UNC-Charlotte
W-L: ( 6- 9) PR = 78.8800Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 H Vermont America Eas (10- 7, 83.2) 10-21 211 A Davidson Atlantic 10 (15- 5, 84.6) 5-15 214 A VCU Atlantic 10 (13- 5, 83.2) 16-15 218 H Coastal Carolina Atlantic Su (10- 8, 81.1) 10-11 225 H Campbell Colonial (11- 6, 81.7) 9-13 228 A George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 9- 8, 79.9) 20- 8 304 H Winthrop Big South ( 6-10, 74.2) 21-12 308 H Stetson Atlantic Su ( 3-13, 75.5) 16-14 314 H Old Dominion AAC ( 5-12, 76.2) 11-10 321 A Gardner Webb Big South ( 2-15, 71.1) 24- 6 328 A Vanderbilt AAC ( 8- 9, 85.2) 7-16 404 H James Madison AAC (14- 7, 90.9) 10-20 411 A South Florida AAC (12- 5, 88.7) 11-22 417 H Temple AAC (12- 5, 86.5) 3-16 425 A East Carolina AAC ( 8- 9, 83.5) 10-21
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 H Vermont 10-21 -11 -3 --- -8.01
211 A Davidson 5-15 -10 -7 - -2.93
214 A VCU 16-15 1 -6 +++ 6.69
218 H Coastal Carolina 10-11 -1 -1 -0.10
225 H Campbell 9-13 -4 -1 - -2.51
228 A George Washington 20- 8 12 -2 +++ 14.39
304 H Winthrop 21-12 9 6 + 2.91
308 H Stetson 16-14 2 5 - -2.70
314 H Old Dominion 11-10 1 4 - -3.09
321 A Gardner Webb 24- 6 18 6 +++ 7.62
328 A Vanderbilt 7-16 -9 -8 -1.32
404 H James Madison 10-20 -10 -11 0.62
411 A South Florida 11-22 -11 -11 0.19
417 H Temple 3-16 -13 -6 --- -6.77
425 A East Carolina 10-21 -11 -6 -- -4.98
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H Vermont 10-21 -11 -3 --- -8.01 417 H Temple 3-16 -13 -6 --- -6.77 425 A East Carolina 10-21 -11 -6 -- -4.98 211 A Davidson 5-15 -10 -7 - -2.93 225 H Campbell 9-13 -4 -1 - -2.51 308 H Stetson 16-14 2 5 - -2.70 314 H Old Dominion 11-10 1 4 - -3.09 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 A VCU 16-15 1 -6 +++ 6.69 228 A George Washington 20- 8 12 -2 +++ 14.39 321 A Gardner Webb 24- 6 18 6 +++ 7.62 304 H Winthrop 21-12 9 6 + 2.91 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Vermont (10- 7, 83.2) 10-21 -16.66 23.51 -1.37 1.15 -10.41
3 A Davidson (15- 5, 84.6) 5-15 -15.32 24.85 1.37 1.15 -8.06
3 A VCU (13- 5, 83.2) 16-15 -16.70 23.47 1.37 1.15 57.37
3 H Coastal Caroli (10- 8, 81.1) 10-11 -18.76 21.41 -1.37 1.15 -11.62
3 H Campbell (11- 6, 81.7) 9-13 -18.17 22.00 -1.37 1.15 -11.28
3 A George Washing ( 9- 8, 79.9) 20- 8 -19.99 20.17 1.37 1.15 49.75
3 H Winthrop ( 6-10, 74.2) 21-12 -25.75 14.42 -1.37 1.15 30.15
3 H Stetson ( 3-13, 75.5) 16-14 -24.36 15.81 -1.37 1.15 33.36
3 H Old Dominion ( 5-12, 76.2) 11-10 -23.74 16.43 -1.37 1.15 34.79
3 A Gardner Webb ( 2-15, 71.1) 24- 6 -28.77 11.40 1.37 1.15 29.49
3 A Vanderbilt ( 8- 9, 85.2) 7-16 -14.71 25.46 1.37 1.15 -7.71
3 H James Madison (14- 7, 90.9) 10-20 -9.04 31.13 -1.37 1.15 -6.01
3 A South Florida (12- 5, 88.7) 11-22 -11.20 28.97 1.37 1.15 -5.68
3 H Temple (12- 5, 86.5) 3-16 -13.42 26.75 -1.37 1.15 -8.54
3 A East Carolina ( 8- 9, 83.5) 10-21 -16.36 23.80 1.37 1.15 -8.66
------
156.96
|
winning pts = 234.9132 losing points = -77.9533
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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