Alaska
W-L: (11-14) PR = 97.3250Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1003 A Wisconsin B10 (25-12, 99.1) 1- 5 1004 A L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 1- 4 1010 H Quinnipiac ECAC (27-11, 98.8) 2- 1 1011 H Arizona St HE (15-22, 97.8) 2- 5 1017 A Arizona St HE (15-22, 97.8) 1- 3 1018 A Arizona St HE (15-22, 97.8) 5- 1 1024 H Wisconsin B10 (25-12, 99.1) 3- 5 1025 H Wisconsin B10 (25-12, 99.1) 1- 4 1031 H Princeton ECAC (21-14, 97.7) 2- 5 1101 H Princeton ECAC (21-14, 97.7) 3- 6 1104 H Quinnipiac ECAC (27-11, 98.8) 2- 2 1128 A St Lawrence ECAC ( 7-25, 95.3) 2- 0 1129 A Clarkson ECAC (18-19, 97.2) 3- 2 1212 H Union ECAC (22-14, 97.8) 1- 5 1213 H Union ECAC (22-14, 97.8) 2- 3 102 H Providence HE (22-11, 98.9) 2- 5 103 H Providence HE (22-11, 98.9) 5- 1 109 H Cornell ECAC (23-11, 98.5) 1- 7 110 H Cornell ECAC (23-11, 98.5) 2- 5 116 A Clarkson ECAC (18-19, 97.2) 1- 1 117 A Clarkson ECAC (18-19, 97.2) 4- 1 123 A Princeton ECAC (21-14, 97.7) 5- 2 124 A Princeton ECAC (21-14, 97.7) 4- 7 130 A Bowl Green CCH (18-12, 97.7) 5- 1 221 H Alaska Anch IND ( 5-23, 95.4) 6- 2 228 A Union ECAC (22-14, 97.8) 5- 1 306 A Stonehill IND (10-22, 96.5) 4- 4 307 H Lindenwood IND (14-14, 97.0) 4- 3
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1003 A Wisconsin 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.23
1004 A L Superor 1- 4 -3 1 - -3.63
1010 H Quinnipiac 2- 1 1 -1 + 2.44
1011 H Arizona St 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.58
1017 A Arizona St 1- 3 -2 0 -1.56
1018 A Arizona St 5- 1 4 0 ++ 4.44
1024 H Wisconsin 3- 5 -2 -2 -0.25
1025 H Wisconsin 1- 4 -3 -2 -1.25
1031 H Princeton 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.65
1101 H Princeton 3- 6 -3 0 - -2.65
1104 H Quinnipiac 2- 2 0 -1 1.44
1128 A St Lawrence 2- 0 2 2 -0.06
1129 A Clarkson 3- 2 1 0 0.86
1212 H Union 1- 5 -4 0 - -3.51
1213 H Union 2- 3 -1 0 -0.51
102 H Providence 2- 5 -3 -2 -1.39
103 H Providence 5- 1 4 -2 ++ 5.61
109 H Cornell 1- 7 -6 -1 -- -4.87
110 H Cornell 2- 5 -3 -1 -1.87
116 A Clarkson 1- 1 0 0 -0.14
117 A Clarkson 4- 1 3 0 + 2.86
123 A Princeton 5- 2 3 0 + 3.37
124 A Princeton 4- 7 -3 0 - -2.63
130 A Bowl Green 5- 1 4 0 ++ 4.39
221 H Alaska Anch 6- 2 4 2 + 2.04
228 A Union 5- 1 4 -1 ++ 4.51
306 A Stonehill 4- 4 0 1 -0.86
307 H Lindenwood 4- 3 1 0 0.69
