Xavier
W-L: ( 2-14) PR = 76.9793Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Cincinnati Big 12 ( 9- 8, 83.0) 9-17 214 A Eastern Michigan MAC (10- 7, 79.5) 7- 9 224 A Kent State MAC ( 7-10, 75.9) 5-11 301 H Akron MAC (12- 5, 80.4) 5- 6 304 H Detroit Mercy MAC ( 0-12, 66.0) 16- 2 308 A William & Mary Colonial ( 7- 9, 79.9) 7- 8 310 A Old Dominion AAC ( 5-12, 76.2) 4- 5 314 H Vanderbilt AAC ( 8- 9, 85.2) 2-15 321 A Villanova Big East ( 9- 6, 86.5) 8-14 324 H California ACC ( 6-11, 82.8) 10-11 328 H Marquette Big East ( 9- 7, 86.0) 7-10 401 H Butler Big East ( 3-13, 74.1) 14- 9 404 A Georgetown Big East (12- 6, 90.0) 1-19 411 H Connecticut Big East ( 7-10, 85.3) 6-15 418 A Denver Big East (16- 4, 93.8) 1-19 426 H San Diego State Big 12 ( 3-13, 79.6) 5-10
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Cincinnati 9-17 -8 -5 - -3.38
214 A Eastern Michigan 7- 9 -2 -4 1.90
224 A Kent State 5-11 -6 0 -- -5.75
301 H Akron 5- 6 -1 -2 1.04
304 H Detroit Mercy 16- 2 14 12 1.61
308 A William & Mary 7- 8 -1 -4 + 3.27
310 A Old Dominion 4- 5 -1 -1 -0.45
314 H Vanderbilt 2-15 -13 -7 --- -6.16
321 A Villanova 8-14 -6 -11 ++ 4.86
324 H California 10-11 -1 -4 + 3.47
328 H Marquette 7-10 -3 -8 ++ 4.65
401 H Butler 14- 9 5 4 0.71
404 A Georgetown 1-19 -18 -14 0.00
411 H Connecticut 6-15 -9 -7 - -2.04
418 A Denver 1-19 -18 -18 0.00
426 H San Diego State 5-10 -5 -1 - -3.74
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 314 H Vanderbilt 2-15 -13 -7 --- -6.16 224 A Kent State 5-11 -6 0 -- -5.75 206 H Cincinnati 9-17 -8 -5 - -3.38 411 H Connecticut 6-15 -9 -7 - -2.04 426 H San Diego State 5-10 -5 -1 - -3.74 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 A Villanova 8-14 -6 -11 ++ 4.86 328 H Marquette 7-10 -3 -8 ++ 4.65 308 A William & Mary 7- 8 -1 -4 + 3.27 324 H California 10-11 -1 -4 + 3.47 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Cincinnati ( 9- 8, 83.0) 9-17 -16.93 23.23 -1.37 1.08 -9.91
3 A Eastern Michig (10- 7, 79.5) 7- 9 -20.39 19.78 1.37 1.08 -10.30
3 A Kent State ( 7-10, 75.9) 5-11 -24.04 16.12 1.37 1.08 -12.28
3 H Akron (12- 5, 80.4) 5- 6 -19.51 20.66 -1.37 1.08 -11.30
3 H Detroit Mercy ( 0-12, 66.0) 16- 2 -33.94 6.23 -1.37 1.08 10.52
3 A William & Mary ( 7- 9, 79.9) 7- 8 -20.02 20.15 1.37 1.08 -10.09
3 A Old Dominion ( 5-12, 76.2) 4- 5 -23.74 16.43 1.37 1.08 -12.11
3 H Vanderbilt ( 8- 9, 85.2) 2-15 -14.71 25.46 -1.37 1.08 -8.70
3 A Villanova ( 9- 6, 86.5) 8-14 -13.43 26.74 1.37 1.08 -6.53
3 H California ( 6-11, 82.8) 10-11 -17.08 23.08 -1.37 1.08 -9.99
3 H Marquette ( 9- 7, 86.0) 7-10 -13.90 26.27 -1.37 1.08 -8.26
3 H Butler ( 3-13, 74.1) 14- 9 -25.84 14.33 -1.37 1.08 28.07
3 A Georgetown (12- 6, 90.0) 1-19 -9.94 30.23 1.37 1.08 -4.64
3 H Connecticut ( 7-10, 85.3) 6-15 -14.59 25.58 -1.37 1.08 -8.64
3 A Denver (16- 4, 93.8) 1-19 -6.12 34.05 1.37 1.08 -2.57
3 H San Diego Stat ( 3-13, 79.6) 5-10 -20.30 19.87 -1.37 1.08 -11.73
------
-88.47
|
winning pts = 38.5861 losing points = -127.0539
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------