SC Upstate
W-L: ( 9-21) PR = 91.5186Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Clemson ACC (21-12, 96.1) 38-76 1110 H Georgia SEC (22-10, 96.8) 44-78 1112 H Kentucky SEC (25-11, 97.3) 30-90 1117 A SC St MEAC ( 3-25, 90.4) 78-69 1121 H Marshall SB (24- 9, 95.1) 54-85 1122 H Morehead St OV M (16-14, 93.7) 64-78 1128 H Kennesaw St CUSA (10-17, 93.1) 41-55 1203 A We Carolina SO ( 1-26, 89.5) 55-44 1206 H UNCG SO (10-16, 92.2) 39-70 1214 H Samford SO (14-19, 92.8) 67-74 1220 H Queens Univ AS ( 8-20, 91.9) 35-60 1231 H Char So BSO ( 8-22, 91.8) 49-60 103 H High Point BSO (25- 6, 94.2) 58-72 107 H Winthrop BSO (13-18, 92.2) 64-66 110 H Gardner-Webb BSO (12-20, 91.9) 61-64 114 A Presbyterian BSO ( 2-28, 90.0) 58-38 114 A Presbyterian BSO ( 2-28, 90.0) 58-38 121 H UNC-Ash BSO (11-19, 91.5) 56-57 123 H Longwood BSO (20- 9, 93.5) 50-74 128 H Radford BSO (23-13, 93.5) 29-67 130 H Char So BSO ( 8-22, 91.8) 62-85 204 A Presbyterian BSO ( 2-28, 90.0) 70-63 211 A Winthrop BSO (13-18, 92.2) 67-58 214 H UNC-Ash BSO (11-19, 91.5) 57-63 218 A Radford BSO (23-13, 93.5) 57-52 221 A Longwood BSO (20- 9, 93.5) 65-** 225 H Gardner-Webb BSO (12-20, 91.9) 51-52 228 A High Point BSO (25- 6, 94.2) 55-50 304 A Presbyterian BSO ( 2-28, 90.0) 60-48 305 H High Point BSO (25- 6, 94.2) 53-71
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Clemson 38-76 -38 -5 0.00
1110 H Georgia 44-78 -34 -5 0.00
1112 H Kentucky 30-90 -60 -6 0.00
1117 A SC St 78-69 9 1 0.89
1121 H Marshall 54-85 -31 -4 0.00
1122 H Morehead St 64-78 -14 -2 0.00
1128 H Kennesaw St 41-55 -14 -2 -0.44
1203 A We Carolina 55-44 11 2 0.00
1206 H UNCG 39-70 -31 -1 -1.29
1214 H Samford 67-74 -7 -1 -0.71
1220 H Queens Univ 35-60 -25 0 -1.65
1231 H Char So 49-60 -11 0 -1.74
103 H High Point 58-72 -14 -3 0.00
107 H Winthrop 64-66 -2 -1 -1.32
110 H Gardner-Webb 61-64 -3 0 -1.61
114 A Presbyterian 58-38 20 2 0.48
114 A Presbyterian 58-38 20 2 0.48
121 H UNC-Ash 56-57 -1 0 -0.99
123 H Longwood 50-74 -24 -2 -0.00
128 H Radford 29-67 -38 -2 -0.05
130 H Char So 62-85 -23 0 -1.74
204 A Presbyterian 70-63 7 2 0.48
211 A Winthrop 67-58 9 -1 + 2.70
214 H UNC-Ash 57-63 -6 0 -1.99
218 A Radford 57-52 5 -2 + 3.97
221 A Longwood 65-** -55 -2 0.00
225 H Gardner-Webb 51-52 -1 0 -0.61
228 A High Point 55-50 5 -3 ++ 4.00
304 A Presbyterian 60-48 12 2 0.48
305 H High Point 53-71 -18 -3 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A High Point 55-50 5 -3 ++ 4.00 211 A Winthrop 67-58 9 -1 + 2.70 218 A Radford 57-52 5 -2 + 3.97 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Clemson (21-12, 96.1) 38-76 -3.82 7.14 -0.01 1.01 -1.94
3 H Georgia (22-10, 96.8) 44-78 -3.13 7.83 -0.01 1.01 -1.59
3 H Kentucky (25-11, 97.3) 30-90 -2.61 8.36 -0.01 1.01 -1.32
3 A SC St ( 3-25, 90.4) 78-69 -9.50 1.46 0.01 1.01 2.98
3 H Marshall (24- 9, 95.1) 54-85 -4.80 6.16 -0.01 1.01 -2.43
3 H Morehead St (16-14, 93.7) 64-78 -6.18 4.78 -0.01 1.01 -3.13
3 H Kennesaw St (10-17, 93.1) 41-55 -6.81 4.15 -0.01 1.01 -3.45
3 A We Carolina ( 1-26, 89.5) 55-44 -10.39 1.00 0.01 1.01 2.04
3 H UNCG (10-16, 92.2) 39-70 -7.66 3.30 -0.01 1.01 -3.88
3 H Samford (14-19, 92.8) 67-74 -7.08 3.88 -0.01 1.01 -3.59
3 H Queens Univ ( 8-20, 91.9) 35-60 -8.02 2.94 -0.01 1.01 -4.06
3 H Char So ( 8-22, 91.8) 49-60 -8.11 2.85 -0.01 1.01 -4.11
3 H High Point (25- 6, 94.2) 58-72 -5.71 5.25 -0.01 1.01 -2.90
3 H Winthrop (13-18, 92.2) 64-66 -7.69 3.27 -0.01 1.01 -3.89
3 H Gardner-Webb (12-20, 91.9) 61-64 -7.98 2.98 -0.01 1.01 -4.04
3 A Presbyterian ( 2-28, 90.0) 58-38 -9.92 1.04 0.01 1.01 2.13
3 A Presbyterian ( 2-28, 90.0) 58-38 -9.92 1.04 0.01 1.01 2.13
3 H UNC-Ash (11-19, 91.5) 56-57 -8.37 2.59 -0.01 1.01 -4.24
3 H Longwood (20- 9, 93.5) 50-74 -6.37 4.59 -0.01 1.01 -3.23
3 H Radford (23-13, 93.5) 29-67 -6.42 4.54 -0.01 1.01 -3.25
3 H Char So ( 8-22, 91.8) 62-85 -8.11 2.85 -0.01 1.01 -4.11
3 A Presbyterian ( 2-28, 90.0) 70-63 -9.92 1.04 0.01 1.01 2.13
3 A Winthrop (13-18, 92.2) 67-58 -7.69 3.27 0.01 1.01 6.64
3 H UNC-Ash (11-19, 91.5) 57-63 -8.37 2.59 -0.01 1.01 -4.24
3 A Radford (23-13, 93.5) 57-52 -6.42 4.54 0.01 1.01 9.21
3 A Longwood (20- 9, 93.5) 65-** -6.37 4.59 0.01 1.01 -3.22
3 H Gardner-Webb (12-20, 91.9) 51-52 -7.98 2.98 -0.01 1.01 -4.04
3 A High Point (25- 6, 94.2) 55-50 -5.71 5.25 0.01 1.01 10.63
3 A Presbyterian ( 2-28, 90.0) 60-48 -9.92 1.04 0.01 1.01 2.13
3 H High Point (25- 6, 94.2) 53-71 -5.71 5.25 -0.01 1.01 -2.90
------
-29.51
|
winning pts = 40.0344 losing points = -69.5454
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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