South Florida
W-L: (12- 5) PR = 88.7031Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 H Niagara Metro Atlan ( 8- 9, 78.4) 20- 5 215 H Michigan Big Ten (13- 7, 93.9) 10-16 218 A Stetson Atlantic Su ( 3-13, 75.5) 25- 4 221 H Mercer Big South (13- 7, 85.5) 15-10 301 H Brown Ivy League ( 8- 7, 89.2) 13-10 307 H Navy Patriot (20- 2, 93.0) 8-19 314 A Temple AAC (12- 5, 86.5) 11-10 321 H James Madison AAC (14- 7, 90.9) 9- 7 328 A Old Dominion AAC ( 5-12, 76.2) 21- 3 330 A Richmond Atlantic 10 (13- 4, 90.0) 14-15 402 H Liberty Atlantic Su ( 8-11, 81.7) 9- 8 408 A Florida Big 12 (15- 4, 93.4) 8-14 411 H UNC-Charlotte AAC ( 6- 9, 78.9) 22-11 418 H East Carolina AAC ( 8- 9, 83.5) 17- 4 425 A Vanderbilt AAC ( 8- 9, 85.2) 12- 9 430 N Temple AAC (12- 5, 86.5) 13- 7 502 N James Madison AAC (14- 7, 90.9) 7-17
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 H Niagara 20- 5 15 12 + 2.28
215 H Michigan 10-16 -6 -4 - -2.15
218 A Stetson 25- 4 21 12 + 2.21
221 H Mercer 15-10 5 5 0.41
301 H Brown 13-10 3 1 + 2.14
307 H Navy 8-19 -11 -3 --- -8.04
314 A Temple 11-10 1 1 0.15
321 H James Madison 9- 7 2 -1 + 2.79
328 A Old Dominion 21- 3 18 11 + 2.83
330 A Richmond 14-15 -1 -3 1.64
402 H Liberty 9- 8 1 8 --- -7.39
408 A Florida 8-14 -6 -6 0.08
411 H UNC-Charlotte 22-11 11 11 -0.19
418 H East Carolina 17- 4 13 7 +++ 6.46
425 A Vanderbilt 12- 9 3 2 0.85
430 N Temple 13- 7 6 2 + 3.78
502 N James Madison 7-17 -10 -2 --- -7.84
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 H Navy 8-19 -11 -3 --- -8.04 402 H Liberty 9- 8 1 8 --- -7.39 502 N James Madison 7-17 -10 -2 --- -7.84 215 H Michigan 10-16 -6 -4 - -2.15 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 418 H East Carolina 17- 4 13 7 +++ 6.46 207 H Niagara 20- 5 15 12 + 2.28 218 A Stetson 25- 4 21 12 + 2.21 301 H Brown 13-10 3 1 + 2.14 321 H James Madison 9- 7 2 -1 + 2.79 328 A Old Dominion 21- 3 18 11 + 2.83 430 N Temple 13- 7 6 2 + 3.78 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Niagara ( 8- 9, 78.4) 20- 5 -21.55 18.62 -1.37 1.02 35.16
3 H Michigan (13- 7, 93.9) 10-16 -5.98 34.19 -1.37 1.02 -3.74
3 A Stetson ( 3-13, 75.5) 25- 4 -24.36 15.81 1.37 1.02 35.01
3 H Mercer (13- 7, 85.5) 15-10 -14.42 25.75 -1.37 1.02 49.69
3 H Brown ( 8- 7, 89.2) 13-10 -10.69 29.48 -1.37 1.02 57.29
3 H Navy (20- 2, 93.0) 8-19 -6.87 33.29 -1.37 1.02 -4.20
3 A Temple (12- 5, 86.5) 11-10 -13.42 26.75 1.37 1.02 57.30
3 H James Madison (14- 7, 90.9) 9- 7 -9.04 31.13 -1.37 1.02 60.66
3 A Old Dominion ( 5-12, 76.2) 21- 3 -23.74 16.43 1.37 1.02 36.27
3 A Richmond (13- 4, 90.0) 14-15 -9.93 30.24 1.37 1.02 -4.36
3 H Liberty ( 8-11, 81.7) 9- 8 -18.22 21.95 -1.37 1.02 41.94
3 A Florida (15- 4, 93.4) 8-14 -6.48 33.69 1.37 1.02 -2.61
3 H UNC-Charlotte ( 6- 9, 78.9) 22-11 -21.02 19.15 -1.37 1.02 36.24
3 H East Carolina ( 8- 9, 83.5) 17- 4 -16.36 23.80 -1.37 1.02 45.72
3 A Vanderbilt ( 8- 9, 85.2) 12- 9 -14.71 25.46 1.37 1.02 54.67
3 N Temple (12- 5, 86.5) 13- 7 -13.42 26.75 -0.00 1.02 54.52
3 N James Madison (14- 7, 90.9) 7-17 -9.04 31.13 -0.00 1.02 -4.60
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544.95
|
winning pts = 564.4629 losing points = -19.5133
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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