L Superor
W-L: (13-22) PR = 96.6807Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1004 H Stonehill IND (10-22, 96.5) 5- 3 1004 H Alaska Anch IND ( 5-23, 95.4) 5- 0 1004 H Alaska IND (11-14, 97.3) 4- 1 1005 H Stonehill IND (10-22, 96.5) 3- 2 1010 A Lindenwood IND (14-14, 97.0) 4- 5 1011 A Lindenwood IND (14-14, 97.0) 4- 7 1024 A Bowl Green CCH (18-12, 97.7) 1- 4 1025 A Bowl Green CCH (18-12, 97.7) 2- 3 1031 H St Lawrence ECAC ( 7-25, 95.3) 3- 3 1101 H Clarkson ECAC (18-19, 97.2) 6- 2 1107 H Bemidji St CCH (11-19, 97.1) 1- 4 1108 H Bemidji St CCH (11-19, 97.1) 2- 3 1114 A Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 1- 2 1115 A Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 2- 4 1121 H Ferris St CCH ( 8-27, 96.5) 2- 1 1122 H Ferris St CCH ( 8-27, 96.5) 3- 4 1128 A Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 2- 1 1129 A Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 1- 2 1205 H St. Thomas CCH (20-13, 97.9) 5- 3 1206 H St. Thomas CCH (20-13, 97.9) 1- 4 1228 H Wisconsin B10 (25-12, 99.1) 2- 3 1229 H Boston Col HE (21-15, 98.5) 3- 4 103 A No Mich CCH ( 3-29, 95.6) 2- 1 104 A No Mich CCH ( 3-29, 95.6) 2- 1 116 H Bowl Green CCH (18-12, 97.7) 1- 3 117 H Bowl Green CCH (18-12, 97.7) 1- 0 123 A St. Thomas CCH (20-13, 97.9) 4- 7 124 A St. Thomas CCH (20-13, 97.9) 0- 5 130 H Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 1- 6 131 H Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 1- 4 213 A Mich Tech CCH (22-12, 97.9) 2- 2 214 A Mich Tech CCH (22-12, 97.9) 4- 5 220 H No Mich CCH ( 3-29, 95.6) 7- 5 221 H No Mich CCH ( 3-29, 95.6) 5- 2 226 A Ferris St CCH ( 8-27, 96.5) 2- 5 227 A Ferris St CCH ( 8-27, 96.5) 2- 2 306 H St. Thomas CCH (20-13, 97.9) 3- 4 307 H St. Thomas CCH (20-13, 97.9) 2- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1004 H Stonehill 5- 3 2 0 1.76
1004 H Alaska Anch 5- 0 5 1 + 3.68
1004 H Alaska 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.63
1005 H Stonehill 3- 2 1 0 0.76
1010 A Lindenwood 4- 5 -1 0 -0.64
1011 A Lindenwood 4- 7 -3 0 - -2.64
1024 A Bowl Green 1- 4 -3 -1 -1.96
1025 A Bowl Green 2- 3 -1 -1 0.04
1031 H St Lawrence 3- 3 0 1 -1.44
1101 H Clarkson 6- 2 4 0 ++ 4.48
1107 H Bemidji St 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.58
1108 H Bemidji St 2- 3 -1 0 -0.58
1114 A Minn St 1- 2 -1 -1 0.45
1115 A Minn St 2- 4 -2 -1 -0.55
1121 H Ferris St 2- 1 1 0 0.86
1122 H Ferris St 3- 4 -1 0 -1.14
1128 A Augustana 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.81
1129 A Augustana 1- 2 -1 -2 0.81
1205 H St. Thomas 5- 3 2 -1 + 3.25
1206 H St. Thomas 1- 4 -3 -1 -1.75
1228 H Wisconsin 2- 3 -1 -2 1.40
1229 H Boston Col 3- 4 -1 -2 0.80
103 A No Mich 2- 1 1 1 -0.06
104 A No Mich 2- 1 1 1 -0.06
116 H Bowl Green 1- 3 -2 -1 -0.98
123 A St. Thomas 4- 7 -3 -1 -1.73
124 A St. Thomas 0- 5 -5 -1 - -3.73
130 H Augustana 1- 6 -5 -2 - -3.21
131 H Augustana 1- 4 -3 -2 -1.21
213 A Mich Tech 2- 2 0 -1 1.23
214 A Mich Tech 4- 5 -1 -1 0.23
220 H No Mich 7- 5 2 1 0.92
221 H No Mich 5- 2 3 1 1.92
226 A Ferris St 2- 5 -3 0 - -3.12
227 A Ferris St 2- 2 0 0 -0.12
306 H St. Thomas 3- 4 -1 -1 0.25
307 H St. Thomas 2- 5 -3 -1 -1.75
