Bemidji St
W-L: (11-19) PR = 97.1144Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1010 A St Cloud St HE (16-19, 98.4) 2- 3 1011 H St Cloud St HE (16-19, 98.4) 2- 4 1017 A Minn Duluth HE (22-15, 99.3) 3- 7 1018 H Minn Duluth HE (22-15, 99.3) 1- 5 1024 A Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 1- 0 1025 A Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 3- 2 1031 H Bowl Green CCH (18-12, 97.7) 4- 4 1101 H Bowl Green CCH (18-12, 97.7) 3- 2 1107 A L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 4- 1 1108 A L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 3- 2 1114 H Mich Tech CCH (22-12, 97.9) 2- 2 1115 H Mich Tech CCH (22-12, 97.9) 1- 2 1121 A No Mich CCH ( 3-29, 95.6) 7- 3 1122 A No Mich CCH ( 3-29, 95.6) 6- 2 1128 A North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 3- 5 1129 H North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 1- 2 1205 H Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 1- 3 109 A Mich Tech CCH (22-12, 97.9) 2- 5 110 A Mich Tech CCH (22-12, 97.9) 3- 4 116 H St. Thomas CCH (20-13, 97.9) 1- 5 117 H St. Thomas CCH (20-13, 97.9) 2- 3 123 A Bowl Green CCH (18-12, 97.7) 1- 3 124 A Bowl Green CCH (18-12, 97.7) 1- 5 130 H No Mich CCH ( 3-29, 95.6) 0- 2 131 H No Mich CCH ( 3-29, 95.6) 7- 1 206 A Ferris St CCH ( 8-27, 96.5) 3- 6 207 A Ferris St CCH ( 8-27, 96.5) 4- 3 213 H Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 0- 1 214 H Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 1- 0 227 A St. Thomas CCH (20-13, 97.9) 3- 1 228 A St. Thomas CCH (20-13, 97.9) 2- 2 306 H Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 2- 5 307 H Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 1- 2
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1010 A St Cloud St 2- 3 -1 -1 0.25
1011 H St Cloud St 2- 4 -2 -1 -0.77
1017 A Minn Duluth 3- 7 -4 -2 -1.84
1018 H Minn Duluth 1- 5 -4 -2 -1.86
1025 A Augustana 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.37
1031 H Bowl Green 4- 4 0 -1 0.58
1101 H Bowl Green 3- 2 1 -1 1.58
1107 A L Superor 4- 1 3 0 + 2.58
1108 A L Superor 3- 2 1 0 0.58
1114 H Mich Tech 2- 2 0 -1 0.77
1115 H Mich Tech 1- 2 -1 -1 -0.23
1121 A No Mich 7- 3 4 1 + 2.51
1122 A No Mich 6- 2 4 1 + 2.51
1128 A North Dakota 3- 5 -2 -2 0.48
1129 H North Dakota 1- 2 -1 -2 1.46
1205 H Augustana 1- 3 -2 -1 -0.65
109 A Mich Tech 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.21
110 A Mich Tech 3- 4 -1 -1 -0.21
116 H St. Thomas 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.18
117 H St. Thomas 2- 3 -1 -1 -0.18
123 A Bowl Green 1- 3 -2 -1 -1.40
124 A Bowl Green 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.40
130 H No Mich 0- 2 -2 2 - -3.51
131 H No Mich 7- 1 6 2 ++ 4.49
206 A Ferris St 3- 6 -3 1 - -3.56
207 A Ferris St 4- 3 1 1 0.44
227 A St. Thomas 3- 1 2 -1 + 2.84
228 A St. Thomas 2- 2 0 -1 0.84
306 H Augustana 2- 5 -3 -1 -1.65
307 H Augustana 1- 2 -1 -1 0.35
