigan (17-12, 94.3) 69-50 -5.56 5.40 0.01 0.98 10.60
3 A Kent State (14-16, 94.0) 66-56 -5.93 5.03 0.01 0.98 9.87
3 A We Michigan ( 9-20, 92.8) 64-48 -7.06 3.90 0.01 0.98 7.65
3 A Akron ( 4-25, 92.4) 74-64 -7.52 3.44 0.01 0.98 6.75
3 A Buffalo ( 3-28, 91.6) 73-55 -8.29 2.67 0.01 0.98 5.25
3 H Toledo (17-15, 93.9) 56-67 -5.95 5.01 -0.01 0.98 -2.92
------
184.81
|
winning pts = 202.6613 losing points = -17.8492
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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