Air Force
W-L: (19-14) PR = 97.1537Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1010 A Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 1- 1 1011 A Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 2- 4 1017 A St. Thomas CCH (20-13, 97.9) 2- 1 1018 A St. Thomas CCH (20-13, 97.9) 6- 2 1024 H RIT AH (17-17, 96.6) 1- 5 1025 H RIT AH (17-17, 96.6) 3- 7 1031 A Brown ECAC ( 5-24, 95.5) 2- 0 1101 A Brown ECAC ( 5-24, 95.5) 4- 3 1107 H Sacred Heart AH (23-14, 97.4) 4- 1 1108 H Sacred Heart AH (23-14, 97.4) 3- 2 1114 A Holy Cross AH (18-18, 97.0) 2- 3 1115 A Holy Cross AH (18-18, 97.0) 1- 4 1121 H Army AH (12-17, 96.9) 6- 3 1122 H Army AH (12-17, 96.9) 3- 2 1128 H Canisius AH (17-16, 96.6) 6- 3 1129 H Canisius AH (17-16, 96.6) 3- 3 1205 A Rob Morris AH (17-20, 96.4) 4- 1 1206 A Rob Morris AH (17-20, 96.4) 3- 6 102 A Mich Tech CCH (22-12, 97.9) 8- 2 103 H Arizona St HE (15-22, 97.8) 2- 5 109 A Bentley AH (23-12, 97.6) 1- 5 110 A Bentley AH (23-12, 97.6) 1- 3 116 H Holy Cross AH (18-18, 97.0) 2- 3 117 H Holy Cross AH (18-18, 97.0) 5- 2 130 A Sacred Heart AH (23-14, 97.4) 5- 2 131 A Sacred Heart AH (23-14, 97.4) 2- 0 206 H Niagara AH (13-23, 96.1) 2- 1 207 H Niagara AH (13-23, 96.1) 2- 4 213 A Mercyhurst AH ( 6-27, 95.4) 3- 3 214 A Mercyhurst AH ( 6-27, 95.4) 5- 4 220 A Army AH (12-17, 96.9) 3- 4 221 A Army AH (12-17, 96.9) 227 H Bentley AH (23-12, 97.6) 3- 2 228 H Bentley AH (23-12, 97.6) 2- 0 306 H Rob Morris AH (17-20, 96.4) 3- 2 307 H Rob Morris AH (17-20, 96.4) 1- 4 308 H Rob Morris AH (17-20, 96.4) 2- 5
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1010 A Denver 1- 1 0 -3 + 2.76
1011 A Colorado Col 2- 4 -2 -1 -0.59
1017 A St. Thomas 2- 1 1 -1 1.80
1018 A St. Thomas 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 4.80
1024 H RIT 1- 5 -4 1 -- -4.53
1025 H RIT 3- 7 -4 1 -- -4.53
1031 A Brown 2- 0 2 2 0.35
1101 A Brown 4- 3 1 2 -0.65
1107 H Sacred Heart 4- 1 3 0 + 3.26
1108 H Sacred Heart 3- 2 1 0 1.26
1114 A Holy Cross 2- 3 -1 0 -1.11
1115 A Holy Cross 1- 4 -3 0 - -3.11
1121 H Army 6- 3 3 0 + 2.69
1122 H Army 3- 2 1 0 0.69
1128 H Canisius 6- 3 3 1 + 2.46
1129 H Canisius 3- 3 0 1 -0.54
1205 A Rob Morris 4- 1 3 1 + 2.29
1206 A Rob Morris 3- 6 -3 1 - -3.71
102 A Mich Tech 8- 2 6 -1 +++ 6.75
103 H Arizona St 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.41
109 A Bentley 1- 5 -4 0 - -3.50
110 A Bentley 1- 3 -2 0 -1.50
116 H Holy Cross 2- 3 -1 0 -1.13
117 H Holy Cross 5- 2 3 0 + 2.87
130 A Sacred Heart 5- 2 3 0 + 3.28
131 A Sacred Heart 2- 0 2 0 + 2.28
206 H Niagara 2- 1 1 1 -0.08
207 H Niagara 2- 4 -2 1 - -3.08
213 A Mercyhurst 3- 3 0 2 -1.79
214 A Mercyhurst 5- 4 1 2 -0.79
220 A Army 3- 4 -1 0 -1.29
227 H Bentley 3- 2 1 0 1.48
228 H Bentley 2- 0 2 0 + 2.48
306 H Rob Morris 3- 2 1 1 0.27
307 H Rob Morris 1- 4 -3 1 - -3.73
308 H Rob Morris 2- 5 -3 1 - -3.73
