Colgate
W-L: (13-21) PR = 96.5878Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1010 H Boston Univ HE (16-17, 97.6) 2- 6 1011 H Boston Univ HE (16-17, 97.6) 2- 2 1017 A Canisius AH (17-16, 96.6) 2- 4 1018 A Canisius AH (17-16, 96.6) 5- 3 1024 H Maine HE (18-14, 98.4) 3- 2 1025 H Maine HE (18-14, 98.4) 2- 3 1031 A RIT AH (17-17, 96.6) 1- 3 1101 A RIT AH (17-17, 96.6) 1- 4 1107 H Dartmouth ECAC (23- 8, 98.5) 1- 4 1108 H Harvard ECAC (16-15, 97.3) 5- 6 1114 A Yale ECAC ( 8-22, 96.2) 4- 3 1115 A Brown ECAC ( 5-24, 95.5) 4- 0 1121 A RPI ECAC (11-23, 96.3) 2- 1 1122 A Union ECAC (22-14, 97.8) 4- 4 1126 H Michigan St B10 (26- 9, 99.6) 2- 5 1128 H Michigan St B10 (26- 9, 99.6) 1- 4 1205 H St Lawrence ECAC ( 7-25, 95.3) 4- 2 1206 H Clarkson ECAC (18-19, 97.2) 3- 5 103 H New Hamp HE (14-21, 96.6) 3- 2 104 H New Hamp HE (14-21, 96.6) 2- 3 116 A Quinnipiac ECAC (27-11, 98.8) 1- 5 117 A Princeton ECAC (21-14, 97.7) 2- 0 123 A Harvard ECAC (16-15, 97.3) 1- 3 124 A Dartmouth ECAC (23- 8, 98.5) 5- 2 130 H Brown ECAC ( 5-24, 95.5) 3- 3 131 H Yale ECAC ( 8-22, 96.2) 6- 3 206 A Cornell ECAC (23-11, 98.5) 2- 5 207 H Cornell ECAC (23-11, 98.5) 3- 2 207 H Alaska Anch IND ( 5-23, 95.4) 2- 3 213 H Union ECAC (22-14, 97.8) 6- 7 214 H RPI ECAC (11-23, 96.3) 1- 6 220 H Princeton ECAC (21-14, 97.7) 1- 1 221 H Quinnipiac ECAC (27-11, 98.8) 2- 5 227 A Clarkson ECAC (18-19, 97.2) 1- 4 228 A St Lawrence ECAC ( 7-25, 95.3) 7- 3 307 A Yale ECAC ( 8-22, 96.2) 3- 2 313 H Dartmouth ECAC (23- 8, 98.5) 1- 4 314 H Dartmouth ECAC (23- 8, 98.5) 1- 4
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1010 H Boston Univ 2- 6 -4 -1 - -2.97
1011 H Boston Univ 2- 2 0 -1 1.03
1017 A Canisius 2- 4 -2 0 -1.96
1018 A Canisius 5- 3 2 0 + 2.04
1024 H Maine 3- 2 1 -2 + 2.85
1025 H Maine 2- 3 -1 -2 0.85
1031 A RIT 1- 3 -2 0 -1.95
1101 A RIT 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.95
1107 H Dartmouth 1- 4 -3 -2 -1.11
1108 H Harvard 5- 6 -1 -1 -0.33
1114 A Yale 4- 3 1 0 0.66
1115 A Brown 4- 0 4 1 + 2.92
1121 A RPI 2- 1 1 0 0.73
1122 A Union 4- 4 0 -1 1.24
1126 H Michigan St 2- 5 -3 -3 -0.04
1128 H Michigan St 1- 4 -3 -3 -0.04
1205 H St Lawrence 4- 2 2 1 0.65
1206 H Clarkson 3- 5 -2 -1 -1.43
103 H New Hamp 3- 2 1 0 0.97
104 H New Hamp 2- 3 -1 0 -1.03
116 A Quinnipiac 1- 5 -4 -2 -1.81
117 A Princeton 2- 0 2 -1 + 3.11
123 A Harvard 1- 3 -2 -1 -1.31
124 A Dartmouth 5- 2 3 -2 ++ 4.91
130 H Brown 3- 3 0 1 -1.10
131 H Yale 6- 3 3 0 + 2.64
206 A Cornell 2- 5 -3 -2 -1.11
207 H Cornell 3- 2 1 -2 + 2.87
207 H Alaska Anch 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.22
213 H Union 6- 7 -1 -1 0.22
214 H RPI 1- 6 -5 0 -- -5.29
220 H Princeton 1- 1 0 -1 1.09
221 H Quinnipiac 2- 5 -3 -2 -0.83
227 A Clarkson 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.41
228 A St Lawrence 7- 3 4 1 + 2.67
307 A Yale 3- 2 1 0 0.66
313 H Dartmouth 1- 4 -3 -2 -1.11
314 H Dartmouth 1- 4 -3 -2 -1.11
