Bowl Green
W-L: (18-12) PR = 97.7076Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1010 H Niagara AH (13-23, 96.1) 0- 2 1011 H Niagara AH (13-23, 96.1) 2- 5 1024 H L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 4- 1 1025 H L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 3- 2 1031 A Bemidji St CCH (11-19, 97.1) 4- 4 1101 A Bemidji St CCH (11-19, 97.1) 2- 3 1107 H Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 4- 4 1108 H Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 1- 1 1114 A Ferris St CCH ( 8-27, 96.5) 9- 5 1115 A Ferris St CCH ( 8-27, 96.5) 5- 2 1121 H St. Thomas CCH (20-13, 97.9) 3- 2 1122 H St. Thomas CCH (20-13, 97.9) 2- 6 1128 A Princeton ECAC (21-14, 97.7) 4- 1 1129 A Princeton ECAC (21-14, 97.7) 4- 3 1205 A No Mich CCH ( 3-29, 95.6) 2- 3 1206 A No Mich CCH ( 3-29, 95.6) 4- 3 102 H Ohio State B10 (15-20, 98.3) 2- 2 103 A Ohio State B10 (15-20, 98.3) 5- 3 109 H Ferris St CCH ( 8-27, 96.5) 3- 1 110 H Ferris St CCH ( 8-27, 96.5) 5- 1 116 A L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 3- 1 117 A L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 0- 1 123 H Bemidji St CCH (11-19, 97.1) 3- 1 124 H Bemidji St CCH (11-19, 97.1) 5- 1 130 H Notre Dame B10 ( 9-23, 97.2) 3- 3 130 H Alaska IND (11-14, 97.3) 1- 5 131 A Notre Dame B10 ( 9-23, 97.2) 2- 2 206 A St. Thomas CCH (20-13, 97.9) 2- 3 207 A St. Thomas CCH (20-13, 97.9) 3- 1 213 H Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 1- 0 214 H Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 2- 4 220 A Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 4- 5 221 A Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 1- 1 227 H Mich Tech CCH (22-12, 97.9) 1- 0 228 H Mich Tech CCH (22-12, 97.9) 4- 3 306 H Mich Tech CCH (22-12, 97.9) 3- 5 307 H Mich Tech CCH (22-12, 97.9) 2- 3
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1010 H Niagara 0- 2 -2 2 - -3.63
1011 H Niagara 2- 5 -3 2 -- -4.63
1024 H L Superor 4- 1 3 1 1.96
1025 H L Superor 3- 2 1 1 -0.04
1031 A Bemidji St 4- 4 0 1 -0.58
1101 A Bemidji St 2- 3 -1 1 -1.58
1107 H Minn St 4- 4 0 0 0.40
1108 H Minn St 1- 1 0 0 0.40
1114 A Ferris St 9- 5 4 1 + 2.85
1115 A Ferris St 5- 2 3 1 1.85
1121 H St. Thomas 3- 2 1 0 1.22
1122 H St. Thomas 2- 6 -4 0 - -3.78
1128 A Princeton 4- 1 3 0 + 2.99
1129 A Princeton 4- 3 1 0 0.99
1205 A No Mich 2- 3 -1 2 - -3.09
1206 A No Mich 4- 3 1 2 -1.09
102 H Ohio State 2- 2 0 -1 0.55
103 A Ohio State 5- 3 2 -1 + 2.57
109 H Ferris St 3- 1 2 1 0.83
110 H Ferris St 5- 1 4 1 + 2.83
116 A L Superor 3- 1 2 1 0.98
123 H Bemidji St 3- 1 2 1 1.40
124 H Bemidji St 5- 1 4 1 + 3.40
130 H Notre Dame 3- 3 0 1 -0.53
130 H Alaska 1- 5 -4 0 -- -4.39
131 A Notre Dame 2- 2 0 1 -0.51
206 A St. Thomas 2- 3 -1 0 -0.76
207 A St. Thomas 3- 1 2 0 + 2.24
214 H Augustana 2- 4 -2 -1 -1.24
220 A Minn St 4- 5 -1 0 -0.58
221 A Minn St 1- 1 0 0 0.42
228 H Mich Tech 4- 3 1 0 1.18
306 H Mich Tech 3- 5 -2 0 -1.82
307 H Mich Tech 2- 3 -1 0 -0.82
