Holy Cross 
W-L: (18-18) PR = 97.0350
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
1004 H North Eastern HE (18-18, 97.9) 4- 6
1010 H Maine HE (18-14, 98.4) 2- 5
1011 H Maine HE (18-14, 98.4) 0- 6
1018 H Mercyhurst AH ( 6-27, 95.4) 4- 0
1021 A Quinnipiac ECAC (27-11, 98.8) 1- 4
1024 H Army AH (12-17, 96.9) 2- 5
1025 H Army AH (12-17, 96.9) 5- 1
1030 A Sacred Heart AH (23-14, 97.4) 5- 2
1031 A Sacred Heart AH (23-14, 97.4) 2- 2
1107 A Niagara AH (13-23, 96.1) 5- 1
1108 A Niagara AH (13-23, 96.1) 6- 2
1114 H Air Force AH (19-14, 97.2) 3- 2
1115 H Air Force AH (19-14, 97.2) 4- 1
1120 A Alaska Anch IND ( 5-23, 95.4) 7- 2
1123 A Alaska Anch IND ( 5-23, 95.4) 1- 0
1126 H Quinnipiac ECAC (27-11, 98.8) 6- 7
1206 A Mercyhurst AH ( 6-27, 95.4) 4- 1
102 H Bentley AH (23-12, 97.6) 2- 2
103 A Bentley AH (23-12, 97.6) 3- 8
110 A Merrimack HE (21-16, 97.9) 2- 5
116 A Air Force AH (19-14, 97.2) 3- 2
117 A Air Force AH (19-14, 97.2) 2- 5
123 H Rob Morris AH (17-20, 96.4) 2- 5
124 H Rob Morris AH (17-20, 96.4) 0- 1
129 A Army AH (12-17, 96.9) 2- 3
130 A Army AH (12-17, 96.9) 3- 0
206 A Bentley AH (23-12, 97.6) 2- 4
207 H Bentley AH (23-12, 97.6) 4- 1
213 H Canisius AH (17-16, 96.6) 4- 3
214 H Canisius AH (17-16, 96.6) 3- 5
220 H Sacred Heart AH (23-14, 97.4) 1- 5
221 H Sacred Heart AH (23-14, 97.4) 2- 5
227 A RIT AH (17-17, 96.6) 5- 1
228 A RIT AH (17-17, 96.6) 3- 2
306 A RIT AH (17-17, 96.6) 2- 1
307 A RIT AH (17-17, 96.6) 5- 4
313 H Bentley AH (23-12, 97.6) 2- 3
314 H Bentley AH (23-12, 97.6) 0- 4
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1004 H North Eastern 4- 6 -2 -1 -1.18
1010 H Maine 2- 5 -3 -1 -1.60
1011 H Maine 0- 6 -6 -1 -- -4.60
1018 H Mercyhurst 4- 0 4 2 + 2.31
1021 A Quinnipiac 1- 4 -3 -2 -1.25
1024 H Army 2- 5 -3 0 - -3.19
1025 H Army 5- 1 4 0 + 3.81
1030 A Sacred Heart 5- 2 3 0 + 3.40
1031 A Sacred Heart 2- 2 0 0 0.40
1107 A Niagara 5- 1 4 1 + 3.06
1108 A Niagara 6- 2 4 1 + 3.06
1114 H Air Force 3- 2 1 0 1.11
1115 H Air Force 4- 1 3 0 + 3.11
1120 A Alaska Anch 7- 2 5 2 + 3.35
1126 H Quinnipiac 6- 7 -1 -2 0.73
1206 A Mercyhurst 4- 1 3 2 1.33
102 H Bentley 2- 2 0 -1 0.60
103 A Bentley 3- 8 -5 -1 -- -4.38
110 A Merrimack 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.11
116 A Air Force 3- 2 1 0 1.13
117 A Air Force 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.87
123 H Rob Morris 2- 5 -3 1 - -3.61
129 A Army 2- 3 -1 0 -1.17
130 A Army 3- 0 3 0 + 2.83
206 A Bentley 2- 4 -2 -1 -1.38
207 H Bentley 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.60
213 H Canisius 4- 3 1 0 0.58
214 H Canisius 3- 5 -2 0 - -2.42
220 H Sacred Heart 1- 5 -4 0 - -3.62
221 H Sacred Heart 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.62
227 A RIT 5- 1 4 0 + 3.61
228 A RIT 3- 2 1 0 0.61
306 A RIT 2- 1 1 0 0.61
307 A RIT 5- 4 1 0 0.61
313 H Bentley 2- 3 -1 -1 -0.40
314 H Bentley 0- 4 -4 -1 - -3.40
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1011 H Maine 0- 6 -6 -1 -- -4.60
103 A Bentley 3- 8 -5 -1 -- -4.38
1024 H Army 2- 5 -3 0 - -3.19
110 A Merrimack 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.11
117 A Air Force 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.87
