Utah State
W-L: ( 4-24) PR = 92.4823Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1107 H Utah B12 (17-14, 95.8) 53-90 1111 A CS Baker BW ( 6-22, 92.0) 68-65 1118 H Oregon State WC (21-11, 95.3) 52-71 1123 H Oregon B10 (24-12, 97.0) 34-70 1205 H Loyola Marym WC (20-10, 94.7) 58-63 1207 H San Diego WC (10-21, 93.3) 66-70 1213 A Idaho BS (27- 6, 94.9) 80-73 1217 A Air Force MW (16-16, 93.7) 65-53 1231 A San Jose St MW ( 3-27, 92.1) 74-61 103 H Nevada MW ( 9-20, 93.2) 40-58 107 H UNLV MW (21- 9, 95.0) 58-69 110 H San Diego St MW (25- 6, 95.5) 72-73 114 H Fresno St MW (16-16, 93.7) 56-86 114 H Fresno St MW (16-16, 93.7) 56-86 117 H Boise St MW (24- 9, 94.8) 60-76 121 H Wyoming MW ( 9-19, 93.3) 51-63 124 H Wyoming MW ( 9-19, 93.3) 56-74 128 H Grand Canyon MW (14-16, 94.1) 66-86 131 H New Mexico MW (21-10, 94.7) 33-58 204 H Air Force MW (16-16, 93.7) 50-73 207 H UNLV MW (21- 9, 95.0) 60-71 215 H Fresno St MW (16-16, 93.7) 59-73 218 H San Jose St MW ( 3-27, 92.1) 56-58 221 H Grand Canyon MW (14-16, 94.1) 43-63 225 H New Mexico MW (21-10, 94.7) 54-69 228 H Boise St MW (24- 9, 94.8) 59-75 303 H Nevada MW ( 9-20, 93.2) 69-72 307 H Grand Canyon MW (14-16, 94.1) 58-75
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1107 H Utah 53-90 -37 -3 0.00
1111 A CS Baker 68-65 3 0 1.57
1118 H Oregon State 52-71 -19 -3 0.00
1123 H Oregon 34-70 -36 -5 0.00
1205 H Loyola Marym 58-63 -5 -2 0.00
1207 H San Diego 66-70 -4 -1 -1.21
1213 A Idaho 80-73 7 -2 ++ 4.00
1217 A Air Force 65-53 12 -1 + 3.27
1231 A San Jose St 74-61 13 0 1.61
103 H Nevada 40-58 -18 -1 -1.26
107 H UNLV 58-69 -11 -3 0.00
110 H San Diego St 72-73 -1 -3 1.00
114 H Fresno St 56-86 -30 -1 -0.84
114 H Fresno St 56-86 -30 -1 -0.84
117 H Boise St 60-76 -16 -2 0.00
121 H Wyoming 51-63 -12 -1 -1.20
124 H Wyoming 56-74 -18 -1 -1.20
128 H Grand Canyon 66-86 -20 -2 -0.37
131 H New Mexico 33-58 -25 -2 0.00
204 H Air Force 50-73 -23 -1 -0.75
207 H UNLV 60-71 -11 -3 0.00
215 H Fresno St 59-73 -14 -1 -0.84
218 H San Jose St 56-58 -2 0 - -2.41
221 H Grand Canyon 43-63 -20 -2 -0.37
225 H New Mexico 54-69 -15 -2 0.00
228 H Boise St 59-75 -16 -2 0.00
303 H Nevada 69-72 -3 -1 -1.26
307 H Grand Canyon 58-75 -17 -2 -0.37
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 218 H San Jose St 56-58 -2 0 - -2.41 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1213 A Idaho 80-73 7 -2 ++ 4.00 1217 A Air Force 65-53 12 -1 + 3.27 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Utah (17-14, 95.8) 53-90 -4.09 6.87 -0.01 1.08 -2.22
3 A CS Baker ( 6-22, 92.0) 68-65 -7.86 3.10 0.01 1.08 6.74
3 H Oregon State (21-11, 95.3) 52-71 -4.61 6.35 -0.01 1.08 -2.50
3 H Oregon (24-12, 97.0) 34-70 -2.88 8.08 -0.01 1.08 -1.57
3 H Loyola Marym (20-10, 94.7) 58-63 -5.19 5.77 -0.01 1.08 -2.82
3 H San Diego (10-21, 93.3) 66-70 -6.62 4.34 -0.01 1.08 -3.59
3 A Idaho (27- 6, 94.9) 80-73 -4.96 6.00 0.01 1.08 13.02
3 A Air Force (16-16, 93.7) 65-53 -6.16 4.80 0.01 1.08 10.44
3 A San Jose St ( 3-27, 92.1) 74-61 -7.82 3.14 0.01 1.08 6.84
3 H Nevada ( 9-20, 93.2) 40-58 -6.66 4.30 -0.01 1.08 -3.62
3 H UNLV (21- 9, 95.0) 58-69 -4.90 6.06 -0.01 1.08 -2.66
3 H San Diego St (25- 6, 95.5) 72-73 -4.42 6.54 -0.01 1.08 -2.40
3 H Fresno St (16-16, 93.7) 56-86 -6.25 4.71 -0.01 1.08 -3.39
3 H Fresno St (16-16, 93.7) 56-86 -6.25 4.71 -0.01 1.08 -3.39
3 H Boise St (24- 9, 94.8) 60-76 -5.15 5.81 -0.01 1.08 -2.80
3 H Wyoming ( 9-19, 93.3) 51-63 -6.61 4.35 -0.01 1.08 -3.59
3 H Wyoming ( 9-19, 93.3) 56-74 -6.61 4.35 -0.01 1.08 -3.59
3 H Grand Canyon (14-16, 94.1) 66-86 -5.77 5.19 -0.01 1.08 -3.13
3 H New Mexico (21-10, 94.7) 33-58 -5.24 5.72 -0.01 1.08 -2.85
3 H Air Force (16-16, 93.7) 50-73 -6.16 4.80 -0.01 1.08 -3.34
3 H UNLV (21- 9, 95.0) 60-71 -4.90 6.06 -0.01 1.08 -2.66
3 H Fresno St (16-16, 93.7) 59-73 -6.25 4.71 -0.01 1.08 -3.39
3 H San Jose St ( 3-27, 92.1) 56-58 -7.82 3.14 -0.01 1.08 -4.24
3 H Grand Canyon (14-16, 94.1) 43-63 -5.77 5.19 -0.01 1.08 -3.13
3 H New Mexico (21-10, 94.7) 54-69 -5.24 5.72 -0.01 1.08 -2.85
3 H Boise St (24- 9, 94.8) 59-75 -5.15 5.81 -0.01 1.08 -2.80
3 H Nevada ( 9-20, 93.2) 69-72 -6.66 4.30 -0.01 1.08 -3.62
3 H Grand Canyon (14-16, 94.1) 58-75 -5.77 5.19 -0.01 1.08 -3.13
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-36.24
|
winning pts = 37.0349 losing points = -73.2731
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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