Augustana
W-L: (22-11) PR = 98.4776Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1010 H Minn Duluth HE (22-15, 99.3) 1- 4 1011 H Minn Duluth HE (22-15, 99.3) 4- 0 1017 A Arizona St HE (15-22, 97.8) 4- 2 1018 A Arizona St HE (15-22, 97.8) 5- 2 1024 H Bemidji St CCH (11-19, 97.1) 0- 1 1025 H Bemidji St CCH (11-19, 97.1) 2- 3 1031 A No Mich CCH ( 3-29, 95.6) 2- 1 1101 A No Mich CCH ( 3-29, 95.6) 3- 1 1107 H Ferris St CCH ( 8-27, 96.5) 4- 2 1108 H Ferris St CCH ( 8-27, 96.5) 0- 2 1115 A St. Thomas CCH (20-13, 97.9) 4- 4 1128 H L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 1- 2 1129 H L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 2- 1 1205 A Bemidji St CCH (11-19, 97.1) 3- 1 1207 A North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 4- 4 1212 A Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 3- 1 1213 A Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 4- 4 1219 A Omaha HE (12-24, 97.7) 7- 4 1220 A Omaha HE (12-24, 97.7) 1- 4 102 A Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 3- 2 103 A Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 4- 2 109 H No Mich CCH ( 3-29, 95.6) 3- 0 110 H No Mich CCH ( 3-29, 95.6) 2- 0 116 A Ferris St CCH ( 8-27, 96.5) 4- 0 117 A Ferris St CCH ( 8-27, 96.5) 4- 3 124 H Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 1- 4 130 A L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 6- 1 131 A L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 4- 1 206 H Mich Tech CCH (22-12, 97.9) 2- 3 207 H Mich Tech CCH (22-12, 97.9) 3- 4 213 A Bowl Green CCH (18-12, 97.7) 0- 1 214 A Bowl Green CCH (18-12, 97.7) 4- 2 220 H St. Thomas CCH (20-13, 97.9) 3- 3 221 H St. Thomas CCH (20-13, 97.9) 4- 0 306 A Bemidji St CCH (11-19, 97.1) 5- 2 307 A Bemidji St CCH (11-19, 97.1) 2- 1 314 H St. Thomas CCH (20-13, 97.9) 1- 2
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1010 H Minn Duluth 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.22
1011 H Minn Duluth 4- 0 4 -1 ++ 4.78
1017 A Arizona St 4- 2 2 1 1.29
1018 A Arizona St 5- 2 3 1 + 2.29
1025 H Bemidji St 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.37
1031 A No Mich 2- 1 1 3 -1.86
1101 A No Mich 3- 1 2 3 -0.86
1107 H Ferris St 4- 2 2 2 0.06
1108 H Ferris St 0- 2 -2 2 - -3.94
1115 A St. Thomas 4- 4 0 1 -0.53
1128 H L Superor 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.81
1129 H L Superor 2- 1 1 2 -0.81
1205 A Bemidji St 3- 1 2 1 0.65
1207 A North Dakota 4- 4 0 -1 1.12
1212 A Minn St 3- 1 2 0 1.65
1213 A Minn St 4- 4 0 0 -0.35
1219 A Omaha 7- 4 3 1 + 2.28
1220 A Omaha 1- 4 -3 1 - -3.72
102 A Colorado Col 3- 2 1 0 1.09
103 A Colorado Col 4- 2 2 0 + 2.09
109 H No Mich 3- 0 3 3 0.12
110 H No Mich 2- 0 2 3 -0.88
116 A Ferris St 4- 0 4 2 + 2.08
117 A Ferris St 4- 3 1 2 -0.92
124 H Minn St 1- 4 -3 0 - -3.37
130 A L Superor 6- 1 5 2 + 3.21
131 A L Superor 4- 1 3 2 1.21
206 H Mich Tech 2- 3 -1 1 -1.59
207 H Mich Tech 3- 4 -1 1 -1.59
214 A Bowl Green 4- 2 2 1 1.24
220 H St. Thomas 3- 3 0 1 -0.55
221 H St. Thomas 4- 0 4 1 + 3.45
306 A Bemidji St 5- 2 3 1 1.65
307 A Bemidji St 2- 1 1 1 -0.35
314 H St. Thomas 1- 2 -1 1 -1.55
