Eastern Michigan 
W-L: (10- 7) PR = 79.5103
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
206 A Marquette Big East ( 9- 7, 86.0) 9-20
208 H Butler Big East ( 3-13, 74.1) 12- 8
211 H Lindenwood Atlantic Su ( 8-11, 77.1) 14-11
214 H Xavier Big East ( 2-14, 77.0) 9- 7
218 A Canisius Metro Atlan (12- 5, 81.1) 12-19
222 A Oregon Big Ten ( 6-10, 81.8) 12- 9
301 A Austin Peay Atlantic Su ( 4-13, 71.2) 13-10
304 A Vanderbilt AAC ( 8- 9, 85.2) 8-11
308 H Cincinnati Big 12 ( 9- 8, 83.0) 9-16
314 H Kent State MAC ( 7-10, 75.9) 12- 6
319 A Detroit Mercy MAC ( 0-12, 66.0) 17- 4
328 A Akron MAC (12- 5, 80.4) 9-10
404 H Central Michigan MAC ( 4-12, 74.4) 14- 9
411 H Massachusetts Atlantic 10 (16- 3, 89.5) 4-14
418 H Robert Morris MAC ( 6-12, 75.4) 13- 3
425 A Youngstown State MAC ( 3-13, 72.3) 16- 4
430 N Akron MAC (12- 5, 80.4) 9-10
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Marquette 9-20 -11 -8 - -3.14
208 H Butler 12- 8 4 7 - -2.82
211 H Lindenwood 14-11 3 4 -0.75
214 H Xavier 9- 7 2 4 -1.90
218 A Canisius 12-19 -7 -3 - -3.99
222 A Oregon 12- 9 3 -4 +++ 6.64
301 A Austin Peay 13-10 3 7 - -3.92
304 A Vanderbilt 8-11 -3 -7 ++ 4.05
308 H Cincinnati 9-16 -7 -2 -- -4.91
314 H Kent State 12- 6 6 5 0.98
319 A Detroit Mercy 17- 4 13 12 0.82
328 A Akron 9-10 -1 -2 1.25
404 H Central Michigan 14- 9 5 6 -1.48
411 H Massachusetts 4-14 -10 -9 -1.41
418 H Robert Morris 13- 3 10 5 ++ 4.57
425 A Youngstown State 16- 4 12 6 +++ 6.14
430 N Akron 9-10 -1 -1 -0.12
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
308 H Cincinnati 9-16 -7 -2 -- -4.91
206 A Marquette 9-20 -11 -8 - -3.14
208 H Butler 12- 8 4 7 - -2.82
218 A Canisius 12-19 -7 -3 - -3.99
301 A Austin Peay 13-10 3 7 - -3.92
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
222 A Oregon 12- 9 3 -4 +++ 6.64
425 A Youngstown State 16- 4 12 6 +++ 6.14
304 A Vanderbilt 8-11 -3 -7 ++ 4.05
418 H Robert Morris 13- 3 10 5 ++ 4.57
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Marquette ( 9- 7, 86.0) 9-20 -13.90 26.27 1.37 1.02 -6.38
3 H Butler ( 3-13, 74.1) 12- 8 -25.84 14.33 -1.37 1.02 26.42
3 H Lindenwood ( 8-11, 77.1) 14-11 -22.77 17.40 -1.37 1.02 32.66
3 H Xavier ( 2-14, 77.0) 9- 7 -22.92 17.25 -1.37 1.02 32.36
3 A Canisius (12- 5, 81.1) 12-19 -18.75 21.42 1.37 1.02 -8.86
3 A Oregon ( 6-10, 81.8) 12- 9 -18.12 22.05 1.37 1.02 47.73
3 A Austin Peay ( 4-13, 71.2) 13-10 -28.67 11.49 1.37 1.02 26.21
3 A Vanderbilt ( 8- 9, 85.2) 8-11 -14.71 25.46 1.37 1.02 -6.80
3 H Cincinnati ( 9- 8, 83.0) 9-16 -16.93 23.23 -1.37 1.02 -9.33
3 H Kent State ( 7-10, 75.9) 12- 6 -24.04 16.12 -1.37 1.02 30.08
3 A Detroit Mercy ( 0-12, 66.0) 17- 4 -33.94 6.23 1.37 1.02 15.48
3 A Akron (12- 5, 80.4) 9-10 -19.51 20.66 1.37 1.02 -9.24
3 H Central Michig ( 4-12, 74.4) 14- 9 -25.50 14.67 -1.37 1.02 27.10
3 H Massachusetts (16- 3, 89.5) 4-14 -10.43 29.74 -1.37 1.02 -6.01
3 H Robert Morris ( 6-12, 75.4) 13- 3 -24.46 15.71 -1.37 1.02 29.23
3 A Youngstown Sta ( 3-13, 72.3) 16- 4 -27.62 12.55 1.37 1.02 28.37
3 N Akron (12- 5, 80.4) 9-10 -19.51 20.66 -0.00 1.02 -9.94
------
239.08
|
winning pts = 295.6412 losing points = -56.5603
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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