Austin Peay
W-L: ( 4-13) PR = 71.2264Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 H Gardner Webb Big South ( 2-15, 71.1) 15-14 220 A Furman Big South (10- 9, 77.0) 9-17 222 A Presbyterian Big South ( 5-12, 70.8) 19-14 227 H Canisius Metro Atlan (12- 5, 81.1) 17-16 301 H Eastern Michigan MAC (10- 7, 79.5) 10-13 307 A Fairleigh Dickinson Northeast (10- 8, 72.4) 6-11 310 A Central Connecticut Northeast ( 1-14, 63.2) 17- 4 314 H Winthrop Big South ( 6-10, 74.2) 6-17 316 H Iona Metro Atlan ( 3-13, 72.8) 6-12 319 H Delaware Atlantic Su (13- 5, 87.5) 3-19 321 H Liberty Atlantic Su ( 8-11, 81.7) 7-24 326 A Queens Atlantic Su ( 3-12, 76.7) 4-19 328 A Coastal Carolina Atlantic Su (10- 8, 81.1) 5-17 404 A Kennesaw State Atlantic Su ( 8-10, 74.6) 8-10 411 H Jacksonville Atlantic Su (13- 6, 89.0) 5-21 418 A Stetson Atlantic Su ( 3-13, 75.5) 13-17 422 H Lindenwood Atlantic Su ( 8-11, 77.1) 13-16
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 H Gardner Webb 15-14 1 1 -0.46
220 A Furman 9-17 -8 -7 -0.84
222 A Presbyterian 19-14 5 -1 ++ 5.92
227 H Canisius 17-16 1 -9 +++ 9.55
301 H Eastern Michigan 10-13 -3 -7 + 3.92
307 A Fairleigh Dickinson 6-11 -5 -3 - -2.46
310 A Central Connecticut 17- 4 13 7 +++ 6.36
314 H Winthrop 6-17 -11 -2 --- -9.44
316 H Iona 6-12 -6 0 -- -5.76
319 H Delaware 3-19 -16 -15 0.00
321 H Liberty 7-24 -17 -9 -- -4.92
326 A Queens 4-19 -15 -7 --- -7.13
328 A Coastal Carolina 5-17 -12 -11 -0.71
404 A Kennesaw State 8-10 -2 -5 + 2.75
411 H Jacksonville 5-21 -16 -16 0.00
418 A Stetson 13-17 -4 -6 1.68
422 H Lindenwood 13-16 -3 -5 1.53
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 314 H Winthrop 6-17 -11 -2 --- -9.44 326 A Queens 4-19 -15 -7 --- -7.13 316 H Iona 6-12 -6 0 -- -5.76 321 H Liberty 7-24 -17 -9 -- -4.92 307 A Fairleigh Dickinson 6-11 -5 -3 - -2.46 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 H Canisius 17-16 1 -9 +++ 9.55 310 A Central Connecticut 17- 4 13 7 +++ 6.36 222 A Presbyterian 19-14 5 -1 ++ 5.92 301 H Eastern Michigan 10-13 -3 -7 + 3.92 404 A Kennesaw State 8-10 -2 -5 + 2.75 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Gardner Webb ( 2-15, 71.1) 15-14 -28.77 11.40 -1.37 1.02 20.44
0 A Furman (10- 9, 77.0) 9-17 -22.89 17.28 1.37 1.02 -10.96
0 A Presbyterian ( 5-12, 70.8) 19-14 -29.12 11.05 1.37 1.02 25.31
0 H Canisius (12- 5, 81.1) 17-16 -18.75 21.42 -1.37 1.02 40.86
0 H Eastern Michig (10- 7, 79.5) 10-13 -20.39 19.78 -1.37 1.02 -11.09
0 A Fairleigh Dick (10- 8, 72.4) 6-11 -27.50 12.67 1.37 1.02 -13.31
0 A Central Connec ( 1-14, 63.2) 17- 4 -36.68 3.49 1.37 1.02 9.90
0 H Winthrop ( 6-10, 74.2) 6-17 -25.75 14.42 -1.37 1.02 -13.81
0 H Iona ( 3-13, 72.8) 6-12 -27.07 13.10 -1.37 1.02 -14.49
0 H Delaware (13- 5, 87.5) 3-19 -12.38 27.78 -1.37 1.02 -7.01
0 H Liberty ( 8-11, 81.7) 7-24 -18.22 21.95 -1.37 1.02 -9.98
0 A Queens ( 3-12, 76.7) 4-19 -23.17 17.00 1.37 1.02 -11.11
0 A Coastal Caroli (10- 8, 81.1) 5-17 -18.76 21.41 1.37 1.02 -8.86
0 A Kennesaw State ( 8-10, 74.6) 8-10 -25.29 14.88 1.37 1.02 -12.19
0 H Jacksonville (13- 6, 89.0) 5-21 -10.86 29.30 -1.37 1.02 -6.23
0 A Stetson ( 3-13, 75.5) 13-17 -24.36 15.81 1.37 1.02 -11.71
0 H Lindenwood ( 8-11, 77.1) 13-16 -22.77 17.40 -1.37 1.02 -12.30
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-46.55
|
winning pts = 96.5055 losing points = -143.0548
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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