Army
W-L: (12-17) PR = 96.8552Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1004 H Union ECAC (22-14, 97.8) 1- 1 1010 H North Eastern HE (18-18, 97.9) 2- 1 1012 A Stonehill IND (10-22, 96.5) 6- 1 1014 A Canisius AH (17-16, 96.6) 1- 3 1024 A Holy Cross AH (18-18, 97.0) 5- 2 1025 A Holy Cross AH (18-18, 97.0) 1- 5 1101 H Canisius AH (17-16, 96.6) 2- 2 1107 H Bentley AH (23-12, 97.6) 3- 3 1109 A Bentley AH (23-12, 97.6) 2- 3 1114 H Niagara AH (13-23, 96.1) 4- 6 1115 H Niagara AH (13-23, 96.1) 1- 4 1121 A Air Force AH (19-14, 97.2) 3- 6 1122 A Air Force AH (19-14, 97.2) 2- 3 1125 A Bentley AH (23-12, 97.6) 1- 3 1129 A UMass HE (22-13, 98.3) 5- 4 1205 H Sacred Heart AH (23-14, 97.4) 3- 3 1206 H Sacred Heart AH (23-14, 97.4) 2- 0 1212 H Dartmouth ECAC (23- 8, 98.5) 0- 3 1213 H Vermont HE (13-21, 96.5) 3- 0 1228 H LIU IND (11-16, 96.7) 4- 4 102 A North Eastern HE (18-18, 97.9) 5- 2 109 H Mercyhurst AH ( 6-27, 95.4) 0- 3 110 H Mercyhurst AH ( 6-27, 95.4) 5- 0 116 A Rob Morris AH (17-20, 96.4) 3- 2 117 A Rob Morris AH (17-20, 96.4) 0- 3 129 H Holy Cross AH (18-18, 97.0) 3- 2 130 H Holy Cross AH (18-18, 97.0) 0- 3 206 A RIT AH (17-17, 96.6) 6- 2 207 A RIT AH (17-17, 96.6) 2- 3 210 H Bentley AH (23-12, 97.6) 3- 4 220 H Air Force AH (19-14, 97.2) 4- 3 221 H Air Force AH (19-14, 97.2) 227 A Sacred Heart AH (23-14, 97.4) 2- 3 228 A Sacred Heart AH (23-14, 97.4) 3- 4 303 H Niagara AH (13-23, 96.1) 4- 5
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1004 H Union 1- 1 0 -1 0.96
1010 H North Eastern 2- 1 1 -1 2.00
1012 A Stonehill 6- 1 5 0 ++ 4.61
1014 A Canisius 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.22
1024 A Holy Cross 5- 2 3 0 + 3.19
1025 A Holy Cross 1- 5 -4 0 - -3.81
1101 H Canisius 2- 2 0 0 -0.24
1107 H Bentley 3- 3 0 -1 0.78
1109 A Bentley 2- 3 -1 -1 -0.20
1114 H Niagara 4- 6 -2 1 - -2.78
1115 H Niagara 1- 4 -3 1 - -3.78
1121 A Air Force 3- 6 -3 0 - -2.69
1122 A Air Force 2- 3 -1 0 -0.69
1125 A Bentley 1- 3 -2 -1 -1.20
1129 A UMass 5- 4 1 -1 + 2.41
1205 H Sacred Heart 3- 3 0 -1 0.56
1206 H Sacred Heart 2- 0 2 -1 + 2.56
1212 H Dartmouth 0- 3 -3 -2 -1.38
1213 H Vermont 3- 0 3 0 + 2.61
1228 H LIU 4- 4 0 0 -0.20
102 A North Eastern 5- 2 3 -1 ++ 4.02
109 H Mercyhurst 0- 3 -3 2 -- -4.51
110 H Mercyhurst 5- 0 5 2 + 3.49
116 A Rob Morris 3- 2 1 0 0.59
117 A Rob Morris 0- 3 -3 0 - -3.41
129 H Holy Cross 3- 2 1 0 1.17
130 H Holy Cross 0- 3 -3 0 - -2.83
206 A RIT 6- 2 4 0 + 3.79
207 A RIT 2- 3 -1 0 -1.21
210 H Bentley 3- 4 -1 -1 -0.22
220 H Air Force 4- 3 1 0 1.29
227 A Sacred Heart 2- 3 -1 -1 -0.42
228 A Sacred Heart 3- 4 -1 -1 -0.42
303 H Niagara 4- 5 -1 1 -1.78
