Connecticut
W-L: (20-13) PR = 98.4734Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1003 H Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 2- 4 1004 H Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 5- 1 1017 A Ohio State B10 (15-20, 98.3) 3- 2 1018 A Ohio State B10 (15-20, 98.3) 2- 4 1024 H Boston Univ HE (16-17, 97.6) 8- 4 1025 A Boston Univ HE (16-17, 97.6) 1- 3 1031 A Harvard ECAC (16-15, 97.3) 1- 1 1101 A Merrimack HE (21-16, 97.9) 5- 1 1107 A Providence HE (22-11, 98.9) 1- 4 1108 H Providence HE (22-11, 98.9) 2- 2 1114 A North Eastern HE (18-18, 97.9) 4- 2 1115 H North Eastern HE (18-18, 97.9) 4- 3 1121 H New Hamp HE (14-21, 96.6) 4- 1 1122 A New Hamp HE (14-21, 96.6) 3- 4 1125 A Stonehill IND (10-22, 96.5) 3- 3 1205 H Merrimack HE (21-16, 97.9) 3- 0 1206 A Merrimack HE (21-16, 97.9) 5- 2 1231 A LIU IND (11-16, 96.7) 4- 1 103 H LIU IND (11-16, 96.7) 3- 1 109 A UMass Lowell HE (13-22, 97.1) 3- 5 110 H UMass Lowell HE (13-22, 97.1) 5- 1 116 A Vermont HE (13-21, 96.5) 4- 1 117 A Vermont HE (13-21, 96.5) 2- 4 123 H Yale ECAC ( 8-22, 96.2) 5- 2 124 A Quinnipiac ECAC (27-11, 98.8) 4- 2 206 H North Eastern HE (18-18, 97.9) 2- 0 213 H Maine HE (18-14, 98.4) 2- 0 214 H Maine HE (18-14, 98.4) 3- 3 220 H Boston Col HE (21-15, 98.5) 2- 5 221 A Boston Col HE (21-15, 98.5) 1- 2 227 A UMass HE (22-13, 98.3) 1- 5 228 H UMass HE (22-13, 98.3) 3- 3 305 A New Hamp HE (14-21, 96.6) 4- 1 307 H Providence HE (22-11, 98.9) 1- 3 314 A Boston Univ HE (16-17, 97.6) 5- 3 320 A Boston Col HE (21-15, 98.5) 4- 3 321 A Merrimack HE (21-16, 97.9) 1- 2 326 H Michigan St B10 (26- 9, 99.6) 1- 2
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1003 H Colorado Col 2- 4 -2 0 -1.93
1004 H Colorado Col 5- 1 4 0 ++ 4.07
1017 A Ohio State 3- 2 1 0 0.81
1018 A Ohio State 2- 4 -2 0 - -2.19
1024 H Boston Univ 8- 4 4 1 + 3.14
1025 A Boston Univ 1- 3 -2 1 - -2.84
1031 A Harvard 1- 1 0 1 -1.20
1101 A Merrimack 5- 1 4 1 + 3.45
1107 A Providence 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.51
1108 H Providence 2- 2 0 0 0.47
1114 A North Eastern 4- 2 2 1 1.40
1115 H North Eastern 4- 3 1 1 0.38
1121 H New Hamp 4- 1 3 2 1.09
1122 A New Hamp 3- 4 -1 2 - -2.89
1125 A Stonehill 3- 3 0 2 - -2.01
1205 H Merrimack 3- 0 3 1 + 2.43
1206 A Merrimack 5- 2 3 1 + 2.45
1231 A LIU 4- 1 3 2 1.20
103 H LIU 3- 1 2 2 0.18
109 A UMass Lowell 3- 5 -2 1 - -3.37
110 H UMass Lowell 5- 1 4 1 + 2.61
116 A Vermont 4- 1 3 2 1.01
117 A Vermont 2- 4 -2 2 - -3.99
123 H Yale 5- 2 3 2 0.76
124 A Quinnipiac 4- 2 2 0 + 2.31
206 H North Eastern 2- 0 2 1 1.38
213 H Maine 2- 0 2 0 1.96
214 H Maine 3- 3 0 0 -0.04
220 H Boston Col 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.99
221 A Boston Col 1- 2 -1 0 -0.97
227 A UMass 1- 5 -4 0 -- -4.21
228 H UMass 3- 3 0 0 -0.23
305 A New Hamp 4- 1 3 2 1.11
307 H Providence 1- 3 -2 0 -1.53
314 A Boston Univ 5- 3 2 1 1.16
320 A Boston Col 4- 3 1 0 1.03
321 A Merrimack 1- 2 -1 1 -1.55
326 H Michigan St 1- 2 -1 -1 0.07
