Harvard
W-L: (16-15) PR = 97.2644Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1031 H Connecticut HE (20-13, 98.5) 1- 1 1104 A Stonehill IND (10-22, 96.5) 6- 2 1107 A Cornell ECAC (23-11, 98.5) 1- 3 1108 A Colgate ECAC (13-21, 96.6) 6- 5 1114 H Clarkson ECAC (18-19, 97.2) 2- 1 1115 H St Lawrence ECAC ( 7-25, 95.3) 4- 3 1122 H Vermont HE (13-21, 96.5) 5- 1 1128 A Michigan B10 (29- 8, 99.9) 1- 5 1129 A Michigan B10 (29- 8, 99.9) 3- 4 1205 A Yale ECAC ( 8-22, 96.2) 3- 2 1206 A Brown ECAC ( 5-24, 95.5) 7- 3 102 H Quinnipiac ECAC (27-11, 98.8) 1- 9 103 H Princeton ECAC (21-14, 97.7) 2- 3 109 H Dartmouth ECAC (23- 8, 98.5) 4- 5 116 A St Lawrence ECAC ( 7-25, 95.3) 5- 1 117 A Clarkson ECAC (18-19, 97.2) 2- 1 119 A Union ECAC (22-14, 97.8) 4- 0 123 H Colgate ECAC (13-21, 96.6) 3- 1 124 H Cornell ECAC (23-11, 98.5) 1- 4 130 A RPI ECAC (11-23, 96.3) 3- 1 202 H Boston Col HE (21-15, 98.5) 1- 5 206 A Dartmouth ECAC (23- 8, 98.5) 1- 3 209 A North Eastern HE (18-18, 97.9) 4- 1 213 H Brown ECAC ( 5-24, 95.5) 2- 2 214 H Yale ECAC ( 8-22, 96.2) 2- 3 220 H Union ECAC (22-14, 97.8) 1- 4 221 H RPI ECAC (11-23, 96.3) 1- 3 227 A Princeton ECAC (21-14, 97.7) 5- 3 228 A Quinnipiac ECAC (27-11, 98.8) 1- 4 306 A St Lawrence ECAC ( 7-25, 95.3) 4- 3 313 H Cornell ECAC (23-11, 98.5) 3- 1 314 H Cornell ECAC (23-11, 98.5) 0- 4 315 H Cornell ECAC (23-11, 98.5) 2- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1031 H Connecticut 1- 1 0 -1 1.20
1104 A Stonehill 6- 2 4 1 + 3.20
1107 A Cornell 1- 3 -2 -1 -0.79
1108 A Colgate 6- 5 1 1 0.33
1114 H Clarkson 2- 1 1 0 0.90
1115 H St Lawrence 4- 3 1 2 -1.02
1122 H Vermont 5- 1 4 1 + 3.20
1128 A Michigan 1- 5 -4 -3 -1.37
1129 A Michigan 3- 4 -1 -3 1.63
1205 A Yale 3- 2 1 1 -0.01
1206 A Brown 7- 3 4 2 + 2.24
102 H Quinnipiac 1- 9 -8 -1 --- -6.50
103 H Princeton 2- 3 -1 0 -0.59
109 H Dartmouth 4- 5 -1 -1 0.21
116 A St Lawrence 5- 1 4 2 2.00
117 A Clarkson 2- 1 1 0 0.92
119 A Union 4- 0 4 -1 ++ 4.57
123 H Colgate 3- 1 2 1 1.31
124 H Cornell 1- 4 -3 -1 -1.81
130 A RPI 3- 1 2 1 1.05
202 H Boston Col 1- 5 -4 -1 - -2.78
206 A Dartmouth 1- 3 -2 -1 -0.77
209 A North Eastern 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.61
213 H Brown 2- 2 0 2 -1.78
214 H Yale 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.03
220 H Union 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.45
221 H RPI 1- 3 -2 1 - -2.97
227 A Princeton 5- 3 2 0 + 2.43
228 A Quinnipiac 1- 4 -3 -2 -1.48
306 A St Lawrence 4- 3 1 2 -1.00
313 H Cornell 3- 1 2 -1 + 3.19
314 H Cornell 0- 4 -4 -1 - -2.81
315 H Cornell 2- 5 -3 -1 -1.81
