Dartmouth
W-L: (23- 8) PR = 98.4835Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1101 H Stonehill IND (10-22, 96.5) 5- 2 1102 A Yale ECAC ( 8-22, 96.2) 6- 1 1107 A Colgate ECAC (13-21, 96.6) 4- 1 1108 A Cornell ECAC (23-11, 98.5) 2- 1 1114 H St Lawrence ECAC ( 7-25, 95.3) 6- 1 1115 H Clarkson ECAC (18-19, 97.2) 3- 1 1128 A Vermont HE (13-21, 96.5) 7- 2 1129 A Merrimack HE (21-16, 97.9) 1- 0 1205 A Brown ECAC ( 5-24, 95.5) 7- 3 1206 A Yale ECAC ( 8-22, 96.2) 6- 1 1212 A Army AH (12-17, 96.9) 3- 0 1214 H New Hamp HE (14-21, 96.6) 2- 3 1227 A Arizona St HE (15-22, 97.8) 1- 5 1228 A Arizona St HE (15-22, 97.8) 4- 1 102 H Princeton ECAC (21-14, 97.7) 4- 5 103 H Quinnipiac ECAC (27-11, 98.8) 3- 5 109 A Harvard ECAC (16-15, 97.3) 5- 4 116 A Clarkson ECAC (18-19, 97.2) 2- 2 117 A St Lawrence ECAC ( 7-25, 95.3) 4- 0 123 H Cornell ECAC (23-11, 98.5) 1- 2 124 H Colgate ECAC (13-21, 96.6) 2- 5 130 A Union ECAC (22-14, 97.8) 4- 2 131 A RPI ECAC (11-23, 96.3) 3- 1 206 H Harvard ECAC (16-15, 97.3) 3- 1 213 H Yale ECAC ( 8-22, 96.2) 4- 4 214 H Brown ECAC ( 5-24, 95.5) 3- 4 220 H RPI ECAC (11-23, 96.3) 3- 1 221 H Union ECAC (22-14, 97.8) 3- 3 227 A Quinnipiac ECAC (27-11, 98.8) 7- 4 228 A Princeton ECAC (21-14, 97.7) 2- 2 313 A Colgate ECAC (13-21, 96.6) 4- 1 314 A Colgate ECAC (13-21, 96.6) 4- 1 320 A Clarkson ECAC (18-19, 97.2) 4- 0 321 A Princeton ECAC (21-14, 97.7) 2- 1 326 A Wisconsin B10 (25-12, 99.1) 1- 5
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1101 H Stonehill 5- 2 3 2 0.96
1102 A Yale 6- 1 5 2 + 2.77
1107 A Colgate 4- 1 3 2 1.11
1108 A Cornell 2- 1 1 0 0.99
1114 H St Lawrence 6- 1 5 3 1.76
1115 H Clarkson 3- 1 2 1 0.68
1128 A Vermont 7- 2 5 2 + 3.00
1205 A Brown 7- 3 4 3 1.02
1206 A Yale 6- 1 5 2 + 2.77
1212 A Army 3- 0 3 2 1.38
1214 H New Hamp 2- 3 -1 2 - -2.92
1227 A Arizona St 1- 5 -4 1 -- -4.72
1228 A Arizona St 4- 1 3 1 + 2.28
102 H Princeton 4- 5 -1 1 -1.81
103 H Quinnipiac 3- 5 -2 0 -1.72
109 A Harvard 5- 4 1 1 -0.21
116 A Clarkson 2- 2 0 1 -1.30
117 A St Lawrence 4- 0 4 3 0.78
123 H Cornell 1- 2 -1 0 -1.03
124 H Colgate 2- 5 -3 2 -- -4.91
130 A Union 4- 2 2 1 1.35
131 A RPI 3- 1 2 2 -0.16
206 H Harvard 3- 1 2 1 0.77
213 H Yale 4- 4 0 2 - -2.25
214 H Brown 3- 4 -1 3 - -4.00
220 H RPI 3- 1 2 2 -0.18
221 H Union 3- 3 0 1 -0.67
227 A Quinnipiac 7- 4 3 0 + 3.30
228 A Princeton 2- 2 0 1 -0.79
313 A Colgate 4- 1 3 2 1.11
314 A Colgate 4- 1 3 2 1.11
320 A Clarkson 4- 0 4 1 + 2.70
321 A Princeton 2- 1 1 1 0.21
326 A Wisconsin 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.39