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H RPI 1- 6 -5 0 -- -5.29 1010 H Boston Univ 2- 6 -4 -1 - -2.97 1101 A RIT 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.95 207 H Alaska Anch 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.22 227 A Clarkson 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.41 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 124 A Dartmouth 5- 2 3 -2 ++ 4.91 1018 A Canisius 5- 3 2 0 + 2.04 1024 H Maine 3- 2 1 -2 + 2.85 1115 A Brown 4- 0 4 1 + 2.92 117 A Princeton 2- 0 2 -1 + 3.11 131 H Yale 6- 3 3 0 + 2.64 207 H Cornell 3- 2 1 -2 + 2.87 228 A St Lawrence 7- 3 4 1 + 2.67 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Boston Univ (16-17, 97.6) 2- 6 -2.28 2.37 -0.01 0.95 -1.09
3 H Boston Univ (16-17, 97.6) 2- 2 -2.28 2.37 -0.01 0.95 0.00
3 A Canisius (17-16, 96.6) 2- 4 -3.28 1.37 0.01 0.95 -1.56
3 A Canisius (17-16, 96.6) 5- 3 -3.28 1.37 0.01 0.95 2.64
3 H Maine (18-14, 98.4) 3- 2 -1.45 3.19 -0.01 0.95 6.08
3 H Maine (18-14, 98.4) 2- 3 -1.45 3.19 -0.01 0.95 -0.70
3 A RIT (17-17, 96.6) 1- 3 -3.27 1.38 0.01 0.95 -1.56
3 A RIT (17-17, 96.6) 1- 4 -3.27 1.38 0.01 0.95 -1.56
3 H Dartmouth (23- 8, 98.5) 1- 4 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 0.95 -0.68
3 H Harvard (16-15, 97.3) 5- 6 -2.64 2.01 -0.01 0.95 -1.26
3 A Yale ( 8-22, 96.2) 4- 3 -3.66 1.00 0.01 0.95 1.93
3 A Brown ( 5-24, 95.5) 4- 0 -4.40 1.00 0.01 0.95 1.93
3 A RPI (11-23, 96.3) 2- 1 -3.59 1.06 0.01 0.95 2.04
3 A Union (22-14, 97.8) 4- 4 -2.08 2.57 0.01 0.95 0.00
3 H Michigan St (26- 9, 99.6) 2- 5 -0.34 4.31 -0.01 0.95 -0.17
3 H Michigan St (26- 9, 99.6) 1- 4 -0.34 4.31 -0.01 0.95 -0.17
3 H St Lawrence ( 7-25, 95.3) 4- 2 -4.65 1.00 -0.01 0.95 1.89
3 H Clarkson (18-19, 97.2) 3- 5 -2.73 1.92 -0.01 0.95 -1.31
3 H New Hamp (14-21, 96.6) 3- 2 -3.33 1.32 -0.01 0.95 2.50
3 H New Hamp (14-21, 96.6) 2- 3 -3.33 1.32 -0.01 0.95 -1.59
3 A Quinnipiac (27-11, 98.8) 1- 5 -1.13 3.52 0.01 0.95 -0.53
3 A Princeton (21-14, 97.7) 2- 0 -2.22 2.43 0.01 0.95 4.67
3 A Harvard (16-15, 97.3) 1- 3 -2.64 2.01 0.01 0.95 -1.25
3 A Dartmouth (23- 8, 98.5) 5- 2 -1.42 3.23 0.01 0.95 6.19
3 H Brown ( 5-24, 95.5) 3- 3 -4.40 1.00 -0.01 0.95 0.00
3 H Yale ( 8-22, 96.2) 6- 3 -3.66 1.00 -0.01 0.95 1.89
3 A Cornell (23-11, 98.5) 2- 5 -1.44 3.21 0.01 0.95 -0.68
3 H Cornell (23-11, 98.5) 3- 2 -1.44 3.21 -0.01 0.95 6.12
3 H Alaska Anch ( 5-23, 95.4) 2- 3 -4.53 1.00 -0.01 0.95 -2.17
3 H Union (22-14, 97.8) 6- 7 -2.08 2.57 -0.01 0.95 -1.00
3 H RPI (11-23, 96.3) 1- 6 -3.59 1.06 -0.01 0.95 -1.72
3 H Princeton (21-14, 97.7) 1- 1 -2.22 2.43 -0.01 0.95 0.00
3 H Quinnipiac (27-11, 98.8) 2- 5 -1.13 3.52 -0.01 0.95 -0.54
3 A Clarkson (18-19, 97.2) 1- 4 -2.73 1.92 0.01 0.95 -1.30
3 A St Lawrence ( 7-25, 95.3) 7- 3 -4.65 1.00 0.01 0.95 1.93
3 A Yale ( 8-22, 96.2) 3- 2 -3.66 1.00 0.01 0.95 1.93
3 H Dartmouth (23- 8, 98.5) 1- 4 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 0.95 -0.68
3 H Dartmouth (23- 8, 98.5) 1- 4 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 0.95 -0.68
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19.53
|
winning pts = 41.7352 losing points = -22.2015
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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