Will&Mary
W-L: (16-14) PR = 93.2011Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1106 H Davidson A10 (22-12, 95.0) 50-71 1112 H Richmond A10 (27- 8, 95.9) 58-84 1116 H Old Dominion SB (18-14, 94.5) 53-56 1123 H Howard MEAC (26- 8, 94.6) 53-64 1129 A Tenn St OV ( 5-22, 92.2) 64-53 1203 A Wake Forest ACC (14-18, 94.2) 67-64 1207 A American PAT ( 7-24, 92.0) 73-60 1213 A Coppin St MEAC ( 9-23, 91.8) 72-65 1219 A Stetson AS (18-12, 93.9) 81-75 1220 A Beth-Cook SWAC ( 5-24, 90.9) 64-52 102 A NC A&T CA ( 8-19, 92.2) 60-49 104 H Stony Brook CA (16-15, 93.3) 57-73 109 H Charlotte AME (38-24, 94.3) 60-62 111 H Campbell CA (19-12, 93.5) 43-45 116 H Hampton CA ( 7-21, 92.1) 49-59 123 A Northeastern CA ( 8-21, 92.1) 63-50 126 A Hofstra CA (11-22, 92.5) 55-37 130 H Campbell CA (19-12, 93.5) 54-63 201 A UNC-Wilm CA ( 6-24, 91.6) 79-68 206 A Towson CA (16-14, 93.3) 52-51 208 H Elon CA (15-16, 93.0) 52-75 215 A Towson CA (16-14, 93.3) 75-70 220 H Monmouth CA (19-13, 93.4) 58-63 222 H Drexel CA (21-10, 93.8) 61-63 227 H Charlotte AME (38-24, 94.3) 48-70 301 A UNC-Wilm CA ( 6-24, 91.6) 60-41 305 A Elon CA (15-16, 93.0) 70-59 307 A Hampton CA ( 7-21, 92.1) 61-60 312 A NC A&T CA ( 8-19, 92.2) 61-58 313 H Charlotte AME (38-24, 94.3) 55-58
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1106 H Davidson 50-71 -21 -2 -0.19
1112 H Richmond 58-84 -26 -3 0.00
1116 H Old Dominion 53-56 -3 -1 -0.73
1123 H Howard 53-64 -11 -1 -0.58
1129 A Tenn St 64-53 11 1 1.00
1203 A Wake Forest 67-64 3 -1 + 3.05
1207 A American 73-60 13 1 0.83
1213 A Coppin St 72-65 7 1 0.57
1219 A Stetson 81-75 6 -1 + 2.74
1220 A Beth-Cook 64-52 12 2 0.00
102 A NC A&T 60-49 11 1 0.98
104 H Stony Brook 57-73 -16 0 -1.89
109 H Charlotte 60-62 -2 -1 -0.89
111 H Campbell 43-45 -2 0 -1.75
116 H Hampton 49-59 -10 1 - -3.15
123 A Northeastern 63-50 13 1 0.91
126 A Hofstra 55-37 18 1 1.35
130 H Campbell 54-63 -9 0 -1.75
201 A UNC-Wilm 79-68 11 2 0.37
206 A Towson 52-51 1 0 1.15
208 H Elon 52-75 -23 0 - -2.18
215 A Towson 75-70 5 0 + 2.15
220 H Monmouth 58-63 -5 0 -1.85
222 H Drexel 61-63 -2 -1 -1.40
227 H Charlotte 48-70 -22 -1 -0.89
301 A UNC-Wilm 60-41 19 2 0.37
305 A Elon 70-59 11 0 1.84
307 A Hampton 61-60 1 1 -0.13
312 A NC A&T 61-58 3 1 0.98
313 H Charlotte 55-58 -3 -1 -0.89
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 116 H Hampton 49-59 -10 1 - -3.15 208 H Elon 52-75 -23 0 - -2.18 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1203 A Wake Forest 67-64 3 -1 + 3.05 1219 A Stetson 81-75 6 -1 + 2.74 215 A Towson 75-70 5 0 + 2.15 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Davidson (22-12, 95.0) 50-71 -4.88 6.08 -0.01 1.01 -2.47
3 H Richmond (27- 8, 95.9) 58-84 -3.97 6.99 -0.01 1.01 -2.01
3 H Old Dominion (18-14, 94.5) 53-56 -5.42 5.54 -0.01 1.01 -2.74
3 H Howard (26- 8, 94.6) 53-64 -5.27 5.69 -0.01 1.01 -2.67
3 A Tenn St ( 5-22, 92.2) 64-53 -7.71 3.25 0.01 1.01 6.60
3 A Wake Forest (14-18, 94.2) 67-64 -5.66 5.30 0.01 1.01 10.74
3 A American ( 7-24, 92.0) 73-60 -7.88 3.08 0.01 1.01 6.26
3 A Coppin St ( 9-23, 91.8) 72-65 -8.14 2.82 0.01 1.01 5.72
3 A Stetson (18-12, 93.9) 81-75 -5.97 4.99 0.01 1.01 10.12
3 A Beth-Cook ( 5-24, 90.9) 64-52 -8.95 2.01 0.01 1.01 4.09
3 A NC A&T ( 8-19, 92.2) 60-49 -7.73 3.23 0.01 1.01 6.55
3 H Stony Brook (16-15, 93.3) 57-73 -6.58 4.38 -0.01 1.01 -3.33
3 H Charlotte (38-24, 94.3) 60-62 -5.57 5.39 -0.01 1.01 -2.82
3 H Campbell (19-12, 93.5) 43-45 -6.44 4.52 -0.01 1.01 -3.26
3 H Hampton ( 7-21, 92.1) 49-59 -7.84 3.12 -0.01 1.01 -3.97
3 A Northeastern ( 8-21, 92.1) 63-50 -7.80 3.16 0.01 1.01 6.41
3 A Hofstra (11-22, 92.5) 55-37 -7.36 3.60 0.01 1.01 7.30
3 H Campbell (19-12, 93.5) 54-63 -6.44 4.52 -0.01 1.01 -3.26
3 A UNC-Wilm ( 6-24, 91.6) 79-68 -8.34 2.62 0.01 1.01 5.32
3 A Towson (16-14, 93.3) 52-51 -6.56 4.40 0.01 1.01 8.93
3 H Elon (15-16, 93.0) 52-75 -6.87 4.09 -0.01 1.01 -3.48
3 A Towson (16-14, 93.3) 75-70 -6.56 4.40 0.01 1.01 8.93
3 H Monmouth (19-13, 93.4) 58-63 -6.54 4.42 -0.01 1.01 -3.31
3 H Drexel (21-10, 93.8) 61-63 -6.09 4.87 -0.01 1.01 -3.08
3 H Charlotte (38-24, 94.3) 48-70 -5.57 5.39 -0.01 1.01 -2.82
3 A UNC-Wilm ( 6-24, 91.6) 60-41 -8.34 2.62 0.01 1.01 5.32
3 A Elon (15-16, 93.0) 70-59 -6.87 4.09 0.01 1.01 8.29
3 A Hampton ( 7-21, 92.1) 61-60 -7.84 3.12 0.01 1.01 6.33
3 A NC A&T ( 8-19, 92.2) 61-58 -7.73 3.23 0.01 1.01 6.55
3 H Charlotte (38-24, 94.3) 55-58 -5.57 5.39 -0.01 1.01 -2.82
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71.36
|
winning pts = 113.4486 losing points = -42.0839
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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