Boston Univ
W-L: (16-17) PR = 97.6242Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1004 A LIU IND (11-16, 96.7) 4- 2 1010 A Colgate ECAC (13-21, 96.6) 6- 2 1011 A Colgate ECAC (13-21, 96.6) 2- 2 1017 A Michigan St B10 (26- 9, 99.6) 2- 4 1018 A Michigan St B10 (26- 9, 99.6) 3- 4 1024 A Connecticut HE (20-13, 98.5) 4- 8 1025 H Connecticut HE (20-13, 98.5) 3- 1 1031 H Maine HE (18-14, 98.4) 4- 5 1101 H Maine HE (18-14, 98.4) 5- 8 1107 A Merrimack HE (21-16, 97.9) 3- 2 1108 H Merrimack HE (21-16, 97.9) 5- 4 1115 H Quinnipiac ECAC (27-11, 98.8) 2- 6 1121 H North Eastern HE (18-18, 97.9) 2- 3 1122 A North Eastern HE (18-18, 97.9) 4- 3 1129 H Cornell ECAC (23-11, 98.5) 2- 1 1205 A Vermont HE (13-21, 96.5) 2- 1 1206 A Vermont HE (13-21, 96.5) 2- 3 1213 H North Eastern HE (18-18, 97.9) 4- 3 109 H UMass HE (22-13, 98.3) 1- 0 110 A UMass HE (22-13, 98.3) 0- 2 116 A UMass Lowell HE (13-22, 97.1) 3- 4 117 H UMass Lowell HE (13-22, 97.1) 3- 0 123 H Providence HE (22-11, 98.9) 3- 4 124 A Providence HE (22-11, 98.9) 0- 4 130 A Boston Col HE (21-15, 98.5) 1- 4 202 A North Eastern HE (18-18, 97.9) 2- 2 206 A Maine HE (18-14, 98.4) 3- 2 209 H Boston Col HE (21-15, 98.5) 2- 6 213 H New Hamp HE (14-21, 96.6) 1- 4 214 A New Hamp HE (14-21, 96.6) 5- 3 227 A Boston Col HE (21-15, 98.5) 3- 1 228 H Boston Col HE (21-15, 98.5) 5- 1 307 H UMass Lowell HE (13-22, 97.1) 3- 4 311 A Vermont HE (13-21, 96.5) 4- 1 314 H Connecticut HE (20-13, 98.5) 3- 5
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1004 A LIU 4- 2 2 1 1.05
1010 A Colgate 6- 2 4 1 + 2.97
1011 A Colgate 2- 2 0 1 -1.03
1017 A Michigan St 2- 4 -2 -2 -0.06
1018 A Michigan St 3- 4 -1 -2 0.94
1024 A Connecticut 4- 8 -4 -1 - -3.14
1025 H Connecticut 3- 1 2 -1 + 2.84
1031 H Maine 4- 5 -1 -1 -0.19
1101 H Maine 5- 8 -3 -1 - -2.19
1107 A Merrimack 3- 2 1 0 1.30
1108 H Merrimack 5- 4 1 0 1.28
1115 H Quinnipiac 2- 6 -4 -1 - -2.86
1121 H North Eastern 2- 3 -1 0 -0.77
1122 A North Eastern 4- 3 1 0 1.25
1129 H Cornell 2- 1 1 -1 1.83
1205 A Vermont 2- 1 1 1 -0.14
1206 A Vermont 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.14
1213 H North Eastern 4- 3 1 0 1.23
110 A UMass 0- 2 -2 -1 -1.36
116 A UMass Lowell 3- 4 -1 1 -1.52
117 H UMass Lowell 3- 0 3 1 + 2.46
123 H Providence 3- 4 -1 -1 0.31
124 A Providence 0- 4 -4 -1 - -2.67
130 A Boston Col 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.12
202 A North Eastern 2- 2 0 0 0.25
206 A Maine 3- 2 1 -1 1.83
209 H Boston Col 2- 6 -4 -1 - -3.14
213 H New Hamp 1- 4 -3 1 -- -4.06
214 A New Hamp 5- 3 2 1 0.96
227 A Boston Col 3- 1 2 -1 + 2.88
228 H Boston Col 5- 1 4 -1 ++ 4.86
307 H UMass Lowell 3- 4 -1 1 -1.54
311 A Vermont 4- 1 3 1 1.86
314 H Connecticut 3- 5 -2 -1 -1.16