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 109 H Cornell 1- 7 -6 -1 -- -4.87 1003 A Wisconsin 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.23 1004 A L Superor 1- 4 -3 1 - -3.63 1011 H Arizona St 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.58 1031 H Princeton 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.65 1101 H Princeton 3- 6 -3 0 - -2.65 1212 H Union 1- 5 -4 0 - -3.51 124 A Princeton 4- 7 -3 0 - -2.63 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1018 A Arizona St 5- 1 4 0 ++ 4.44 103 H Providence 5- 1 4 -2 ++ 5.61 130 A Bowl Green 5- 1 4 0 ++ 4.39 228 A Union 5- 1 4 -1 ++ 4.51 1010 H Quinnipiac 2- 1 1 -1 + 2.44 117 A Clarkson 4- 1 3 0 + 2.86 123 A Princeton 5- 2 3 0 + 3.37 221 H Alaska Anch 6- 2 4 2 + 2.04 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Wisconsin (25-12, 99.1) 1- 5 -0.81 3.84 0.01 1.30 -0.52
3 A L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 1- 4 -3.22 1.43 0.01 1.30 -2.08
3 H Quinnipiac (27-11, 98.8) 2- 1 -1.13 3.52 -0.01 1.30 9.10
3 H Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 2- 5 -2.14 2.51 -0.01 1.30 -1.39
3 A Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 1- 3 -2.14 2.51 0.01 1.30 -1.38
3 A Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 5- 1 -2.14 2.51 0.01 1.30 6.53
3 H Wisconsin (25-12, 99.1) 3- 5 -0.81 3.84 -0.01 1.30 -0.53
3 H Wisconsin (25-12, 99.1) 1- 4 -0.81 3.84 -0.01 1.30 -0.53
3 H Princeton (21-14, 97.7) 2- 5 -2.22 2.43 -0.01 1.30 -1.44
3 H Princeton (21-14, 97.7) 3- 6 -2.22 2.43 -0.01 1.30 -1.44
3 H Quinnipiac (27-11, 98.8) 2- 2 -1.13 3.52 -0.01 1.30 0.00
3 A St Lawrence ( 7-25, 95.3) 2- 0 -4.65 1.00 0.01 1.30 2.62
3 A Clarkson (18-19, 97.2) 3- 2 -2.73 1.92 0.01 1.30 5.01
3 H Union (22-14, 97.8) 1- 5 -2.08 2.57 -0.01 1.30 -1.35
3 H Union (22-14, 97.8) 2- 3 -2.08 2.57 -0.01 1.30 -1.35
3 H Providence (22-11, 98.9) 2- 5 -0.95 3.70 -0.01 1.30 -0.62
3 H Providence (22-11, 98.9) 5- 1 -0.95 3.70 -0.01 1.30 9.56
3 H Cornell (23-11, 98.5) 1- 7 -1.44 3.21 -0.01 1.30 -0.94
3 H Cornell (23-11, 98.5) 2- 5 -1.44 3.21 -0.01 1.30 -0.94
3 A Clarkson (18-19, 97.2) 1- 1 -2.73 1.92 0.01 1.30 0.00
3 A Clarkson (18-19, 97.2) 4- 1 -2.73 1.92 0.01 1.30 5.01
3 A Princeton (21-14, 97.7) 5- 2 -2.22 2.43 0.01 1.30 6.33
3 A Princeton (21-14, 97.7) 4- 7 -2.22 2.43 0.01 1.30 -1.43
3 A Bowl Green (18-12, 97.7) 5- 1 -2.19 2.46 0.01 1.30 6.39
3 H Alaska Anch ( 5-23, 95.4) 6- 2 -4.53 1.00 -0.01 1.30 2.57
3 A Union (22-14, 97.8) 5- 1 -2.08 2.57 0.01 1.30 6.69
3 A Stonehill (10-22, 96.5) 4- 4 -3.44 1.20 0.01 1.30 0.00
3 H Lindenwood (14-14, 97.0) 4- 3 -2.87 1.78 -0.01 1.30 4.58
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48.42
|
winning pts = 64.3742 losing points = -15.9570
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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