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 102 H Quinnipiac 1- 9 -8 -1 --- -6.50 202 H Boston Col 1- 5 -4 -1 - -2.78 214 H Yale 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.03 220 H Union 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.45 221 H RPI 1- 3 -2 1 - -2.97 314 H Cornell 0- 4 -4 -1 - -2.81 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 119 A Union 4- 0 4 -1 ++ 4.57 1104 A Stonehill 6- 2 4 1 + 3.20 1122 H Vermont 5- 1 4 1 + 3.20 1206 A Brown 7- 3 4 2 + 2.24 209 A North Eastern 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.61 227 A Princeton 5- 3 2 0 + 2.43 313 H Cornell 3- 1 2 -1 + 3.19 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Connecticut (20-13, 98.5) 1- 1 -1.43 3.22 -0.01 1.10 0.00
3 A Stonehill (10-22, 96.5) 6- 2 -3.44 1.20 0.01 1.10 2.67
3 A Cornell (23-11, 98.5) 1- 3 -1.44 3.21 0.01 1.10 -0.78
3 A Colgate (13-21, 96.6) 6- 5 -3.31 1.34 0.01 1.10 2.96
3 H Clarkson (18-19, 97.2) 2- 1 -2.73 1.92 -0.01 1.10 4.20
3 H St Lawrence ( 7-25, 95.3) 4- 3 -4.65 1.00 -0.01 1.10 2.18
3 H Vermont (13-21, 96.5) 5- 1 -3.43 1.22 -0.01 1.10 2.67
3 A Michigan (29- 8, 99.9) 1- 5 -0.02 4.63 0.01 1.10 -0.00
3 A Michigan (29- 8, 99.9) 3- 4 -0.02 4.63 0.01 1.10 -0.00
3 A Yale ( 8-22, 96.2) 3- 2 -3.66 1.00 0.01 1.10 2.22
3 A Brown ( 5-24, 95.5) 7- 3 -4.40 1.00 0.01 1.10 2.22
3 H Quinnipiac (27-11, 98.8) 1- 9 -1.13 3.52 -0.01 1.10 -0.63
3 H Princeton (21-14, 97.7) 2- 3 -2.22 2.43 -0.01 1.10 -1.22
3 H Dartmouth (23- 8, 98.5) 4- 5 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 1.10 -0.78
3 A St Lawrence ( 7-25, 95.3) 5- 1 -4.65 1.00 0.01 1.10 2.22
3 A Clarkson (18-19, 97.2) 2- 1 -2.73 1.92 0.01 1.10 4.25
3 A Union (22-14, 97.8) 4- 0 -2.08 2.57 0.01 1.10 5.68
3 H Colgate (13-21, 96.6) 3- 1 -3.31 1.34 -0.01 1.10 2.92
3 H Cornell (23-11, 98.5) 1- 4 -1.44 3.21 -0.01 1.10 -0.79
3 A RPI (11-23, 96.3) 3- 1 -3.59 1.06 0.01 1.10 2.35
3 H Boston Col (21-15, 98.5) 1- 5 -1.41 3.24 -0.01 1.10 -0.78
3 A Dartmouth (23- 8, 98.5) 1- 3 -1.42 3.23 0.01 1.10 -0.77
3 A North Eastern (18-18, 97.9) 4- 1 -2.04 2.61 0.01 1.10 5.77
3 H Brown ( 5-24, 95.5) 2- 2 -4.40 1.00 -0.01 1.10 0.00
3 H Yale ( 8-22, 96.2) 2- 3 -3.66 1.00 -0.01 1.10 -2.02
3 H Union (22-14, 97.8) 1- 4 -2.08 2.57 -0.01 1.10 -1.15
3 H RPI (11-23, 96.3) 1- 3 -3.59 1.06 -0.01 1.10 -1.98
3 A Princeton (21-14, 97.7) 5- 3 -2.22 2.43 0.01 1.10 5.37
3 A Quinnipiac (27-11, 98.8) 1- 4 -1.13 3.52 0.01 1.10 -0.61
3 A St Lawrence ( 7-25, 95.3) 4- 3 -4.65 1.00 0.01 1.10 2.22
3 H Cornell (23-11, 98.5) 3- 1 -1.44 3.21 -0.01 1.10 7.04
3 H Cornell (23-11, 98.5) 0- 4 -1.44 3.21 -0.01 1.10 -0.79
3 H Cornell (23-11, 98.5) 2- 5 -1.44 3.21 -0.01 1.10 -0.79
------
43.82
|
winning pts = 56.9429 losing points = -13.1221
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------