123 H Rob Morris 2- 5 -3 1 - -3.61
214 H Canisius 3- 5 -2 0 - -2.42
220 H Sacred Heart 1- 5 -4 0 - -3.62
221 H Sacred Heart 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.62
314 H Bentley 0- 4 -4 -1 - -3.40
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1018 H Mercyhurst 4- 0 4 2 + 2.31
1025 H Army 5- 1 4 0 + 3.81
1030 A Sacred Heart 5- 2 3 0 + 3.40
1107 A Niagara 5- 1 4 1 + 3.06
1108 A Niagara 6- 2 4 1 + 3.06
1115 H Air Force 4- 1 3 0 + 3.11
1120 A Alaska Anch 7- 2 5 2 + 3.35
130 A Army 3- 0 3 0 + 2.83
207 H Bentley 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.60
227 A RIT 5- 1 4 0 + 3.61
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H North Eastern (18-18, 97.9) 4- 6 -2.04 2.61 -0.01 0.95 -0.98
0 H Maine (18-14, 98.4) 2- 5 -1.45 3.19 -0.01 0.95 -0.70
0 H Maine (18-14, 98.4) 0- 6 -1.45 3.19 -0.01 0.95 -0.70
0 H Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.4) 4- 0 -4.55 1.00 -0.01 0.95 1.89
0 A Quinnipiac (27-11, 98.8) 1- 4 -1.13 3.52 0.01 0.95 -0.53
0 H Army (12-17, 96.9) 2- 5 -3.04 1.60 -0.01 0.95 -1.46
0 H Army (12-17, 96.9) 5- 1 -3.04 1.60 -0.01 0.95 3.05
0 A Sacred Heart (23-14, 97.4) 5- 2 -2.47 2.18 0.01 0.95 4.18
0 A Sacred Heart (23-14, 97.4) 2- 2 -2.47 2.18 0.01 0.95 0.00
0 A Niagara (13-23, 96.1) 5- 1 -3.81 1.00 0.01 0.95 1.93
0 A Niagara (13-23, 96.1) 6- 2 -3.81 1.00 0.01 0.95 1.93
0 H Air Force (19-14, 97.2) 3- 2 -2.75 1.90 -0.01 0.95 3.62
0 H Air Force (19-14, 97.2) 4- 1 -2.75 1.90 -0.01 0.95 3.62
0 A Alaska Anch ( 5-23, 95.4) 7- 2 -4.53 1.00 0.01 0.95 1.93
0 A Alaska Anch ( 5-23, 95.4) 1- 0 -4.53 1.00 0.01 0.95 1.93
0 H Quinnipiac (27-11, 98.8) 6- 7 -1.13 3.52 -0.01 0.95 -0.54
0 A Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.4) 4- 1 -4.55 1.00 0.01 0.95 1.93
0 H Bentley (23-12, 97.6) 2- 2 -2.26 2.39 -0.01 0.95 0.00
0 A Bentley (23-12, 97.6) 3- 8 -2.26 2.39 0.01 0.95 -1.07
0 A Merrimack (21-16, 97.9) 2- 5 -1.99 2.66 0.01 0.95 -0.94
0 A Air Force (19-14, 97.2) 3- 2 -2.75 1.90 0.01 0.95 3.65
0 A Air Force (19-14, 97.2) 2- 5 -2.75 1.90 0.01 0.95 -1.31
0 H Rob Morris (17-20, 96.4) 2- 5 -3.46 1.18 -0.01 0.95 -1.66
0 H Rob Morris (17-20, 96.4) 0- 1 -3.46 1.18 -0.01 0.95 -1.66
0 A Army (12-17, 96.9) 2- 3 -3.04 1.60 0.01 0.95 -1.45
0 A Army (12-17, 96.9) 3- 0 -3.04 1.60 0.01 0.95 3.08
0 A Bentley (23-12, 97.6) 2- 4 -2.26 2.39 0.01 0.95 -1.07
0 H Bentley (23-12, 97.6) 4- 1 -2.26 2.39 -0.01 0.95 4.55
0 H Canisius (17-16, 96.6) 4- 3 -3.28 1.37 -0.01 0.95 2.60
0 H Canisius (17-16, 96.6) 3- 5 -3.28 1.37 -0.01 0.95 -1.57
0 H Sacred Heart (23-14, 97.4) 1- 5 -2.47 2.18 -0.01 0.95 -1.19
0 H Sacred Heart (23-14, 97.4) 2- 5 -2.47 2.18 -0.01 0.95 -1.19
0 A RIT (17-17, 96.6) 5- 1 -3.27 1.38 0.01 0.95 2.66
0 A RIT (17-17, 96.6) 3- 2 -3.27 1.38 0.01 0.95 2.66
0 A RIT (17-17, 96.6) 2- 1 -3.27 1.38 0.01 0.95 2.66
0 A RIT (17-17, 96.6) 5- 4 -3.27 1.38 0.01 0.95 2.66
0 H Bentley (23-12, 97.6) 2- 3 -2.26 2.39 -0.01 0.95 -1.08
0 H Bentley (23-12, 97.6) 0- 4 -2.26 2.39 -0.01 0.95 -1.08
------
30.31
|
winning pts = 50.4937 losing points = -20.1827
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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