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1011 H Niagara 2- 5 -3 2 -- -4.63 130 H Alaska 1- 5 -4 0 -- -4.39 1010 H Niagara 0- 2 -2 2 - -3.63 1122 H St. Thomas 2- 6 -4 0 - -3.78 1205 A No Mich 2- 3 -1 2 - -3.09 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1114 A Ferris St 9- 5 4 1 + 2.85 1128 A Princeton 4- 1 3 0 + 2.99 103 A Ohio State 5- 3 2 -1 + 2.57 110 H Ferris St 5- 1 4 1 + 2.83 124 H Bemidji St 5- 1 4 1 + 3.40 207 A St. Thomas 3- 1 2 0 + 2.24 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Niagara (13-23, 96.1) 0- 2 -3.81 1.00 -0.01 0.98 -1.87
3 H Niagara (13-23, 96.1) 2- 5 -3.81 1.00 -0.01 0.98 -1.87
3 H L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 4- 1 -3.22 1.43 -0.01 0.98 2.79
3 H L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 3- 2 -3.22 1.43 -0.01 0.98 2.79
3 A Bemidji St (11-19, 97.1) 4- 4 -2.79 1.86 0.01 0.98 0.00
3 A Bemidji St (11-19, 97.1) 2- 3 -2.79 1.86 0.01 0.98 -1.36
3 H Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 4- 4 -1.78 2.87 -0.01 0.98 0.00
3 H Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 1- 1 -1.78 2.87 -0.01 0.98 0.00
3 A Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.5) 9- 5 -3.35 1.30 0.01 0.98 2.56
3 A Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.5) 5- 2 -3.35 1.30 0.01 0.98 2.56
3 H St. Thomas (20-13, 97.9) 3- 2 -1.96 2.69 -0.01 0.98 5.26
3 H St. Thomas (20-13, 97.9) 2- 6 -1.96 2.69 -0.01 0.98 -0.97
3 A Princeton (21-14, 97.7) 4- 1 -2.22 2.43 0.01 0.98 4.79
3 A Princeton (21-14, 97.7) 4- 3 -2.22 2.43 0.01 0.98 4.79
3 A No Mich ( 3-29, 95.6) 2- 3 -4.29 1.00 0.01 0.98 -2.10
3 A No Mich ( 3-29, 95.6) 4- 3 -4.29 1.00 0.01 0.98 1.98
3 H Ohio State (15-20, 98.3) 2- 2 -1.63 3.02 -0.01 0.98 0.00
3 A Ohio State (15-20, 98.3) 5- 3 -1.63 3.02 0.01 0.98 5.95
3 H Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.5) 3- 1 -3.35 1.30 -0.01 0.98 2.52
3 H Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.5) 5- 1 -3.35 1.30 -0.01 0.98 2.52
3 A L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 3- 1 -3.22 1.43 0.01 0.98 2.82
3 A L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 0- 1 -3.22 1.43 0.01 0.98 -1.57
3 H Bemidji St (11-19, 97.1) 3- 1 -2.79 1.86 -0.01 0.98 3.64
3 H Bemidji St (11-19, 97.1) 5- 1 -2.79 1.86 -0.01 0.98 3.64
3 H Notre Dame ( 9-23, 97.2) 3- 3 -2.71 1.94 -0.01 0.98 0.00
3 H Alaska (11-14, 97.3) 1- 5 -2.58 2.07 -0.01 0.98 -1.27
3 A Notre Dame ( 9-23, 97.2) 2- 2 -2.71 1.94 0.01 0.98 0.00
3 A St. Thomas (20-13, 97.9) 2- 3 -1.96 2.69 0.01 0.98 -0.96
3 A St. Thomas (20-13, 97.9) 3- 1 -1.96 2.69 0.01 0.98 5.30
3 H Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 1- 0 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 0.98 6.31
3 H Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 2- 4 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 0.98 -0.70
3 A Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 4- 5 -1.78 2.87 0.01 0.98 -0.87
3 A Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 1- 1 -1.78 2.87 0.01 0.98 0.00
3 H Mich Tech (22-12, 97.9) 1- 0 -2.00 2.65 -0.01 0.98 5.17
3 H Mich Tech (22-12, 97.9) 4- 3 -2.00 2.65 -0.01 0.98 5.17
3 H Mich Tech (22-12, 97.9) 3- 5 -2.00 2.65 -0.01 0.98 -0.99
3 H Mich Tech (22-12, 97.9) 2- 3 -2.00 2.65 -0.01 0.98 -0.99
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55.04
|
winning pts = 70.5518 losing points = -15.5147
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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