Canisius
W-L: (17-16) PR = 96.6223Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1003 A Clarkson ECAC (18-19, 97.2) 3- 1 1005 A St Lawrence ECAC ( 7-25, 95.3) 4- 2 1010 A LIU IND (11-16, 96.7) 3- 2 1011 A LIU IND (11-16, 96.7) 1- 6 1014 H Army AH (12-17, 96.9) 3- 1 1017 H Colgate ECAC (13-21, 96.6) 4- 2 1018 H Colgate ECAC (13-21, 96.6) 3- 5 1024 H Bentley AH (23-12, 97.6) 1- 4 1025 H Bentley AH (23-12, 97.6) 0- 3 1101 A Army AH (12-17, 96.9) 2- 2 1114 H Sacred Heart AH (23-14, 97.4) 1- 6 1115 H Sacred Heart AH (23-14, 97.4) 2- 3 1121 A Mercyhurst AH ( 6-27, 95.4) 4- 3 1122 A Mercyhurst AH ( 6-27, 95.4) 5- 1 1128 A Air Force AH (19-14, 97.2) 3- 6 1129 A Air Force AH (19-14, 97.2) 3- 3 1205 H RIT AH (17-17, 96.6) 1- 3 1206 A RIT AH (17-17, 96.6) 4- 2 102 H Lindenwood IND (14-14, 97.0) 2- 5 103 H Lindenwood IND (14-14, 97.0) 4- 3 116 A RIT AH (17-17, 96.6) 5- 3 117 H RIT AH (17-17, 96.6) 4- 1 123 H Mercyhurst AH ( 6-27, 95.4) 4- 3 124 H Mercyhurst AH ( 6-27, 95.4) 5- 0 130 A Niagara AH (13-23, 96.1) 3- 5 131 H Niagara AH (13-23, 96.1) 4- 3 206 H Rob Morris AH (17-20, 96.4) 0- 1 207 H Rob Morris AH (17-20, 96.4) 4- 6 213 A Holy Cross AH (18-18, 97.0) 3- 4 214 A Holy Cross AH (18-18, 97.0) 5- 3 220 A Rob Morris AH (17-20, 96.4) 1- 4 221 A Rob Morris AH (17-20, 96.4) 7- 0 227 H Niagara AH (13-23, 96.1) 2- 3 228 A Niagara AH (13-23, 96.1) 5- 1 303 A Mercyhurst AH ( 6-27, 95.4) 2- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1003 A Clarkson 3- 1 2 -1 + 2.56
1005 A St Lawrence 4- 2 2 1 0.64
1010 A LIU 3- 2 1 0 1.05
1011 A LIU 1- 6 -5 0 -- -4.95
1014 H Army 3- 1 2 0 + 2.22
1017 H Colgate 4- 2 2 0 1.96
1018 H Colgate 3- 5 -2 0 - -2.04
1024 H Bentley 1- 4 -3 -1 -1.99
1025 H Bentley 0- 3 -3 -1 -1.99
1101 A Army 2- 2 0 0 0.24
1114 H Sacred Heart 1- 6 -5 -1 -- -4.21
1115 H Sacred Heart 2- 3 -1 -1 -0.21
1121 A Mercyhurst 4- 3 1 1 -0.26
1122 A Mercyhurst 5- 1 4 1 + 2.74
1128 A Air Force 3- 6 -3 -1 - -2.46
1129 A Air Force 3- 3 0 -1 0.54
1205 H RIT 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.00
1206 A RIT 4- 2 2 0 + 2.02
102 H Lindenwood 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.60
103 H Lindenwood 4- 3 1 0 1.40
116 A RIT 5- 3 2 0 + 2.02
117 H RIT 4- 1 3 0 + 3.00
123 H Mercyhurst 4- 3 1 1 -0.28
124 H Mercyhurst 5- 0 5 1 + 3.72
130 A Niagara 3- 5 -2 1 - -2.52
131 H Niagara 4- 3 1 1 0.46
207 H Rob Morris 4- 6 -2 0 - -2.20
213 A Holy Cross 3- 4 -1 0 -0.58
214 A Holy Cross 5- 3 2 0 + 2.42
220 A Rob Morris 1- 4 -3 0 - -3.18
221 A Rob Morris 7- 0 7 0 +++ 6.82
227 H Niagara 2- 3 -1 1 -1.54
228 A Niagara 5- 1 4 1 + 3.48
303 A Mercyhurst 2- 5 -3 1 -- -4.26