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1227 A Arizona St 1- 5 -4 1 -- -4.72 124 H Colgate 2- 5 -3 2 -- -4.91 1214 H New Hamp 2- 3 -1 2 - -2.92 213 H Yale 4- 4 0 2 - -2.25 214 H Brown 3- 4 -1 3 - -4.00 326 A Wisconsin 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.39 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1102 A Yale 6- 1 5 2 + 2.77 1128 A Vermont 7- 2 5 2 + 3.00 1206 A Yale 6- 1 5 2 + 2.77 1228 A Arizona St 4- 1 3 1 + 2.28 227 A Quinnipiac 7- 4 3 0 + 3.30 320 A Clarkson 4- 0 4 1 + 2.70 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Stonehill (10-22, 96.5) 5- 2 -3.44 1.20 -0.01 1.04 2.48
3 A Yale ( 8-22, 96.2) 6- 1 -3.66 1.00 0.01 1.04 2.09
3 A Colgate (13-21, 96.6) 4- 1 -3.31 1.34 0.01 1.04 2.79
3 A Cornell (23-11, 98.5) 2- 1 -1.44 3.21 0.01 1.04 6.68
3 H St Lawrence ( 7-25, 95.3) 6- 1 -4.65 1.00 -0.01 1.04 2.05
3 H Clarkson (18-19, 97.2) 3- 1 -2.73 1.92 -0.01 1.04 3.96
3 A Vermont (13-21, 96.5) 7- 2 -3.43 1.22 0.01 1.04 2.56
3 A Merrimack (21-16, 97.9) 1- 0 -1.99 2.66 0.01 1.04 5.54
3 A Brown ( 5-24, 95.5) 7- 3 -4.40 1.00 0.01 1.04 2.09
3 A Yale ( 8-22, 96.2) 6- 1 -3.66 1.00 0.01 1.04 2.09
3 A Army (12-17, 96.9) 3- 0 -3.04 1.60 0.01 1.04 3.35
3 H New Hamp (14-21, 96.6) 2- 3 -3.33 1.32 -0.01 1.04 -1.73
3 A Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 1- 5 -2.14 2.51 0.01 1.04 -1.10
3 A Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 4- 1 -2.14 2.51 0.01 1.04 5.22
3 H Princeton (21-14, 97.7) 4- 5 -2.22 2.43 -0.01 1.04 -1.15
3 H Quinnipiac (27-11, 98.8) 3- 5 -1.13 3.52 -0.01 1.04 -0.59
3 A Harvard (16-15, 97.3) 5- 4 -2.64 2.01 0.01 1.04 4.20
3 A Clarkson (18-19, 97.2) 2- 2 -2.73 1.92 0.01 1.04 0.00
3 A St Lawrence ( 7-25, 95.3) 4- 0 -4.65 1.00 0.01 1.04 2.09
3 H Cornell (23-11, 98.5) 1- 2 -1.44 3.21 -0.01 1.04 -0.75
3 H Colgate (13-21, 96.6) 2- 5 -3.31 1.34 -0.01 1.04 -1.72
3 A Union (22-14, 97.8) 4- 2 -2.08 2.57 0.01 1.04 5.35
3 A RPI (11-23, 96.3) 3- 1 -3.59 1.06 0.01 1.04 2.22
3 H Harvard (16-15, 97.3) 3- 1 -2.64 2.01 -0.01 1.04 4.15
3 H Yale ( 8-22, 96.2) 4- 4 -3.66 1.00 -0.01 1.04 0.00
3 H Brown ( 5-24, 95.5) 3- 4 -4.40 1.00 -0.01 1.04 -2.29
3 H RPI (11-23, 96.3) 3- 1 -3.59 1.06 -0.01 1.04 2.17
3 H Union (22-14, 97.8) 3- 3 -2.08 2.57 -0.01 1.04 0.00
3 A Quinnipiac (27-11, 98.8) 7- 4 -1.13 3.52 0.01 1.04 7.32
3 A Princeton (21-14, 97.7) 2- 2 -2.22 2.43 0.01 1.04 0.00
3 A Colgate (13-21, 96.6) 4- 1 -3.31 1.34 0.01 1.04 2.79
3 A Colgate (13-21, 96.6) 4- 1 -3.31 1.34 0.01 1.04 2.79
3 A Clarkson (18-19, 97.2) 4- 0 -2.73 1.92 0.01 1.04 4.00
3 A Princeton (21-14, 97.7) 2- 1 -2.22 2.43 0.01 1.04 5.07
3 A Wisconsin (25-12, 99.1) 1- 5 -0.81 3.84 0.01 1.04 -0.42
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73.33
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winning pts = 83.0806 losing points = -9.7549
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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