We Michigan
W-L: ( 9-20) PR = 92.8385Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H App State SB ( 9-20, 93.3) 45-65 1109 H Duquesne A10 (10-20, 93.3) 64-72 1113 A WI-Milw HL ( 7-25, 92.3) 65-64 1116 H Michigan St B10 (21- 9, 97.2) 44-98 1203 H Indiana B10 (18-15, 96.1) 53-71 1207 A Loyola Chic A10 (16-19, 94.0) 58-45 1214 A Valparaiso MV ( 0-32, 90.3) 58-48 1218 H Dayton A10 (16-15, 94.3) 58-65 1222 H Ohio St B10 (27- 9, 97.9) 47-95 1231 H Mass MA (24- 7, 94.8) 40-73 103 A Buffalo MA ( 3-28, 91.6) 83-65 107 A Akron MA ( 4-25, 92.4) 55-48 110 H Toledo MA (17-15, 93.9) 46-59 114 H Bowling Grn MA (16-14, 93.8) 54-61 114 H Bowling Grn MA (16-14, 93.8) 54-61 117 H Ball St MA (26- 7, 95.1) 57-78 121 H No Illinois MA ( 7-24, 92.3) 56-64 124 H Ce Michigan MA (17-12, 94.3) 44-64 131 A Ea Michigan MA (13-17, 93.5) 59-54 204 H Ohio MA (17-15, 94.0) 37-76 207 A So Alabama SB (17-19, 93.7) 73-67 210 H Miami (OH) MA (27- 7, 95.4) 55-60 214 H Ce Michigan MA (17-12, 94.3) 67-70 218 H Bowling Grn MA (16-14, 93.8) 63-67 221 A No Illinois MA ( 7-24, 92.3) 65-60 225 A Buffalo MA ( 3-28, 91.6) 58-43 228 H Mass MA (24- 7, 94.8) 48-64 304 H Toledo MA (17-15, 93.9) 49-56 307 H Kent State MA (14-16, 94.0) 60-67
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H App State 45-65 -20 0 -1.59
1109 H Duquesne 64-72 -8 0 -1.52
1113 A WI-Milw 65-64 1 1 0.44
1116 H Michigan St 44-98 -54 -4 0.00
1203 H Indiana 53-71 -18 -3 0.00
1207 A Loyola Chic 58-45 13 -1 + 3.20
1214 A Valparaiso 58-48 10 3 0.00
1218 H Dayton 58-65 -7 -1 -0.53
1222 H Ohio St 47-95 -48 -5 0.00
1231 H Mass 40-73 -33 -2 -0.01
103 A Buffalo 83-65 18 1 0.78
107 A Akron 55-48 7 0 1.55
110 H Toledo 46-59 -13 -1 -0.90
114 H Bowling Grn 54-61 -7 -1 -1.00
114 H Bowling Grn 54-61 -7 -1 -1.00
117 H Ball St 57-78 -21 -2 0.00
121 H No Illinois 56-64 -8 1 - -2.52
124 H Ce Michigan 44-64 -20 -1 -0.51
131 A Ea Michigan 59-54 5 -1 + 2.63
204 H Ohio 37-76 -39 -1 -0.86
207 A So Alabama 73-67 6 -1 + 2.85
210 H Miami (OH) 55-60 -5 -3 0.00
214 H Ce Michigan 67-70 -3 -1 -0.51
218 H Bowling Grn 63-67 -4 -1 -1.00
221 A No Illinois 65-60 5 1 1.50
225 A Buffalo 58-43 15 1 0.78
228 H Mass 48-64 -16 -2 -0.01
304 H Toledo 49-56 -7 -1 -0.90
307 H Kent State 60-67 -7 -1 -0.88
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 121 H No Illinois 56-64 -8 1 - -2.52 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1207 A Loyola Chic 58-45 13 -1 + 3.20 131 A Ea Michigan 59-54 5 -1 + 2.63 207 A So Alabama 73-67 6 -1 + 2.85 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H App State ( 9-20, 93.3) 45-65 -6.65 4.31 -0.01 1.05 -3.48
3 H Duquesne (10-20, 93.3) 64-72 -6.57 4.39 -0.01 1.05 -3.44
3 A WI-Milw ( 7-25, 92.3) 65-64 -7.63 3.33 0.01 1.05 6.98
3 H Michigan St (21- 9, 97.2) 44-98 -2.71 8.25 -0.01 1.05 -1.42
3 H Indiana (18-15, 96.1) 53-71 -3.81 7.15 -0.01 1.05 -2.00
3 A Loyola Chic (16-19, 94.0) 58-45 -5.87 5.09 0.01 1.05 10.67
3 A Valparaiso ( 0-32, 90.3) 58-48 -9.64 1.32 0.01 1.05 2.78
3 H Dayton (16-15, 94.3) 58-65 -5.58 5.38 -0.01 1.05 -2.93
3 H Ohio St (27- 9, 97.9) 47-95 -1.98 8.98 -0.01 1.05 -1.04
3 H Mass (24- 7, 94.8) 40-73 -5.06 5.90 -0.01 1.05 -2.65
3 A Buffalo ( 3-28, 91.6) 83-65 -8.29 2.67 0.01 1.05 5.61
3 A Akron ( 4-25, 92.4) 55-48 -7.52 3.44 0.01 1.05 7.22
3 H Toledo (17-15, 93.9) 46-59 -5.95 5.01 -0.01 1.05 -3.12
3 H Bowling Grn (16-14, 93.8) 54-61 -6.05 4.91 -0.01 1.05 -3.17
3 H Bowling Grn (16-14, 93.8) 54-61 -6.05 4.91 -0.01 1.05 -3.17
3 H Ball St (26- 7, 95.1) 57-78 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 1.05 -2.50
3 H No Illinois ( 7-24, 92.3) 56-64 -7.57 3.39 -0.01 1.05 -3.97
3 H Ce Michigan (17-12, 94.3) 44-64 -5.56 5.40 -0.01 1.05 -2.91
3 A Ea Michigan (13-17, 93.5) 59-54 -6.44 4.52 0.01 1.05 9.49
3 H Ohio (17-15, 94.0) 37-76 -5.91 5.05 -0.01 1.05 -3.10
3 A So Alabama (17-19, 93.7) 73-67 -6.22 4.74 0.01 1.05 9.95
3 H Miami (OH) (27- 7, 95.4) 55-60 -4.51 6.45 -0.01 1.05 -2.36
3 H Ce Michigan (17-12, 94.3) 67-70 -5.56 5.40 -0.01 1.05 -2.91
3 H Bowling Grn (16-14, 93.8) 63-67 -6.05 4.91 -0.01 1.05 -3.17
3 A No Illinois ( 7-24, 92.3) 65-60 -7.57 3.39 0.01 1.05 7.11
3 A Buffalo ( 3-28, 91.6) 58-43 -8.29 2.67 0.01 1.05 5.61
3 H Mass (24- 7, 94.8) 48-64 -5.06 5.90 -0.01 1.05 -2.65
3 H Toledo (17-15, 93.9) 49-56 -5.95 5.01 -0.01 1.05 -3.12
3 H Kent State (14-16, 94.0) 60-67 -5.93 5.03 -0.01 1.05 -3.11
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9.18
|
winning pts = 65.4136 losing points = -56.2344
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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