Arizona St
W-L: (15-22) PR = 97.7583Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1003 A Penn State B10 (20-15, 98.5) 3- 6 1004 A Penn State B10 (20-15, 98.5) 2- 4 1010 A Notre Dame B10 ( 9-23, 97.2) 5- 3 1011 A Alaska IND (11-14, 97.3) 5- 2 1017 H Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 2- 4 1017 H Alaska IND (11-14, 97.3) 3- 1 1018 H Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 2- 5 1018 H Alaska IND (11-14, 97.3) 1- 5 1031 H Miami HE (18-16, 98.2) 4- 1 1101 H Miami HE (18-16, 98.2) 2- 5 1107 A Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 3- 3 1108 A Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 1- 3 1114 H North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 2- 5 1115 H North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 4- 2 1121 A Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 1- 7 1122 A Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 3- 2 1128 A Ohio State B10 (15-20, 98.3) 3- 2 1129 A Ohio State B10 (15-20, 98.3) 4- 3 1212 H Minn Duluth HE (22-15, 99.3) 1- 3 1213 H Minn Duluth HE (22-15, 99.3) 6- 3 1227 H Dartmouth ECAC (23- 8, 98.5) 5- 1 1228 H Dartmouth ECAC (23- 8, 98.5) 1- 4 102 A Alaska Anch IND ( 5-23, 95.4) 7- 2 103 A Air Force AH (19-14, 97.2) 5- 2 109 A Miami HE (18-16, 98.2) 1- 2 110 A Miami HE (18-16, 98.2) 1- 0 123 A North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 4- 7 124 A North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 3- 5 130 H Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 6- 5 131 H Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 1- 4 206 A St Cloud St HE (16-19, 98.4) 1- 4 207 A St Cloud St HE (16-19, 98.4) 3- 4 213 H Western Mich HE (27-11, 99.7) 2- 6 214 H Western Mich HE (27-11, 99.7) 2- 7 220 A Omaha HE (12-24, 97.7) 2- 4 221 A Omaha HE (12-24, 97.7) 6- 3 227 H Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 2- 5 228 H Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 1- 4
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1003 A Penn State 3- 6 -3 -1 - -2.21
1004 A Penn State 2- 4 -2 -1 -1.21
1010 A Notre Dame 5- 3 2 1 1.44
1011 A Alaska 5- 2 3 0 + 2.58
1017 H Augustana 2- 4 -2 -1 -1.29
1017 H Alaska 3- 1 2 0 1.56
1018 H Augustana 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.29
1018 H Alaska 1- 5 -4 0 -- -4.44
1031 H Miami 4- 1 3 0 + 3.41
1101 H Miami 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.59
1107 A Colorado Col 3- 3 0 -1 0.81
1108 A Colorado Col 1- 3 -2 -1 -1.19
1114 H North Dakota 2- 5 -3 -2 -1.18
1115 H North Dakota 4- 2 2 -2 + 3.82
1121 A Denver 1- 7 -6 -2 - -3.85
1122 A Denver 3- 2 1 -2 + 3.15
1128 A Ohio State 3- 2 1 -1 1.52
1129 A Ohio State 4- 3 1 -1 1.52
1212 H Minn Duluth 1- 3 -2 -1 -0.51
1213 H Minn Duluth 6- 3 3 -1 ++ 4.49
1227 H Dartmouth 5- 1 4 -1 ++ 4.72
1228 H Dartmouth 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.28
102 A Alaska Anch 7- 2 5 2 + 2.63
103 A Air Force 5- 2 3 1 + 2.41
109 A Miami 1- 2 -1 0 -0.57
123 A North Dakota 4- 7 -3 -2 -1.16
124 A North Dakota 3- 5 -2 -2 -0.16
130 H Colorado Col 6- 5 1 -1 1.79
131 H Colorado Col 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.21
206 A St Cloud St 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.39
207 A St Cloud St 3- 4 -1 -1 -0.39
213 H Western Mich 2- 6 -4 -2 - -2.08
214 H Western Mich 2- 7 -5 -2 - -3.08
220 A Omaha 2- 4 -2 0 - -2.00
221 A Omaha 6- 3 3 0 + 3.00
227 H Denver 2- 5 -3 -2 -0.87
228 H Denver 1- 4 -3 -2 -0.87
