Pigskingeeks: College Football Playoff (CFP)
division games only

CLAUDE

Current top of their Coaches Poll ranking:

*** Old poll late in updating *** Oklahoma is 24th ****

Ohio State (1-1)
Georgia (2-0)
Texas (2-0)
Notre Dame (2-0)
Indiana (2-0)
Oregon (1-1)
Miami (2-0)
LSU (2-0)
Texas A&M (2-0)
Oklahoma (1-1)

Also in their top 15-20: Ole Miss, Alabama, Texas Tech, USC, BYU, Penn State, SMU, 
Tennessee, Washington, Utah.

A rough playoff projection from this data would lean on teams that combine a 
strong ranking with a favorable path in their conference:

SEC: Georgia, Texas, LSU, Texas A&M, Ole Miss, Alabama — an extremely deep group
Big Ten: Ohio State, Indiana, Oregon, Penn State — also stacked
ACC: Miami leads the way
Big 12: Texas Tech, BYU as the top contenders
Group of Five spot: likely Tulane, App State, or similar contenders based on 
their SOS/power ratings

Important caveat: This is Week 2-3 data — records like 1-1 and 2-0 reflect a 
tiny sample, and these rankings will shift dramatically as conference play
unfolds through October and November. A real playoff prediction becomes much more 
reliable starting in mid-to-late October once head-to-head results and conference
 standings take shape. If you want, I can check back with you closer to the first
 CFP rankings release (typically early November) for a sharper projection.

CHATGPT


Seed	Team	Likely route
1	Texas	SEC champion
2	Indiana	Big Ten champion
3	Miami	ACC champion
4	BYU	Big 12 champion
5	Notre Dame	Automatic bid if ranked in top 12
6	Georgia	At-large
7	Ohio State	At-large
8	LSU	At-large
9	Ole Miss	At-large
10	Texas A&M	At-large
11	Alabama	At-large
12	Best Group-of-Six champion	Automatic qualifier

The official 2026 format guarantees places to the ACC, Big Ten, Big 12 and SEC 
champions, plus the highest-ranked champion from the other six conferences.
Notre Dame receives an automatic bid if it finishes in the CFP top 12.

Teams closest to changing the projection
Michigan — perhaps the most interesting omission. Its victory over Oklahoma 
places it squarely in the race.
USC — a serious Big Ten at-large candidate if it loses no more than two games.
Texas Tech — could replace BYU as the Big 12 champion.
Tennessee — capable of replacing the sixth SEC team.
SMU or Louisville — possible second ACC team.
Oregon and Oklahoma — talented enough, but their early losses reduce their 
margin for error.

My strongest predictions are Texas, Georgia, Notre Dame, Indiana, Ohio State
and Miami. They have multiple paths into the field. The SEC could conceivably 
receive six places, although five is probably a safer expectation.

The current AP poll broadly supports this group: Texas, Georgia, Notre Dame, 
Indiana, Miami, Ohio State, LSU, Ole Miss, Texas A&M and Alabama presently
 occupy ten of its first ten positions

DEEPAI

 Consensus CFP Contenders

Based on odds, expert brackets, and projections from ESPN, CBS Sports, and others,
a clear tier of teams has emerged as the most likely to make the field:

    Notre Dame: The overwhelming favorite. They have the best odds to make the 
playoff (around -800) and are predicted as a top seed or the No. 1 overall seed 
by many experts.

    Ohio State: A near-consensus pick to make the field despite an early loss 
io Texas, with experts viewing them as a national title threat.

    Georgia: Consistently projected as a top-four seed and SEC champion in many
 brackets.

    Texas: After a huge comeback win over Ohio State, the Longhorns have surged 
to the top of some projections, including as the No. 1 seed in an AP-based bracket.

    Miami: A popular pick to win the ACC and secure a top-four seed with a
 potential first-round bye.

    Indiana, LSU, and Texas A&M: These teams are frequently listed in the next 
tier of contenders, often appearing in the 5-9 seed range in projected brackets.

📉 Teams on the Bubble

Several power programs are seen as being on the outside looking in or needing 
strong finishes:

    USC, Texas Tech, Penn State, and Alabama: These teams are often listed as the
 "first few teams out" or are projected to be in a fight for the final at-large 
spots.

    Boise State: The Broncos are widely considered the top Group of Six contender
and a likely automatic qualifier, often projected as the No. 12 seed.

If you're looking for a specific analyst's take (like from a "Pigskin Geeks" 
podcast), you might want to check their social media or podcast feed directly,
as their CFP picks may be discussed there rather than on their main site.