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 109 A Mich Tech 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.21 116 H St. Thomas 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.18 124 A Bowl Green 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.40 130 H No Mich 0- 2 -2 2 - -3.51 206 A Ferris St 3- 6 -3 1 - -3.56 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 131 H No Mich 7- 1 6 2 ++ 4.49 1025 A Augustana 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.37 1107 A L Superor 4- 1 3 0 + 2.58 1121 A No Mich 7- 3 4 1 + 2.51 1122 A No Mich 6- 2 4 1 + 2.51 227 A St. Thomas 3- 1 2 -1 + 2.84 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A St Cloud St (16-19, 98.4) 2- 3 -1.54 3.11 0.01 1.10 -0.84
3 H St Cloud St (16-19, 98.4) 2- 4 -1.54 3.11 -0.01 1.10 -0.85
3 A Minn Duluth (22-15, 99.3) 3- 7 -0.64 4.01 0.01 1.10 -0.34
3 H Minn Duluth (22-15, 99.3) 1- 5 -0.64 4.01 -0.01 1.10 -0.36
3 A Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 1- 0 -1.42 3.23 0.01 1.10 7.12
3 A Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 3- 2 -1.42 3.23 0.01 1.10 7.12
3 H Bowl Green (18-12, 97.7) 4- 4 -2.19 2.46 -0.01 1.10 0.00
3 H Bowl Green (18-12, 97.7) 3- 2 -2.19 2.46 -0.01 1.10 5.38
3 A L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 4- 1 -3.22 1.43 0.01 1.10 3.17
3 A L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 3- 2 -3.22 1.43 0.01 1.10 3.17
3 H Mich Tech (22-12, 97.9) 2- 2 -2.00 2.65 -0.01 1.10 0.00
3 H Mich Tech (22-12, 97.9) 1- 2 -2.00 2.65 -0.01 1.10 -1.11
3 A No Mich ( 3-29, 95.6) 7- 3 -4.29 1.00 0.01 1.10 2.22
3 A No Mich ( 3-29, 95.6) 6- 2 -4.29 1.00 0.01 1.10 2.22
3 A North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 3- 5 -0.31 4.34 0.01 1.10 -0.17
3 H North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 1- 2 -0.31 4.34 -0.01 1.10 -0.18
3 H Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 1- 3 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 1.10 -0.79
3 A Mich Tech (22-12, 97.9) 2- 5 -2.00 2.65 0.01 1.10 -1.10
3 A Mich Tech (22-12, 97.9) 3- 4 -2.00 2.65 0.01 1.10 -1.10
3 H St. Thomas (20-13, 97.9) 1- 5 -1.96 2.69 -0.01 1.10 -1.08
3 H St. Thomas (20-13, 97.9) 2- 3 -1.96 2.69 -0.01 1.10 -1.08
3 A Bowl Green (18-12, 97.7) 1- 3 -2.19 2.46 0.01 1.10 -1.20
3 A Bowl Green (18-12, 97.7) 1- 5 -2.19 2.46 0.01 1.10 -1.20
3 H No Mich ( 3-29, 95.6) 0- 2 -4.29 1.00 -0.01 1.10 -2.36
3 H No Mich ( 3-29, 95.6) 7- 1 -4.29 1.00 -0.01 1.10 2.18
3 A Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.5) 3- 6 -3.35 1.30 0.01 1.10 -1.84
3 A Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.5) 4- 3 -3.35 1.30 0.01 1.10 2.87
3 H Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 0- 1 -1.78 2.87 -0.01 1.10 -0.99
3 H Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 1- 0 -1.78 2.87 -0.01 1.10 6.28
3 A St. Thomas (20-13, 97.9) 3- 1 -1.96 2.69 0.01 1.10 5.94
3 A St. Thomas (20-13, 97.9) 2- 2 -1.96 2.69 0.01 1.10 0.00
3 H Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 2- 5 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 1.10 -0.79
3 H Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 1- 2 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 1.10 -0.79
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29.51
|
winning pts = 47.6638 losing points = -18.1516
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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