Boston Col
W-L: (21-15) PR = 98.4910Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1003 A Quinnipiac ECAC (27-11, 98.8) 3- 4 1009 H Minnesota B10 (11-22, 97.9) 3- 1 1010 H Minnesota B10 (11-22, 97.9) 2- 2 1017 H RPI ECAC (11-23, 96.3) 5- 1 1024 A Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 3- 7 1030 A North Eastern HE (18-18, 97.9) 1- 4 1031 H North Eastern HE (18-18, 97.9) 0- 3 1107 H Vermont HE (13-21, 96.5) 2- 1 1108 H Vermont HE (13-21, 96.5) 5- 0 1114 A UMass HE (22-13, 98.3) 7- 3 1115 H UMass HE (22-13, 98.3) 4- 0 1121 A Maine HE (18-14, 98.4) 7- 3 1122 A Maine HE (18-14, 98.4) 0- 3 1128 A Notre Dame B10 ( 9-23, 97.2) 5- 3 1205 H UMass Lowell HE (13-22, 97.1) 3- 1 1206 A UMass Lowell HE (13-22, 97.1) 3- 1 1228 H Western Mich HE (27-11, 99.7) 3- 5 1229 A L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 4- 3 116 A Providence HE (22-11, 98.9) 3- 4 117 H Providence HE (22-11, 98.9) 3- 4 123 A New Hamp HE (14-21, 96.6) 5- 2 124 H New Hamp HE (14-21, 96.6) 3- 0 130 H Boston Univ HE (16-17, 97.6) 4- 1 202 A Harvard ECAC (16-15, 97.3) 5- 1 206 A Vermont HE (13-21, 96.5) 1- 6 209 A Boston Univ HE (16-17, 97.6) 6- 2 213 H Merrimack HE (21-16, 97.9) 2- 4 214 A Merrimack HE (21-16, 97.9) 4- 2 220 A Connecticut HE (20-13, 98.5) 5- 2 221 H Connecticut HE (20-13, 98.5) 2- 1 221 H Vermont HE (13-21, 96.5) 5- 3 227 H Boston Univ HE (16-17, 97.6) 1- 3 228 A Boston Univ HE (16-17, 97.6) 1- 5 305 H UMass HE (22-13, 98.3) 1- 2 307 A North Eastern HE (18-18, 97.9) 2- 4 313 A Maine HE (18-14, 98.4) 5- 0 320 H Connecticut HE (20-13, 98.5) 3- 4
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1003 A Quinnipiac 3- 4 -1 0 -0.71
1009 H Minnesota 3- 1 2 1 1.40
1010 H Minnesota 2- 2 0 1 -0.60
1017 H RPI 5- 1 4 2 1.81
1024 A Denver 3- 7 -4 -1 - -2.58
1030 A North Eastern 1- 4 -3 1 - -3.62
1031 H North Eastern 0- 3 -3 1 - -3.64
1107 H Vermont 2- 1 1 2 -1.03
1108 H Vermont 5- 0 5 2 + 2.97
1114 A UMass 7- 3 4 0 + 3.77
1115 H UMass 4- 0 4 0 + 3.75
1121 A Maine 7- 3 4 0 + 3.96
1122 A Maine 0- 3 -3 0 - -3.04
1128 A Notre Dame 5- 3 2 1 0.71
1205 H UMass Lowell 3- 1 2 1 0.59
1206 A UMass Lowell 3- 1 2 1 0.61
1228 H Western Mich 3- 5 -2 -1 -0.81
1229 A L Superor 4- 3 1 2 -0.80
116 A Providence 3- 4 -1 0 -0.53
117 H Providence 3- 4 -1 0 -0.55
123 A New Hamp 5- 2 3 2 1.09
124 H New Hamp 3- 0 3 2 1.07
130 H Boston Univ 4- 1 3 1 + 2.12
202 A Harvard 5- 1 4 1 + 2.78
206 A Vermont 1- 6 -5 2 --- -7.01
209 A Boston Univ 6- 2 4 1 + 3.14
213 H Merrimack 2- 4 -2 1 - -2.59
214 A Merrimack 4- 2 2 1 1.43
220 A Connecticut 5- 2 3 0 + 2.99
221 H Connecticut 2- 1 1 0 0.97
221 H Vermont 5- 3 2 2 -0.03
227 H Boston Univ 1- 3 -2 1 - -2.88
228 A Boston Univ 1- 5 -4 1 -- -4.86
305 H UMass 1- 2 -1 0 -1.25
307 A North Eastern 2- 4 -2 1 - -2.62
313 A Maine 5- 0 5 0 ++ 4.96
320 H Connecticut 3- 4 -1 0 -1.03
