Alaska Anch
W-L: ( 5-23) PR = 95.3739Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1003 A Wisconsin B10 (25-12, 99.1) 2- 9 1004 A L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 0- 5 1024 H St Cloud St HE (16-19, 98.4) 2- 5 1025 H St Cloud St HE (16-19, 98.4) 1- 5 1031 H Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 4- 3 1101 H Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 0- 6 1114 H Bentley AH (23-12, 97.6) 1- 2 1115 H Bentley AH (23-12, 97.6) 3- 2 1118 H Stonehill IND (10-22, 96.5) 4- 0 1119 H Brown ECAC ( 5-24, 95.5) 2- 5 1120 H Holy Cross AH (18-18, 97.0) 2- 7 1123 H Holy Cross AH (18-18, 97.0) 0- 1 1205 A North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 2- 3 1206 A North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 3- 4 102 H Arizona St HE (15-22, 97.8) 2- 7 103 A Mich Tech CCH (22-12, 97.9) 0- 5 109 H Wisconsin B10 (25-12, 99.1) 0- 5 110 H Wisconsin B10 (25-12, 99.1) 2- 3 123 A Princeton ECAC (21-14, 97.7) 2- 6 124 A Princeton ECAC (21-14, 97.7) 0- 4 127 A LIU IND (11-16, 96.7) 3- 4 206 A Cornell ECAC (23-11, 98.5) 1- 4 207 A Colgate ECAC (13-21, 96.6) 3- 2 213 H Lindenwood IND (14-14, 97.0) 5- 4 214 H Lindenwood IND (14-14, 97.0) 2- 4 221 A Alaska IND (11-14, 97.3) 2- 6 305 H Stonehill IND (10-22, 96.5) 0- 3 306 H LIU IND (11-16, 96.7) 3- 4
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1003 A Wisconsin 2- 9 -7 -4 - -3.28
1004 A L Superor 0- 5 -5 -1 - -3.68
1024 H St Cloud St 2- 5 -3 -3 -0.03
1025 H St Cloud St 1- 5 -4 -3 -1.03
1031 H Denver 4- 3 1 -5 ++ 5.52
1101 H Denver 0- 6 -6 -5 -1.48
1114 H Bentley 1- 2 -1 -2 1.26
1115 H Bentley 3- 2 1 -2 + 3.26
1118 H Stonehill 4- 0 4 -1 ++ 5.07
1119 H Brown 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.89
1120 H Holy Cross 2- 7 -5 -2 - -3.35
1205 A North Dakota 2- 3 -1 -4 + 3.22
1206 A North Dakota 3- 4 -1 -4 + 3.22
102 H Arizona St 2- 7 -5 -2 - -2.63
103 A Mich Tech 0- 5 -5 -3 - -2.47
109 H Wisconsin 0- 5 -5 -4 -1.30
110 H Wisconsin 2- 3 -1 -4 + 2.70
123 A Princeton 2- 6 -4 -2 -1.68
124 A Princeton 0- 4 -4 -2 -1.68
127 A LIU 3- 4 -1 -1 0.30
206 A Cornell 1- 4 -3 -3 0.10
207 A Colgate 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.22
213 H Lindenwood 5- 4 1 -2 + 2.64
214 H Lindenwood 2- 4 -2 -2 -0.36
221 A Alaska 2- 6 -4 -2 - -2.04
305 H Stonehill 0- 3 -3 -1 -1.93
306 H LIU 3- 4 -1 -1 0.28
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1003 A Wisconsin 2- 9 -7 -4 - -3.28 1004 A L Superor 0- 5 -5 -1 - -3.68 1119 H Brown 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.89 1120 H Holy Cross 2- 7 -5 -2 - -3.35 102 H Arizona St 2- 7 -5 -2 - -2.63 103 A Mich Tech 0- 5 -5 -3 - -2.47 221 A Alaska 2- 6 -4 -2 - -2.04 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1031 H Denver 4- 3 1 -5 ++ 5.52 1118 H Stonehill 4- 0 4 -1 ++ 5.07 1115 H Bentley 3- 2 1 -2 + 3.26 1205 A North Dakota 2- 3 -1 -4 + 3.22 1206 A North Dakota 3- 4 -1 -4 + 3.22 110 H Wisconsin 2- 3 -1 -4 + 2.70 207 A Colgate 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.22 213 H Lindenwood 5- 4 1 -2 + 2.64 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Wisconsin (25-12, 99.1) 2- 9 -0.81 3.84 0.01 1.30 -0.52
3 A L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 0- 5 -3.22 1.43 0.01 1.30 -2.08
3 H St Cloud St (16-19, 98.4) 2- 5 -1.54 3.11 -0.01 1.30 -1.01
3 H St Cloud St (16-19, 98.4) 1- 5 -1.54 3.11 -0.01 1.30 -1.01
3 H Denver (27-11, 99.9) 4- 3 -0.00 4.65 -0.01 1.30 12.02
3 H Denver (27-11, 99.9) 0- 6 -0.00 4.65 -0.01 1.30 -0.01
3 H Bentley (23-12, 97.6) 1- 2 -2.26 2.39 -0.01 1.30 -1.47
3 H Bentley (23-12, 97.6) 3- 2 -2.26 2.39 -0.01 1.30 6.17
3 H Stonehill (10-22, 96.5) 4- 0 -3.44 1.20 -0.01 1.30 3.10
3 H Brown ( 5-24, 95.5) 2- 5 -4.40 1.00 -0.01 1.30 -2.86
3 H Holy Cross (18-18, 97.0) 2- 7 -2.87 1.78 -0.01 1.30 -1.86
3 H Holy Cross (18-18, 97.0) 0- 1 -2.87 1.78 -0.01 1.30 -1.86
3 A North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 2- 3 -0.31 4.34 0.01 1.30 -0.20
3 A North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 3- 4 -0.31 4.34 0.01 1.30 -0.20
3 H Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 2- 7 -2.14 2.51 -0.01 1.30 -1.39
3 A Mich Tech (22-12, 97.9) 0- 5 -2.00 2.65 0.01 1.30 -1.29
3 H Wisconsin (25-12, 99.1) 0- 5 -0.81 3.84 -0.01 1.30 -0.53
3 H Wisconsin (25-12, 99.1) 2- 3 -0.81 3.84 -0.01 1.30 -0.53
3 A Princeton (21-14, 97.7) 2- 6 -2.22 2.43 0.01 1.30 -1.43
3 A Princeton (21-14, 97.7) 0- 4 -2.22 2.43 0.01 1.30 -1.43
3 A LIU (11-16, 96.7) 3- 4 -3.24 1.41 0.01 1.30 -2.09
3 A Cornell (23-11, 98.5) 1- 4 -1.44 3.21 0.01 1.30 -0.92
3 A Colgate (13-21, 96.6) 3- 2 -3.31 1.34 0.01 1.30 3.49
3 H Lindenwood (14-14, 97.0) 5- 4 -2.87 1.78 -0.01 1.30 4.58
3 H Lindenwood (14-14, 97.0) 2- 4 -2.87 1.78 -0.01 1.30 -1.87
3 A Alaska (11-14, 97.3) 2- 6 -2.58 2.07 0.01 1.30 -1.66
3 H Stonehill (10-22, 96.5) 0- 3 -3.44 1.20 -0.01 1.30 -2.24
3 H LIU (11-16, 96.7) 3- 4 -3.24 1.41 -0.01 1.30 -2.10
------
-1.20
|
winning pts = 29.3649 losing points = -30.5601
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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