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1024 H RIT 1- 5 -4 1 -- -4.53 1025 H RIT 3- 7 -4 1 -- -4.53 1115 A Holy Cross 1- 4 -3 0 - -3.11 1206 A Rob Morris 3- 6 -3 1 - -3.71 103 H Arizona St 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.41 109 A Bentley 1- 5 -4 0 - -3.50 207 H Niagara 2- 4 -2 1 - -3.08 307 H Rob Morris 1- 4 -3 1 - -3.73 308 H Rob Morris 2- 5 -3 1 - -3.73 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 102 A Mich Tech 8- 2 6 -1 +++ 6.75 1018 A St. Thomas 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 4.80 1010 A Denver 1- 1 0 -3 + 2.76 1107 H Sacred Heart 4- 1 3 0 + 3.26 1121 H Army 6- 3 3 0 + 2.69 1128 H Canisius 6- 3 3 1 + 2.46 1205 A Rob Morris 4- 1 3 1 + 2.29 117 H Holy Cross 5- 2 3 0 + 2.87 130 A Sacred Heart 5- 2 3 0 + 3.28 131 A Sacred Heart 2- 0 2 0 + 2.28 228 H Bentley 2- 0 2 0 + 2.48 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Denver (27-11, 99.9) 1- 1 -0.00 4.65 0.01 1.01 0.00
0 A Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 2- 4 -1.34 3.31 0.01 1.01 -0.67
0 A St. Thomas (20-13, 97.9) 2- 1 -1.96 2.69 0.01 1.01 5.44
0 A St. Thomas (20-13, 97.9) 6- 2 -1.96 2.69 0.01 1.01 5.44
0 H RIT (17-17, 96.6) 1- 5 -3.27 1.38 -0.01 1.01 -1.65
0 H RIT (17-17, 96.6) 3- 7 -3.27 1.38 -0.01 1.01 -1.65
0 A Brown ( 5-24, 95.5) 2- 0 -4.40 1.00 0.01 1.01 2.04
0 A Brown ( 5-24, 95.5) 4- 3 -4.40 1.00 0.01 1.01 2.04
0 H Sacred Heart (23-14, 97.4) 4- 1 -2.47 2.18 -0.01 1.01 4.37
0 H Sacred Heart (23-14, 97.4) 3- 2 -2.47 2.18 -0.01 1.01 4.37
0 A Holy Cross (18-18, 97.0) 2- 3 -2.87 1.78 0.01 1.01 -1.44
0 A Holy Cross (18-18, 97.0) 1- 4 -2.87 1.78 0.01 1.01 -1.44
0 H Army (12-17, 96.9) 6- 3 -3.04 1.60 -0.01 1.01 3.21
0 H Army (12-17, 96.9) 3- 2 -3.04 1.60 -0.01 1.01 3.21
0 H Canisius (17-16, 96.6) 6- 3 -3.28 1.37 -0.01 1.01 2.75
0 H Canisius (17-16, 96.6) 3- 3 -3.28 1.37 -0.01 1.01 0.00
0 A Rob Morris (17-20, 96.4) 4- 1 -3.46 1.18 0.01 1.01 2.41
0 A Rob Morris (17-20, 96.4) 3- 6 -3.46 1.18 0.01 1.01 -1.74
0 A Mich Tech (22-12, 97.9) 8- 2 -2.00 2.65 0.01 1.01 5.36
0 H Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 2- 5 -2.14 2.51 -0.01 1.01 -1.08
0 A Bentley (23-12, 97.6) 1- 5 -2.26 2.39 0.01 1.01 -1.13
0 A Bentley (23-12, 97.6) 1- 3 -2.26 2.39 0.01 1.01 -1.13
0 H Holy Cross (18-18, 97.0) 2- 3 -2.87 1.78 -0.01 1.01 -1.45
0 H Holy Cross (18-18, 97.0) 5- 2 -2.87 1.78 -0.01 1.01 3.58
0 A Sacred Heart (23-14, 97.4) 5- 2 -2.47 2.18 0.01 1.01 4.41
0 A Sacred Heart (23-14, 97.4) 2- 0 -2.47 2.18 0.01 1.01 4.41
0 H Niagara (13-23, 96.1) 2- 1 -3.81 1.00 -0.01 1.01 2.00
0 H Niagara (13-23, 96.1) 2- 4 -3.81 1.00 -0.01 1.01 -1.93
0 A Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.4) 3- 3 -4.55 1.00 0.01 1.01 0.00
0 A Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.4) 5- 4 -4.55 1.00 0.01 1.01 2.04
0 A Army (12-17, 96.9) 3- 4 -3.04 1.60 0.01 1.01 -1.53
0 H Bentley (23-12, 97.6) 3- 2 -2.26 2.39 -0.01 1.01 4.80
0 H Bentley (23-12, 97.6) 2- 0 -2.26 2.39 -0.01 1.01 4.80
0 H Rob Morris (17-20, 96.4) 3- 2 -3.46 1.18 -0.01 1.01 2.37
0 H Rob Morris (17-20, 96.4) 1- 4 -3.46 1.18 -0.01 1.01 -1.75
0 H Rob Morris (17-20, 96.4) 2- 5 -3.46 1.18 -0.01 1.01 -1.75
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48.67
|
winning pts = 69.0269 losing points = -20.3523
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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