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 H New Hamp 1- 4 -3 1 -- -4.06 1024 A Connecticut 4- 8 -4 -1 - -3.14 1101 H Maine 5- 8 -3 -1 - -2.19 1115 H Quinnipiac 2- 6 -4 -1 - -2.86 1206 A Vermont 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.14 124 A Providence 0- 4 -4 -1 - -2.67 130 A Boston Col 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.12 209 H Boston Col 2- 6 -4 -1 - -3.14 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H Boston Col 5- 1 4 -1 ++ 4.86 1010 A Colgate 6- 2 4 1 + 2.97 1025 H Connecticut 3- 1 2 -1 + 2.84 117 H UMass Lowell 3- 0 3 1 + 2.46 227 A Boston Col 3- 1 2 -1 + 2.88 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A LIU (11-16, 96.7) 4- 2 -3.24 1.41 0.01 1.04 2.95
3 A Colgate (13-21, 96.6) 6- 2 -3.31 1.34 0.01 1.04 2.79
3 A Colgate (13-21, 96.6) 2- 2 -3.31 1.34 0.01 1.04 0.00
3 A Michigan St (26- 9, 99.6) 2- 4 -0.34 4.31 0.01 1.04 -0.17
3 A Michigan St (26- 9, 99.6) 3- 4 -0.34 4.31 0.01 1.04 -0.17
3 A Connecticut (20-13, 98.5) 4- 8 -1.43 3.22 0.01 1.04 -0.73
3 H Connecticut (20-13, 98.5) 3- 1 -1.43 3.22 -0.01 1.04 6.66
3 H Maine (18-14, 98.4) 4- 5 -1.45 3.19 -0.01 1.04 -0.76
3 H Maine (18-14, 98.4) 5- 8 -1.45 3.19 -0.01 1.04 -0.76
3 A Merrimack (21-16, 97.9) 3- 2 -1.99 2.66 0.01 1.04 5.54
3 H Merrimack (21-16, 97.9) 5- 4 -1.99 2.66 -0.01 1.04 5.50
3 H Quinnipiac (27-11, 98.8) 2- 6 -1.13 3.52 -0.01 1.04 -0.59
3 H North Eastern (18-18, 97.9) 2- 3 -2.04 2.61 -0.01 1.04 -1.06
3 A North Eastern (18-18, 97.9) 4- 3 -2.04 2.61 0.01 1.04 5.44
3 H Cornell (23-11, 98.5) 2- 1 -1.44 3.21 -0.01 1.04 6.64
3 A Vermont (13-21, 96.5) 2- 1 -3.43 1.22 0.01 1.04 2.56
3 A Vermont (13-21, 96.5) 2- 3 -3.43 1.22 0.01 1.04 -1.77
3 H North Eastern (18-18, 97.9) 4- 3 -2.04 2.61 -0.01 1.04 5.40
3 H UMass (22-13, 98.3) 1- 0 -1.64 3.00 -0.01 1.04 6.21
3 A UMass (22-13, 98.3) 0- 2 -1.64 3.00 0.01 1.04 -0.85
3 A UMass Lowell (13-22, 97.1) 3- 4 -2.80 1.85 0.01 1.04 -1.45
3 H UMass Lowell (13-22, 97.1) 3- 0 -2.80 1.85 -0.01 1.04 3.81
3 H Providence (22-11, 98.9) 3- 4 -0.95 3.70 -0.01 1.04 -0.50
3 A Providence (22-11, 98.9) 0- 4 -0.95 3.70 0.01 1.04 -0.49
3 A Boston Col (21-15, 98.5) 1- 4 -1.41 3.24 0.01 1.04 -0.73
3 A North Eastern (18-18, 97.9) 2- 2 -2.04 2.61 0.01 1.04 0.00
3 A Maine (18-14, 98.4) 3- 2 -1.45 3.19 0.01 1.04 6.64
3 H Boston Col (21-15, 98.5) 2- 6 -1.41 3.24 -0.01 1.04 -0.74
3 H New Hamp (14-21, 96.6) 1- 4 -3.33 1.32 -0.01 1.04 -1.73
3 A New Hamp (14-21, 96.6) 5- 3 -3.33 1.32 0.01 1.04 2.76
3 A Boston Col (21-15, 98.5) 3- 1 -1.41 3.24 0.01 1.04 6.74
3 H Boston Col (21-15, 98.5) 5- 1 -1.41 3.24 -0.01 1.04 6.70
3 H UMass Lowell (13-22, 97.1) 3- 4 -2.80 1.85 -0.01 1.04 -1.46
3 A Vermont (13-21, 96.5) 4- 1 -3.43 1.22 0.01 1.04 2.56
3 H Connecticut (20-13, 98.5) 3- 5 -1.43 3.22 -0.01 1.04 -0.74
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64.18
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winning pts = 78.8832 losing points = -14.6991
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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