Brown
W-L: ( 5-24) PR = 95.4978Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1031 H Air Force AH (19-14, 97.2) 0- 2 1101 H Air Force AH (19-14, 97.2) 3- 4 1107 A Princeton ECAC (21-14, 97.7) 2- 1 1108 A Quinnipiac ECAC (27-11, 98.8) 3- 4 1114 H Cornell ECAC (23-11, 98.5) 1- 4 1115 H Colgate ECAC (13-21, 96.6) 0- 4 1119 A Alaska Anch IND ( 5-23, 95.4) 5- 2 1121 A Yale ECAC ( 8-22, 96.2) 4- 2 1122 H Yale ECAC ( 8-22, 96.2) 1- 3 1129 H North Eastern HE (18-18, 97.9) 1- 4 1205 H Dartmouth ECAC (23- 8, 98.5) 3- 7 1206 H Harvard ECAC (16-15, 97.3) 3- 7 1209 A Providence HE (22-11, 98.9) 2- 4 1228 H Princeton ECAC (21-14, 97.7) 4- 5 103 A Merrimack HE (21-16, 97.9) 2- 3 109 A Clarkson ECAC (18-19, 97.2) 2- 3 110 A St Lawrence ECAC ( 7-25, 95.3) 4- 1 116 H Union ECAC (22-14, 97.8) 0- 4 117 H RPI ECAC (11-23, 96.3) 1- 4 124 H Stonehill IND (10-22, 96.5) 2- 3 130 A Colgate ECAC (13-21, 96.6) 3- 3 131 A Cornell ECAC (23-11, 98.5) 2- 4 206 H Quinnipiac ECAC (27-11, 98.8) 1- 9 207 H Princeton ECAC (21-14, 97.7) 3- 5 213 A Harvard ECAC (16-15, 97.3) 2- 2 214 A Dartmouth ECAC (23- 8, 98.5) 4- 3 220 H St Lawrence ECAC ( 7-25, 95.3) 1- 3 221 H Clarkson ECAC (18-19, 97.2) 3- 4 227 A RPI ECAC (11-23, 96.3) 1- 3 228 A Union ECAC (22-14, 97.8) 0- 3 307 H Union ECAC (22-14, 97.8) 0- 9
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1031 H Air Force 0- 2 -2 -2 -0.35
1101 H Air Force 3- 4 -1 -2 0.65
1107 A Princeton 2- 1 1 -2 + 3.20
1108 A Quinnipiac 3- 4 -1 -3 + 2.28
1114 H Cornell 1- 4 -3 -3 -0.04
1115 H Colgate 0- 4 -4 -1 - -2.92
1119 A Alaska Anch 5- 2 3 0 + 2.89
1121 A Yale 4- 2 2 -1 + 2.75
1122 H Yale 1- 3 -2 -1 -1.27
1129 H North Eastern 1- 4 -3 -2 -0.64
1205 H Dartmouth 3- 7 -4 -3 -1.02
1206 H Harvard 3- 7 -4 -2 - -2.24
1209 A Providence 2- 4 -2 -3 1.46
1228 H Princeton 4- 5 -1 -2 1.18
103 A Merrimack 2- 3 -1 -2 1.42
109 A Clarkson 2- 3 -1 -2 0.68
110 A St Lawrence 4- 1 3 0 + 2.76
116 H Union 0- 4 -4 -2 -1.69
117 H RPI 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.20
124 H Stonehill 2- 3 -1 -1 -0.05
130 A Colgate 3- 3 0 -1 1.10
131 A Cornell 2- 4 -2 -3 0.98
206 H Quinnipiac 1- 9 -8 -3 -- -4.74
207 H Princeton 3- 5 -2 -2 0.18
213 A Harvard 2- 2 0 -2 1.78
214 A Dartmouth 4- 3 1 -3 + 4.00
220 H St Lawrence 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.26
221 H Clarkson 3- 4 -1 -2 0.66
227 A RPI 1- 3 -2 -1 -1.18
228 A Union 0- 3 -3 -2 -0.67
307 H Union 0- 9 -9 -2 --- -6.69