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 A UMass 1- 5 -4 0 -- -4.21 1018 A Ohio State 2- 4 -2 0 - -2.19 1025 A Boston Univ 1- 3 -2 1 - -2.84 1107 A Providence 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.51 1122 A New Hamp 3- 4 -1 2 - -2.89 1125 A Stonehill 3- 3 0 2 - -2.01 109 A UMass Lowell 3- 5 -2 1 - -3.37 117 A Vermont 2- 4 -2 2 - -3.99 220 H Boston Col 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.99 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1004 H Colorado Col 5- 1 4 0 ++ 4.07 1024 H Boston Univ 8- 4 4 1 + 3.14 1101 A Merrimack 5- 1 4 1 + 3.45 1205 H Merrimack 3- 0 3 1 + 2.43 1206 A Merrimack 5- 2 3 1 + 2.45 110 H UMass Lowell 5- 1 4 1 + 2.61 124 A Quinnipiac 4- 2 2 0 + 2.31 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 2- 4 -1.34 3.31 -0.01 0.95 -0.65
3 H Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 5- 1 -1.34 3.31 -0.01 0.95 6.30
3 A Ohio State (15-20, 98.3) 3- 2 -1.63 3.02 0.01 0.95 5.79
3 A Ohio State (15-20, 98.3) 2- 4 -1.63 3.02 0.01 0.95 -0.77
3 H Boston Univ (16-17, 97.6) 8- 4 -2.28 2.37 -0.01 0.95 4.51
3 A Boston Univ (16-17, 97.6) 1- 3 -2.28 2.37 0.01 0.95 -1.08
3 A Harvard (16-15, 97.3) 1- 1 -2.64 2.01 0.01 0.95 0.00
3 A Merrimack (21-16, 97.9) 5- 1 -1.99 2.66 0.01 0.95 5.10
3 A Providence (22-11, 98.9) 1- 4 -0.95 3.70 0.01 0.95 -0.45
3 H Providence (22-11, 98.9) 2- 2 -0.95 3.70 -0.01 0.95 0.00
3 A North Eastern (18-18, 97.9) 4- 2 -2.04 2.61 0.01 0.95 5.01
3 H North Eastern (18-18, 97.9) 4- 3 -2.04 2.61 -0.01 0.95 4.97
3 H New Hamp (14-21, 96.6) 4- 1 -3.33 1.32 -0.01 0.95 2.50
3 A New Hamp (14-21, 96.6) 3- 4 -3.33 1.32 0.01 0.95 -1.59
3 A Stonehill (10-22, 96.5) 3- 3 -3.44 1.20 0.01 0.95 0.00
3 H Merrimack (21-16, 97.9) 3- 0 -1.99 2.66 -0.01 0.95 5.06
3 A Merrimack (21-16, 97.9) 5- 2 -1.99 2.66 0.01 0.95 5.10
3 A LIU (11-16, 96.7) 4- 1 -3.24 1.41 0.01 0.95 2.72
3 H LIU (11-16, 96.7) 3- 1 -3.24 1.41 -0.01 0.95 2.68
3 A UMass Lowell (13-22, 97.1) 3- 5 -2.80 1.85 0.01 0.95 -1.33
3 H UMass Lowell (13-22, 97.1) 5- 1 -2.80 1.85 -0.01 0.95 3.51
3 A Vermont (13-21, 96.5) 4- 1 -3.43 1.22 0.01 0.95 2.35
3 A Vermont (13-21, 96.5) 2- 4 -3.43 1.22 0.01 0.95 -1.63
3 H Yale ( 8-22, 96.2) 5- 2 -3.66 1.00 -0.01 0.95 1.89
3 A Quinnipiac (27-11, 98.8) 4- 2 -1.13 3.52 0.01 0.95 6.74
3 H North Eastern (18-18, 97.9) 2- 0 -2.04 2.61 -0.01 0.95 4.97
3 H Maine (18-14, 98.4) 2- 0 -1.45 3.19 -0.01 0.95 6.08
3 H Maine (18-14, 98.4) 3- 3 -1.45 3.19 -0.01 0.95 0.00
3 H Boston Col (21-15, 98.5) 2- 5 -1.41 3.24 -0.01 0.95 -0.68
3 A Boston Col (21-15, 98.5) 1- 2 -1.41 3.24 0.01 0.95 -0.67
3 A UMass (22-13, 98.3) 1- 5 -1.64 3.00 0.01 0.95 -0.78
3 H UMass (22-13, 98.3) 3- 3 -1.64 3.00 -0.01 0.95 0.00
3 A New Hamp (14-21, 96.6) 4- 1 -3.33 1.32 0.01 0.95 2.54
3 H Providence (22-11, 98.9) 1- 3 -0.95 3.70 -0.01 0.95 -0.46
3 A Boston Univ (16-17, 97.6) 5- 3 -2.28 2.37 0.01 0.95 4.55
3 A Boston Col (21-15, 98.5) 4- 3 -1.41 3.24 0.01 0.95 6.21
3 A Merrimack (21-16, 97.9) 1- 2 -1.99 2.66 0.01 0.95 -0.94
3 H Michigan St (26- 9, 99.6) 1- 2 -0.34 4.31 -0.01 0.95 -0.17
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77.39
|
winning pts = 88.5845 losing points = -11.1983
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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