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1018 H Alaska 1- 5 -4 0 -- -4.44 1003 A Penn State 3- 6 -3 -1 - -2.21 1018 H Augustana 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.29 1101 H Miami 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.59 1121 A Denver 1- 7 -6 -2 - -3.85 1228 H Dartmouth 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.28 131 H Colorado Col 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.21 206 A St Cloud St 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.39 213 H Western Mich 2- 6 -4 -2 - -2.08 214 H Western Mich 2- 7 -5 -2 - -3.08 220 A Omaha 2- 4 -2 0 - -2.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1213 H Minn Duluth 6- 3 3 -1 ++ 4.49 1227 H Dartmouth 5- 1 4 -1 ++ 4.72 1011 A Alaska 5- 2 3 0 + 2.58 1031 H Miami 4- 1 3 0 + 3.41 1115 H North Dakota 4- 2 2 -2 + 3.82 1122 A Denver 3- 2 1 -2 + 3.15 102 A Alaska Anch 7- 2 5 2 + 2.63 103 A Air Force 5- 2 3 1 + 2.41 221 A Omaha 6- 3 3 0 + 3.00 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Penn State (20-15, 98.5) 3- 6 -1.36 3.29 0.01 0.95 -0.65
3 A Penn State (20-15, 98.5) 2- 4 -1.36 3.29 0.01 0.95 -0.65
3 A Notre Dame ( 9-23, 97.2) 5- 3 -2.71 1.94 0.01 0.95 3.72
3 A Alaska (11-14, 97.3) 5- 2 -2.58 2.07 0.01 0.95 3.98
3 H Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 2- 4 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 0.95 -0.68
3 H Alaska (11-14, 97.3) 3- 1 -2.58 2.07 -0.01 0.95 3.94
3 H Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 2- 5 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 0.95 -0.68
3 H Alaska (11-14, 97.3) 1- 5 -2.58 2.07 -0.01 0.95 -1.23
3 H Miami (18-16, 98.2) 4- 1 -1.73 2.92 -0.01 0.95 5.57
3 H Miami (18-16, 98.2) 2- 5 -1.73 2.92 -0.01 0.95 -0.83
3 A Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 3- 3 -1.34 3.31 0.01 0.95 0.00
3 A Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 1- 3 -1.34 3.31 0.01 0.95 -0.64
3 H North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 2- 5 -0.31 4.34 -0.01 0.95 -0.15
3 H North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 4- 2 -0.31 4.34 -0.01 0.95 8.26
3 A Denver (27-11, 99.9) 1- 7 -0.00 4.65 0.01 0.95 -0.00
3 A Denver (27-11, 99.9) 3- 2 -0.00 4.65 0.01 0.95 8.90
3 A Ohio State (15-20, 98.3) 3- 2 -1.63 3.02 0.01 0.95 5.79
3 A Ohio State (15-20, 98.3) 4- 3 -1.63 3.02 0.01 0.95 5.79
3 H Minn Duluth (22-15, 99.3) 1- 3 -0.64 4.01 -0.01 0.95 -0.31
3 H Minn Duluth (22-15, 99.3) 6- 3 -0.64 4.01 -0.01 0.95 7.64
3 H Dartmouth (23- 8, 98.5) 5- 1 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 0.95 6.16
3 H Dartmouth (23- 8, 98.5) 1- 4 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 0.95 -0.68
3 A Alaska Anch ( 5-23, 95.4) 7- 2 -4.53 1.00 0.01 0.95 1.93
3 A Air Force (19-14, 97.2) 5- 2 -2.75 1.90 0.01 0.95 3.65
3 A Miami (18-16, 98.2) 1- 2 -1.73 2.92 0.01 0.95 -0.82
3 A Miami (18-16, 98.2) 1- 0 -1.73 2.92 0.01 0.95 5.60
3 A North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 4- 7 -0.31 4.34 0.01 0.95 -0.14
3 A North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 3- 5 -0.31 4.34 0.01 0.95 -0.14
3 H Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 6- 5 -1.34 3.31 -0.01 0.95 6.30
3 H Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 1- 4 -1.34 3.31 -0.01 0.95 -0.65
3 A St Cloud St (16-19, 98.4) 1- 4 -1.54 3.11 0.01 0.95 -0.73
3 A St Cloud St (16-19, 98.4) 3- 4 -1.54 3.11 0.01 0.95 -0.73
3 H Western Mich (27-11, 99.7) 2- 6 -0.21 4.44 -0.01 0.95 -0.11
3 H Western Mich (27-11, 99.7) 2- 7 -0.21 4.44 -0.01 0.95 -0.11
3 A Omaha (12-24, 97.7) 2- 4 -2.15 2.49 0.01 0.95 -1.02
3 A Omaha (12-24, 97.7) 6- 3 -2.15 2.49 0.01 0.95 4.78
3 H Denver (27-11, 99.9) 2- 5 -0.00 4.65 -0.01 0.95 -0.00
3 H Denver (27-11, 99.9) 1- 4 -0.00 4.65 -0.01 0.95 -0.00
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71.05
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winning pts = 82.0132 losing points = -10.9672
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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