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 A Vermont 1- 6 -5 2 --- -7.01 228 A Boston Univ 1- 5 -4 1 -- -4.86 1024 A Denver 3- 7 -4 -1 - -2.58 1030 A North Eastern 1- 4 -3 1 - -3.62 1031 H North Eastern 0- 3 -3 1 - -3.64 1122 A Maine 0- 3 -3 0 - -3.04 213 H Merrimack 2- 4 -2 1 - -2.59 227 H Boston Univ 1- 3 -2 1 - -2.88 307 A North Eastern 2- 4 -2 1 - -2.62 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 313 A Maine 5- 0 5 0 ++ 4.96 1108 H Vermont 5- 0 5 2 + 2.97 1114 A UMass 7- 3 4 0 + 3.77 1115 H UMass 4- 0 4 0 + 3.75 1121 A Maine 7- 3 4 0 + 3.96 130 H Boston Univ 4- 1 3 1 + 2.12 202 A Harvard 5- 1 4 1 + 2.78 209 A Boston Univ 6- 2 4 1 + 3.14 220 A Connecticut 5- 2 3 0 + 2.99 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Quinnipiac (27-11, 98.8) 3- 4 -1.13 3.52 0.01 0.98 -0.55
3 H Minnesota (11-22, 97.9) 3- 1 -2.00 2.65 -0.01 0.98 5.18
3 H Minnesota (11-22, 97.9) 2- 2 -2.00 2.65 -0.01 0.98 0.00
3 H RPI (11-23, 96.3) 5- 1 -3.59 1.06 -0.01 0.98 2.06
3 A Denver (27-11, 99.9) 3- 7 -0.00 4.65 0.01 0.98 -0.00
3 A North Eastern (18-18, 97.9) 1- 4 -2.04 2.61 0.01 0.98 -0.99
3 H North Eastern (18-18, 97.9) 0- 3 -2.04 2.61 -0.01 0.98 -1.00
3 H Vermont (13-21, 96.5) 2- 1 -3.43 1.22 -0.01 0.98 2.38
3 H Vermont (13-21, 96.5) 5- 0 -3.43 1.22 -0.01 0.98 2.38
3 A UMass (22-13, 98.3) 7- 3 -1.64 3.00 0.01 0.98 5.91
3 H UMass (22-13, 98.3) 4- 0 -1.64 3.00 -0.01 0.98 5.87
3 A Maine (18-14, 98.4) 7- 3 -1.45 3.19 0.01 0.98 6.29
3 A Maine (18-14, 98.4) 0- 3 -1.45 3.19 0.01 0.98 -0.71
3 A Notre Dame ( 9-23, 97.2) 5- 3 -2.71 1.94 0.01 0.98 3.82
3 H UMass Lowell (13-22, 97.1) 3- 1 -2.80 1.85 -0.01 0.98 3.60
3 A UMass Lowell (13-22, 97.1) 3- 1 -2.80 1.85 0.01 0.98 3.64
3 H Western Mich (27-11, 99.7) 3- 5 -0.21 4.44 -0.01 0.98 -0.11
3 A L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 4- 3 -3.22 1.43 0.01 0.98 2.82
3 A Providence (22-11, 98.9) 3- 4 -0.95 3.70 0.01 0.98 -0.46
3 H Providence (22-11, 98.9) 3- 4 -0.95 3.70 -0.01 0.98 -0.47
3 A New Hamp (14-21, 96.6) 5- 2 -3.33 1.32 0.01 0.98 2.61
3 H New Hamp (14-21, 96.6) 3- 0 -3.33 1.32 -0.01 0.98 2.57
3 H Boston Univ (16-17, 97.6) 4- 1 -2.28 2.37 -0.01 0.98 4.64
3 A Harvard (16-15, 97.3) 5- 1 -2.64 2.01 0.01 0.98 3.97
3 A Vermont (13-21, 96.5) 1- 6 -3.43 1.22 0.01 0.98 -1.68
3 A Boston Univ (16-17, 97.6) 6- 2 -2.28 2.37 0.01 0.98 4.68
3 H Merrimack (21-16, 97.9) 2- 4 -1.99 2.66 -0.01 0.98 -0.98
3 A Merrimack (21-16, 97.9) 4- 2 -1.99 2.66 0.01 0.98 5.24
3 A Connecticut (20-13, 98.5) 5- 2 -1.43 3.22 0.01 0.98 6.34
3 H Connecticut (20-13, 98.5) 2- 1 -1.43 3.22 -0.01 0.98 6.30
3 H Vermont (13-21, 96.5) 5- 3 -3.43 1.22 -0.01 0.98 2.38
3 H Boston Univ (16-17, 97.6) 1- 3 -2.28 2.37 -0.01 0.98 -1.12
3 A Boston Univ (16-17, 97.6) 1- 5 -2.28 2.37 0.01 0.98 -1.11
3 H UMass (22-13, 98.3) 1- 2 -1.64 3.00 -0.01 0.98 -0.81
3 A North Eastern (18-18, 97.9) 2- 4 -2.04 2.61 0.01 0.98 -0.99
3 A Maine (18-14, 98.4) 5- 0 -1.45 3.19 0.01 0.98 6.29
3 H Connecticut (20-13, 98.5) 3- 4 -1.43 3.22 -0.01 0.98 -0.70
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77.25
|
winning pts = 88.9485 losing points = -11.6968
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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