Florida State
W-L: ( 4-12) PR = 82.7553Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 H Stetson Atlantic Su ( 3-13, 75.5) 14- 4 209 H Kennesaw State Atlantic Su ( 8-10, 74.6) 16- 4 213 A California ACC ( 6-11, 82.8) 9-10 215 A UC Davis Big 12 ( 7- 9, 84.5) 6-13 221 N Army Patriot (15- 5, 91.5) 7-13 224 H Boston College ACC (10- 8, 92.7) 7-19 227 A North Carolina ACC (19- 2, 99.9) 3-27 304 A Louisville ACC ( 6- 9, 85.9) 5-15 308 H Virginia ACC ( 8- 9, 90.6) 7-15 314 H Virginia Tech ACC ( 9- 8, 87.1) 9-15 318 H Gardner Webb Big South ( 2-15, 71.1) 16- 2 321 A Notre Dame ACC (12- 6, 93.4) 3-22 329 H Duke ACC ( 9- 8, 91.0) 10-15 405 A Pittsburgh ACC ( 9- 7, 88.7) 11-14 407 A Kent State MAC ( 7-10, 75.9) 14- 5 416 H Clemson ACC (15- 6, 94.7) 7-16
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 H Stetson 14- 4 10 9 1.42
209 H Kennesaw State 16- 4 12 10 + 2.49
213 A California 9-10 -1 -1 0.43
215 A UC Davis 6-13 -7 -3 - -3.87
221 N Army 7-13 -6 -9 + 2.70
224 H Boston College 7-19 -12 -9 - -3.40
227 A North Carolina 3-27 -24 -19 0.00
304 A Louisville 5-15 -10 -5 -- -5.45
308 H Virginia 7-15 -8 -6 -1.57
314 H Virginia Tech 9-15 -6 -3 - -3.00
318 H Gardner Webb 16- 2 14 13 1.01
321 A Notre Dame 3-22 -19 -12 - -2.01
329 H Duke 10-15 -5 -7 1.84
405 A Pittsburgh 11-14 -3 -7 ++ 4.32
407 A Kent State 14- 5 9 6 + 3.47
416 H Clemson 7-16 -9 -11 1.62
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 304 A Louisville 5-15 -10 -5 -- -5.45 215 A UC Davis 6-13 -7 -3 - -3.87 224 H Boston College 7-19 -12 -9 - -3.40 314 H Virginia Tech 9-15 -6 -3 - -3.00 321 A Notre Dame 3-22 -19 -12 - -2.01 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 A Pittsburgh 11-14 -3 -7 ++ 4.32 209 H Kennesaw State 16- 4 12 10 + 2.49 221 N Army 7-13 -6 -9 + 2.70 407 A Kent State 14- 5 9 6 + 3.47 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Stetson ( 3-13, 75.5) 14- 4 -24.36 15.81 -1.37 1.08 31.28
3 H Kennesaw State ( 8-10, 74.6) 16- 4 -25.29 14.88 -1.37 1.08 29.26
3 A California ( 6-11, 82.8) 9-10 -17.08 23.08 1.37 1.08 -8.51
3 A UC Davis ( 7- 9, 84.5) 6-13 -15.38 24.79 1.37 1.08 -7.59
3 N Army (15- 5, 91.5) 7-13 -8.45 31.72 -0.00 1.08 -4.57
3 H Boston College (10- 8, 92.7) 7-19 -7.17 33.00 -1.37 1.08 -4.62
3 A North Carolina (19- 2, 99.9) 3-27 -0.00 40.17 1.37 1.08 -0.74
3 A Louisville ( 6- 9, 85.9) 5-15 -13.96 26.20 1.37 1.08 -6.82
3 H Virginia ( 8- 9, 90.6) 7-15 -9.34 30.82 -1.37 1.08 -5.80
3 H Virginia Tech ( 9- 8, 87.1) 9-15 -12.77 27.39 -1.37 1.08 -7.66
3 H Gardner Webb ( 2-15, 71.1) 16- 2 -28.77 11.40 -1.37 1.08 21.72
3 A Notre Dame (12- 6, 93.4) 3-22 -6.52 33.65 1.37 1.08 -2.79
3 H Duke ( 9- 8, 91.0) 10-15 -8.94 31.23 -1.37 1.08 -5.58
3 A Pittsburgh ( 9- 7, 88.7) 11-14 -11.19 28.97 1.37 1.08 -5.32
3 A Kent State ( 7-10, 75.9) 14- 5 -24.04 16.12 1.37 1.08 37.88
3 H Clemson (15- 6, 94.7) 7-16 -5.16 35.01 -1.37 1.08 -3.53
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56.61
|
winning pts = 120.1312 losing points = -63.5250
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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