Ferris St
W-L: ( 8-27) PR = 96.5460Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1003 H Miami HE (18-16, 98.2) 4- 6 1004 H Miami HE (18-16, 98.2) 1- 3 1009 H Western Mich HE (27-11, 99.7) 3- 2 1010 A Western Mich HE (27-11, 99.7) 4- 6 1024 H Mich Tech CCH (22-12, 97.9) 1- 5 1025 H Mich Tech CCH (22-12, 97.9) 2- 4 1031 A Lindenwood IND (14-14, 97.0) 0- 1 1101 A Lindenwood IND (14-14, 97.0) 2- 3 1107 A Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 2- 4 1108 A Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 2- 0 1114 H Bowl Green CCH (18-12, 97.7) 5- 9 1115 H Bowl Green CCH (18-12, 97.7) 2- 5 1121 A L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 1- 2 1122 A L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 4- 3 1205 H Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 1- 5 1206 H Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 4- 1 1212 A Mich Tech CCH (22-12, 97.9) 2- 3 1213 A Mich Tech CCH (22-12, 97.9) 2- 5 1228 A Michigan St B10 (26- 9, 99.6) 2- 5 1229 A Miami HE (18-16, 98.2) 2- 4 102 H St. Thomas CCH (20-13, 97.9) 3- 5 103 H St. Thomas CCH (20-13, 97.9) 4- 8 109 A Bowl Green CCH (18-12, 97.7) 1- 3 110 A Bowl Green CCH (18-12, 97.7) 1- 5 116 H Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 0- 4 117 H Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 3- 4 130 A Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 1- 6 131 A Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 3- 4 206 H Bemidji St CCH (11-19, 97.1) 6- 3 207 H Bemidji St CCH (11-19, 97.1) 3- 4 213 A No Mich CCH ( 3-29, 95.6) 4- 4 214 A No Mich CCH ( 3-29, 95.6) 6- 0 226 H L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 5- 2 227 H L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 2- 2 306 H Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 1- 5 307 H Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 2- 1 308 H Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 0- 2
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1003 H Miami 4- 6 -2 -2 -0.38
1004 H Miami 1- 3 -2 -2 -0.38
1009 H Western Mich 3- 2 1 -3 ++ 4.13
1010 A Western Mich 4- 6 -2 -3 1.15
1024 H Mich Tech 1- 5 -4 -1 - -2.66
1025 H Mich Tech 2- 4 -2 -1 -0.66
1101 A Lindenwood 2- 3 -1 0 -0.51
1107 A Augustana 2- 4 -2 -2 -0.06
1108 A Augustana 2- 0 2 -2 + 3.94
1114 H Bowl Green 5- 9 -4 -1 - -2.85
1115 H Bowl Green 2- 5 -3 -1 -1.85
1121 A L Superor 1- 2 -1 0 -0.86
1122 A L Superor 4- 3 1 0 1.14
1205 H Minn St 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.44
1206 H Minn St 4- 1 3 -2 ++ 4.56
1212 A Mich Tech 2- 3 -1 -1 0.36
1213 A Mich Tech 2- 5 -3 -1 -1.64
1228 A Michigan St 2- 5 -3 -3 0.02
1229 A Miami 2- 4 -2 -2 -0.36
102 H St. Thomas 3- 5 -2 -1 -0.61
103 H St. Thomas 4- 8 -4 -1 - -2.61
109 A Bowl Green 1- 3 -2 -1 -0.83
110 A Bowl Green 1- 5 -4 -1 - -2.83
116 H Augustana 0- 4 -4 -2 - -2.08
117 H Augustana 3- 4 -1 -2 0.92
130 A Minn St 1- 6 -5 -2 - -3.42
131 A Minn St 3- 4 -1 -2 0.58
206 H Bemidji St 6- 3 3 -1 + 3.56
207 H Bemidji St 3- 4 -1 -1 -0.44
213 A No Mich 4- 4 0 1 -0.92
214 A No Mich 6- 0 6 1 ++ 5.08
226 H L Superor 5- 2 3 0 + 3.12
227 H L Superor 2- 2 0 0 0.12
306 H Minn St 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.44
307 H Minn St 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.56
308 H Minn St 0- 2 -2 -2 -0.44