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1010 H Minn Duluth 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.22 1025 H Bemidji St 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.37 1108 H Ferris St 0- 2 -2 2 - -3.94 1128 H L Superor 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.81 1220 A Omaha 1- 4 -3 1 - -3.72 124 H Minn St 1- 4 -3 0 - -3.37 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1011 H Minn Duluth 4- 0 4 -1 ++ 4.78 1018 A Arizona St 5- 2 3 1 + 2.29 1219 A Omaha 7- 4 3 1 + 2.28 103 A Colorado Col 4- 2 2 0 + 2.09 116 A Ferris St 4- 0 4 2 + 2.08 130 A L Superor 6- 1 5 2 + 3.21 221 H St. Thomas 4- 0 4 1 + 3.45 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Minn Duluth (22-15, 99.3) 1- 4 -0.64 4.01 -0.01 0.98 -0.32
3 H Minn Duluth (22-15, 99.3) 4- 0 -0.64 4.01 -0.01 0.98 7.85
3 A Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 4- 2 -2.14 2.51 0.01 0.98 4.94
3 A Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 5- 2 -2.14 2.51 0.01 0.98 4.94
3 H Bemidji St (11-19, 97.1) 0- 1 -2.79 1.86 -0.01 0.98 -1.37
3 H Bemidji St (11-19, 97.1) 2- 3 -2.79 1.86 -0.01 0.98 -1.37
3 A No Mich ( 3-29, 95.6) 2- 1 -4.29 1.00 0.01 0.98 1.98
3 A No Mich ( 3-29, 95.6) 3- 1 -4.29 1.00 0.01 0.98 1.98
3 H Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.5) 4- 2 -3.35 1.30 -0.01 0.98 2.52
3 H Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.5) 0- 2 -3.35 1.30 -0.01 0.98 -1.65
3 A St. Thomas (20-13, 97.9) 4- 4 -1.96 2.69 0.01 0.98 0.00
3 H L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 1- 2 -3.22 1.43 -0.01 0.98 -1.58
3 H L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 2- 1 -3.22 1.43 -0.01 0.98 2.79
3 A Bemidji St (11-19, 97.1) 3- 1 -2.79 1.86 0.01 0.98 3.68
3 A Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 3- 1 -1.78 2.87 0.01 0.98 5.64
3 A Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 4- 4 -1.78 2.87 0.01 0.98 0.00
3 A Omaha (12-24, 97.7) 7- 4 -2.15 2.49 0.01 0.98 4.91
3 A Omaha (12-24, 97.7) 1- 4 -2.15 2.49 0.01 0.98 -1.05
3 A Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 3- 2 -1.34 3.31 0.01 0.98 6.51
3 A Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 4- 2 -1.34 3.31 0.01 0.98 6.51
3 H No Mich ( 3-29, 95.6) 3- 0 -4.29 1.00 -0.01 0.98 1.94
3 H No Mich ( 3-29, 95.6) 2- 0 -4.29 1.00 -0.01 0.98 1.94
3 A Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.5) 4- 0 -3.35 1.30 0.01 0.98 2.56
3 A Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.5) 4- 3 -3.35 1.30 0.01 0.98 2.56
3 H Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 1- 4 -1.78 2.87 -0.01 0.98 -0.88
3 A L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 6- 1 -3.22 1.43 0.01 0.98 2.82
3 A L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 4- 1 -3.22 1.43 0.01 0.98 2.82
3 H Mich Tech (22-12, 97.9) 2- 3 -2.00 2.65 -0.01 0.98 -0.99
3 H Mich Tech (22-12, 97.9) 3- 4 -2.00 2.65 -0.01 0.98 -0.99
3 A Bowl Green (18-12, 97.7) 0- 1 -2.19 2.46 0.01 0.98 -1.07
3 A Bowl Green (18-12, 97.7) 4- 2 -2.19 2.46 0.01 0.98 4.84
3 H St. Thomas (20-13, 97.9) 3- 3 -1.96 2.69 -0.01 0.98 0.00
3 H St. Thomas (20-13, 97.9) 4- 0 -1.96 2.69 -0.01 0.98 5.26
3 A Bemidji St (11-19, 97.1) 5- 2 -2.79 1.86 0.01 0.98 3.68
3 A Bemidji St (11-19, 97.1) 2- 1 -2.79 1.86 0.01 0.98 3.68
3 H St. Thomas (20-13, 97.9) 1- 2 -1.96 2.69 -0.01 0.98 -0.97
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74.11
|
winning pts = 86.3411 losing points = -12.2315
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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