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1011 A LIU 1- 6 -5 0 -- -4.95 1114 H Sacred Heart 1- 6 -5 -1 -- -4.21 303 A Mercyhurst 2- 5 -3 1 -- -4.26 1018 H Colgate 3- 5 -2 0 - -2.04 1128 A Air Force 3- 6 -3 -1 - -2.46 1205 H RIT 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.00 102 H Lindenwood 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.60 130 A Niagara 3- 5 -2 1 - -2.52 207 H Rob Morris 4- 6 -2 0 - -2.20 220 A Rob Morris 1- 4 -3 0 - -3.18 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 A Rob Morris 7- 0 7 0 +++ 6.82 1003 A Clarkson 3- 1 2 -1 + 2.56 1014 H Army 3- 1 2 0 + 2.22 1122 A Mercyhurst 5- 1 4 1 + 2.74 1206 A RIT 4- 2 2 0 + 2.02 116 A RIT 5- 3 2 0 + 2.02 117 H RIT 4- 1 3 0 + 3.00 124 H Mercyhurst 5- 0 5 1 + 3.72 214 A Holy Cross 5- 3 2 0 + 2.42 228 A Niagara 5- 1 4 1 + 3.48 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Clarkson (18-19, 97.2) 3- 1 -2.73 1.92 0.01 1.04 4.00
0 A St Lawrence ( 7-25, 95.3) 4- 2 -4.65 1.00 0.01 1.04 2.09
0 A LIU (11-16, 96.7) 3- 2 -3.24 1.41 0.01 1.04 2.95
0 A LIU (11-16, 96.7) 1- 6 -3.24 1.41 0.01 1.04 -1.67
0 H Army (12-17, 96.9) 3- 1 -3.04 1.60 -0.01 1.04 3.31
0 H Colgate (13-21, 96.6) 4- 2 -3.31 1.34 -0.01 1.04 2.75
0 H Colgate (13-21, 96.6) 3- 5 -3.31 1.34 -0.01 1.04 -1.72
0 H Bentley (23-12, 97.6) 1- 4 -2.26 2.39 -0.01 1.04 -1.18
0 H Bentley (23-12, 97.6) 0- 3 -2.26 2.39 -0.01 1.04 -1.18
0 A Army (12-17, 96.9) 2- 2 -3.04 1.60 0.01 1.04 0.00
0 H Sacred Heart (23-14, 97.4) 1- 6 -2.47 2.18 -0.01 1.04 -1.29
0 H Sacred Heart (23-14, 97.4) 2- 3 -2.47 2.18 -0.01 1.04 -1.29
0 A Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.4) 4- 3 -4.55 1.00 0.01 1.04 2.09
0 A Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.4) 5- 1 -4.55 1.00 0.01 1.04 2.09
0 A Air Force (19-14, 97.2) 3- 6 -2.75 1.90 0.01 1.04 -1.42
0 A Air Force (19-14, 97.2) 3- 3 -2.75 1.90 0.01 1.04 0.00
0 H RIT (17-17, 96.6) 1- 3 -3.27 1.38 -0.01 1.04 -1.70
0 A RIT (17-17, 96.6) 4- 2 -3.27 1.38 0.01 1.04 2.88
0 H Lindenwood (14-14, 97.0) 2- 5 -2.87 1.78 -0.01 1.04 -1.49
0 H Lindenwood (14-14, 97.0) 4- 3 -2.87 1.78 -0.01 1.04 3.66
0 A RIT (17-17, 96.6) 5- 3 -3.27 1.38 0.01 1.04 2.88
0 H RIT (17-17, 96.6) 4- 1 -3.27 1.38 -0.01 1.04 2.84
0 H Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.4) 4- 3 -4.55 1.00 -0.01 1.04 2.05
0 H Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.4) 5- 0 -4.55 1.00 -0.01 1.04 2.05
0 A Niagara (13-23, 96.1) 3- 5 -3.81 1.00 0.01 1.04 -1.97
0 H Niagara (13-23, 96.1) 4- 3 -3.81 1.00 -0.01 1.04 2.05
0 H Rob Morris (17-20, 96.4) 0- 1 -3.46 1.18 -0.01 1.04 -1.80
0 H Rob Morris (17-20, 96.4) 4- 6 -3.46 1.18 -0.01 1.04 -1.80
0 A Holy Cross (18-18, 97.0) 3- 4 -2.87 1.78 0.01 1.04 -1.48
0 A Holy Cross (18-18, 97.0) 5- 3 -2.87 1.78 0.01 1.04 3.72
0 A Rob Morris (17-20, 96.4) 1- 4 -3.46 1.18 0.01 1.04 -1.79
0 A Rob Morris (17-20, 96.4) 7- 0 -3.46 1.18 0.01 1.04 2.48
0 H Niagara (13-23, 96.1) 2- 3 -3.81 1.00 -0.01 1.04 -1.98
0 A Niagara (13-23, 96.1) 5- 1 -3.81 1.00 0.01 1.04 2.09
0 A Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.4) 2- 5 -4.55 1.00 0.01 1.04 -2.35
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19.90
|
winning pts = 46.0160 losing points = -26.1113
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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