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1024 H Mich Tech 1- 5 -4 -1 - -2.66 1114 H Bowl Green 5- 9 -4 -1 - -2.85 1205 H Minn St 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.44 103 H St. Thomas 4- 8 -4 -1 - -2.61 110 A Bowl Green 1- 5 -4 -1 - -2.83 116 H Augustana 0- 4 -4 -2 - -2.08 130 A Minn St 1- 6 -5 -2 - -3.42 306 H Minn St 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.44 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1009 H Western Mich 3- 2 1 -3 ++ 4.13 1206 H Minn St 4- 1 3 -2 ++ 4.56 214 A No Mich 6- 0 6 1 ++ 5.08 1108 A Augustana 2- 0 2 -2 + 3.94 206 H Bemidji St 6- 3 3 -1 + 3.56 226 H L Superor 5- 2 3 0 + 3.12 307 H Minn St 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.56 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Miami (18-16, 98.2) 4- 6 -1.73 2.92 -0.01 0.98 -0.85
3 H Miami (18-16, 98.2) 1- 3 -1.73 2.92 -0.01 0.98 -0.85
3 H Western Mich (27-11, 99.7) 3- 2 -0.21 4.44 -0.01 0.98 8.69
3 A Western Mich (27-11, 99.7) 4- 6 -0.21 4.44 0.01 0.98 -0.10
3 H Mich Tech (22-12, 97.9) 1- 5 -2.00 2.65 -0.01 0.98 -0.99
3 H Mich Tech (22-12, 97.9) 2- 4 -2.00 2.65 -0.01 0.98 -0.99
3 A Lindenwood (14-14, 97.0) 0- 1 -2.87 1.78 0.01 0.98 -1.40
3 A Lindenwood (14-14, 97.0) 2- 3 -2.87 1.78 0.01 0.98 -1.40
3 A Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 2- 4 -1.42 3.23 0.01 0.98 -0.69
3 A Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 2- 0 -1.42 3.23 0.01 0.98 6.35
3 H Bowl Green (18-12, 97.7) 5- 9 -2.19 2.46 -0.01 0.98 -1.08
3 H Bowl Green (18-12, 97.7) 2- 5 -2.19 2.46 -0.01 0.98 -1.08
3 A L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 1- 2 -3.22 1.43 0.01 0.98 -1.57
3 A L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 4- 3 -3.22 1.43 0.01 0.98 2.82
3 H Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 1- 5 -1.78 2.87 -0.01 0.98 -0.88
3 H Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 4- 1 -1.78 2.87 -0.01 0.98 5.60
3 A Mich Tech (22-12, 97.9) 2- 3 -2.00 2.65 0.01 0.98 -0.98
3 A Mich Tech (22-12, 97.9) 2- 5 -2.00 2.65 0.01 0.98 -0.98
3 A Michigan St (26- 9, 99.6) 2- 5 -0.34 4.31 0.01 0.98 -0.16
3 A Miami (18-16, 98.2) 2- 4 -1.73 2.92 0.01 0.98 -0.84
3 H St. Thomas (20-13, 97.9) 3- 5 -1.96 2.69 -0.01 0.98 -0.97
3 H St. Thomas (20-13, 97.9) 4- 8 -1.96 2.69 -0.01 0.98 -0.97
3 A Bowl Green (18-12, 97.7) 1- 3 -2.19 2.46 0.01 0.98 -1.07
3 A Bowl Green (18-12, 97.7) 1- 5 -2.19 2.46 0.01 0.98 -1.07
3 H Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 0- 4 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 0.98 -0.70
3 H Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 3- 4 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 0.98 -0.70
3 A Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 1- 6 -1.78 2.87 0.01 0.98 -0.87
3 A Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 3- 4 -1.78 2.87 0.01 0.98 -0.87
3 H Bemidji St (11-19, 97.1) 6- 3 -2.79 1.86 -0.01 0.98 3.64
3 H Bemidji St (11-19, 97.1) 3- 4 -2.79 1.86 -0.01 0.98 -1.37
3 A No Mich ( 3-29, 95.6) 4- 4 -4.29 1.00 0.01 0.98 0.00
3 A No Mich ( 3-29, 95.6) 6- 0 -4.29 1.00 0.01 0.98 1.98
3 H L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 5- 2 -3.22 1.43 -0.01 0.98 2.79
3 H L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 2- 2 -3.22 1.43 -0.01 0.98 0.00
3 H Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 1- 5 -1.78 2.87 -0.01 0.98 -0.88
3 H Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 2- 1 -1.78 2.87 -0.01 0.98 5.60
3 H Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 0- 2 -1.78 2.87 -0.01 0.98 -0.88
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12.28
|
winning pts = 37.4687 losing points = -25.1889
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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