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 H Union 0- 9 -9 -2 --- -6.69 206 H Quinnipiac 1- 9 -8 -3 -- -4.74 1115 H Colgate 0- 4 -4 -1 - -2.92 1206 H Harvard 3- 7 -4 -2 - -2.24 117 H RPI 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.20 220 H St Lawrence 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.26 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1107 A Princeton 2- 1 1 -2 + 3.20 1108 A Quinnipiac 3- 4 -1 -3 + 2.28 1119 A Alaska Anch 5- 2 3 0 + 2.89 1121 A Yale 4- 2 2 -1 + 2.75 110 A St Lawrence 4- 1 3 0 + 2.76 214 A Dartmouth 4- 3 1 -3 + 4.00 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Air Force (19-14, 97.2) 0- 2 -2.75 1.90 -0.01 1.17 -1.61
3 H Air Force (19-14, 97.2) 3- 4 -2.75 1.90 -0.01 1.17 -1.61
3 A Princeton (21-14, 97.7) 2- 1 -2.22 2.43 0.01 1.17 5.72
3 A Quinnipiac (27-11, 98.8) 3- 4 -1.13 3.52 0.01 1.17 -0.65
3 H Cornell (23-11, 98.5) 1- 4 -1.44 3.21 -0.01 1.17 -0.85
3 H Colgate (13-21, 96.6) 0- 4 -3.31 1.34 -0.01 1.17 -1.94
3 A Alaska Anch ( 5-23, 95.4) 5- 2 -4.53 1.00 0.01 1.17 2.36
3 A Yale ( 8-22, 96.2) 4- 2 -3.66 1.00 0.01 1.17 2.36
3 H Yale ( 8-22, 96.2) 1- 3 -3.66 1.00 -0.01 1.17 -2.15
3 H North Eastern (18-18, 97.9) 1- 4 -2.04 2.61 -0.01 1.17 -1.20
3 H Dartmouth (23- 8, 98.5) 3- 7 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 1.17 -0.83
3 H Harvard (16-15, 97.3) 3- 7 -2.64 2.01 -0.01 1.17 -1.55
3 A Providence (22-11, 98.9) 2- 4 -0.95 3.70 0.01 1.17 -0.55
3 H Princeton (21-14, 97.7) 4- 5 -2.22 2.43 -0.01 1.17 -1.30
3 A Merrimack (21-16, 97.9) 2- 3 -1.99 2.66 0.01 1.17 -1.16
3 A Clarkson (18-19, 97.2) 2- 3 -2.73 1.92 0.01 1.17 -1.59
3 A St Lawrence ( 7-25, 95.3) 4- 1 -4.65 1.00 0.01 1.17 2.36
3 H Union (22-14, 97.8) 0- 4 -2.08 2.57 -0.01 1.17 -1.22
3 H RPI (11-23, 96.3) 1- 4 -3.59 1.06 -0.01 1.17 -2.11
3 H Stonehill (10-22, 96.5) 2- 3 -3.44 1.20 -0.01 1.17 -2.02
3 A Colgate (13-21, 96.6) 3- 3 -3.31 1.34 0.01 1.17 0.00
3 A Cornell (23-11, 98.5) 2- 4 -1.44 3.21 0.01 1.17 -0.83
3 H Quinnipiac (27-11, 98.8) 1- 9 -1.13 3.52 -0.01 1.17 -0.67
3 H Princeton (21-14, 97.7) 3- 5 -2.22 2.43 -0.01 1.17 -1.30
3 A Harvard (16-15, 97.3) 2- 2 -2.64 2.01 0.01 1.17 0.00
3 A Dartmouth (23- 8, 98.5) 4- 3 -1.42 3.23 0.01 1.17 7.59
3 H St Lawrence ( 7-25, 95.3) 1- 3 -4.65 1.00 -0.01 1.17 -2.73
3 H Clarkson (18-19, 97.2) 3- 4 -2.73 1.92 -0.01 1.17 -1.60
3 A RPI (11-23, 96.3) 1- 3 -3.59 1.06 0.01 1.17 -2.10
3 A Union (22-14, 97.8) 0- 3 -2.08 2.57 0.01 1.17 -1.21
3 H Union (22-14, 97.8) 0- 9 -2.08 2.57 -0.01 1.17 -1.22
------
-13.61
|
winning pts = 20.4041 losing points = -34.0158
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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