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1011 A Lindenwood 4- 7 -3 0 - -2.64 1107 H Bemidji St 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.58 124 A St. Thomas 0- 5 -5 -1 - -3.73 130 H Augustana 1- 6 -5 -2 - -3.21 226 A Ferris St 2- 5 -3 0 - -3.12 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1101 H Clarkson 6- 2 4 0 ++ 4.48 1004 H Alaska Anch 5- 0 5 1 + 3.68 1004 H Alaska 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.63 1128 A Augustana 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.81 1205 H St. Thomas 5- 3 2 -1 + 3.25 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Stonehill (10-22, 96.5) 5- 3 -3.44 1.20 -0.01 0.95 2.28
3 H Alaska Anch ( 5-23, 95.4) 5- 0 -4.53 1.00 -0.01 0.95 1.89
3 H Alaska (11-14, 97.3) 4- 1 -2.58 2.07 -0.01 0.95 3.94
3 H Stonehill (10-22, 96.5) 3- 2 -3.44 1.20 -0.01 0.95 2.28
3 A Lindenwood (14-14, 97.0) 4- 5 -2.87 1.78 0.01 0.95 -1.37
3 A Lindenwood (14-14, 97.0) 4- 7 -2.87 1.78 0.01 0.95 -1.37
3 A Bowl Green (18-12, 97.7) 1- 4 -2.19 2.46 0.01 0.95 -1.04
3 A Bowl Green (18-12, 97.7) 2- 3 -2.19 2.46 0.01 0.95 -1.04
3 H St Lawrence ( 7-25, 95.3) 3- 3 -4.65 1.00 -0.01 0.95 0.00
3 H Clarkson (18-19, 97.2) 6- 2 -2.73 1.92 -0.01 0.95 3.65
3 H Bemidji St (11-19, 97.1) 1- 4 -2.79 1.86 -0.01 0.95 -1.33
3 H Bemidji St (11-19, 97.1) 2- 3 -2.79 1.86 -0.01 0.95 -1.33
3 A Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 1- 2 -1.78 2.87 0.01 0.95 -0.85
3 A Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 2- 4 -1.78 2.87 0.01 0.95 -0.85
3 H Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.5) 2- 1 -3.35 1.30 -0.01 0.95 2.45
3 H Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.5) 3- 4 -3.35 1.30 -0.01 0.95 -1.61
3 A Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 2- 1 -1.42 3.23 0.01 0.95 6.18
3 A Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 1- 2 -1.42 3.23 0.01 0.95 -0.67
3 H St. Thomas (20-13, 97.9) 5- 3 -1.96 2.69 -0.01 0.95 5.12
3 H St. Thomas (20-13, 97.9) 1- 4 -1.96 2.69 -0.01 0.95 -0.94
3 H Wisconsin (25-12, 99.1) 2- 3 -0.81 3.84 -0.01 0.95 -0.39
3 H Boston Col (21-15, 98.5) 3- 4 -1.41 3.24 -0.01 0.95 -0.68
3 A No Mich ( 3-29, 95.6) 2- 1 -4.29 1.00 0.01 0.95 1.93
3 A No Mich ( 3-29, 95.6) 2- 1 -4.29 1.00 0.01 0.95 1.93
3 H Bowl Green (18-12, 97.7) 1- 3 -2.19 2.46 -0.01 0.95 -1.05
3 H Bowl Green (18-12, 97.7) 1- 0 -2.19 2.46 -0.01 0.95 4.67
3 A St. Thomas (20-13, 97.9) 4- 7 -1.96 2.69 0.01 0.95 -0.93
3 A St. Thomas (20-13, 97.9) 0- 5 -1.96 2.69 0.01 0.95 -0.93
3 H Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 1- 6 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 0.95 -0.68
3 H Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 1- 4 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 0.95 -0.68
3 A Mich Tech (22-12, 97.9) 2- 2 -2.00 2.65 0.01 0.95 0.00
3 A Mich Tech (22-12, 97.9) 4- 5 -2.00 2.65 0.01 0.95 -0.95
3 H No Mich ( 3-29, 95.6) 7- 5 -4.29 1.00 -0.01 0.95 1.89
3 H No Mich ( 3-29, 95.6) 5- 2 -4.29 1.00 -0.01 0.95 1.89
3 A Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.5) 2- 5 -3.35 1.30 0.01 0.95 -1.60
3 A Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.5) 2- 2 -3.35 1.30 0.01 0.95 0.00
3 H St. Thomas (20-13, 97.9) 3- 4 -1.96 2.69 -0.01 0.95 -0.94
3 H St. Thomas (20-13, 97.9) 2- 5 -1.96 2.69 -0.01 0.95 -0.94
------
17.94
|
winning pts = 40.1158 losing points = -22.1778
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------