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 109 H Mercyhurst 0- 3 -3 2 -- -4.51 1014 A Canisius 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.22 1025 A Holy Cross 1- 5 -4 0 - -3.81 1114 H Niagara 4- 6 -2 1 - -2.78 1115 H Niagara 1- 4 -3 1 - -3.78 1121 A Air Force 3- 6 -3 0 - -2.69 117 A Rob Morris 0- 3 -3 0 - -3.41 130 H Holy Cross 0- 3 -3 0 - -2.83 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1012 A Stonehill 6- 1 5 0 ++ 4.61 102 A North Eastern 5- 2 3 -1 ++ 4.02 1024 A Holy Cross 5- 2 3 0 + 3.19 1129 A UMass 5- 4 1 -1 + 2.41 1206 H Sacred Heart 2- 0 2 -1 + 2.56 1213 H Vermont 3- 0 3 0 + 2.61 110 H Mercyhurst 5- 0 5 2 + 3.49 206 A RIT 6- 2 4 0 + 3.79 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Union (22-14, 97.8) 1- 1 -2.08 2.57 -0.01 1.07 0.00
0 H North Eastern (18-18, 97.9) 2- 1 -2.04 2.61 -0.01 1.07 5.56
0 A Stonehill (10-22, 96.5) 6- 1 -3.44 1.20 0.01 1.07 2.59
0 A Canisius (17-16, 96.6) 1- 3 -3.28 1.37 0.01 1.07 -1.74
0 A Holy Cross (18-18, 97.0) 5- 2 -2.87 1.78 0.01 1.07 3.83
0 A Holy Cross (18-18, 97.0) 1- 5 -2.87 1.78 0.01 1.07 -1.52
0 H Canisius (17-16, 96.6) 2- 2 -3.28 1.37 -0.01 1.07 0.00
0 H Bentley (23-12, 97.6) 3- 3 -2.26 2.39 -0.01 1.07 0.00
0 A Bentley (23-12, 97.6) 2- 3 -2.26 2.39 0.01 1.07 -1.20
0 H Niagara (13-23, 96.1) 4- 6 -3.81 1.00 -0.01 1.07 -2.04
0 H Niagara (13-23, 96.1) 1- 4 -3.81 1.00 -0.01 1.07 -2.04
0 A Air Force (19-14, 97.2) 3- 6 -2.75 1.90 0.01 1.07 -1.46
0 A Air Force (19-14, 97.2) 2- 3 -2.75 1.90 0.01 1.07 -1.46
0 A Bentley (23-12, 97.6) 1- 3 -2.26 2.39 0.01 1.07 -1.20
0 A UMass (22-13, 98.3) 5- 4 -1.64 3.00 0.01 1.07 6.43
0 H Sacred Heart (23-14, 97.4) 3- 3 -2.47 2.18 -0.01 1.07 0.00
0 H Sacred Heart (23-14, 97.4) 2- 0 -2.47 2.18 -0.01 1.07 4.62
0 H Dartmouth (23- 8, 98.5) 0- 3 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 1.07 -0.76
0 H Vermont (13-21, 96.5) 3- 0 -3.43 1.22 -0.01 1.07 2.59
0 H LIU (11-16, 96.7) 4- 4 -3.24 1.41 -0.01 1.07 0.00
0 A North Eastern (18-18, 97.9) 5- 2 -2.04 2.61 0.01 1.07 5.60
0 H Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.4) 0- 3 -4.55 1.00 -0.01 1.07 -2.43
0 H Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.4) 5- 0 -4.55 1.00 -0.01 1.07 2.11
0 A Rob Morris (17-20, 96.4) 3- 2 -3.46 1.18 0.01 1.07 2.55
0 A Rob Morris (17-20, 96.4) 0- 3 -3.46 1.18 0.01 1.07 -1.84
0 H Holy Cross (18-18, 97.0) 3- 2 -2.87 1.78 -0.01 1.07 3.79
0 H Holy Cross (18-18, 97.0) 0- 3 -2.87 1.78 -0.01 1.07 -1.53
0 A RIT (17-17, 96.6) 6- 2 -3.27 1.38 0.01 1.07 2.97
0 A RIT (17-17, 96.6) 2- 3 -3.27 1.38 0.01 1.07 -1.74
0 H Bentley (23-12, 97.6) 3- 4 -2.26 2.39 -0.01 1.07 -1.21
0 H Air Force (19-14, 97.2) 4- 3 -2.75 1.90 -0.01 1.07 4.04
0 A Sacred Heart (23-14, 97.4) 2- 3 -2.47 2.18 0.01 1.07 -1.31
0 A Sacred Heart (23-14, 97.4) 3- 4 -2.47 2.18 0.01 1.07 -1.31
0 H Niagara (13-23, 96.1) 4- 5 -3.81 1.00 -0.01 1.07 -2.04
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19.83
|
winning pts = 46.6833 losing points = -26.8553
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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