LIU
W-L: (11-16) PR = 96.6632Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1004 H Boston Univ HE (16-17, 97.6) 2- 4 1010 H Canisius AH (17-16, 96.6) 2- 3 1011 H Canisius AH (17-16, 96.6) 6- 1 1017 H Penn State B10 (20-15, 98.5) 4- 5 1018 H Penn State B10 (20-15, 98.5) 0- 3 1024 H New Hamp HE (14-21, 96.6) 2- 3 1025 H Merrimack HE (21-16, 97.9) 5- 2 1107 H Rob Morris AH (17-20, 96.4) 6- 3 1108 H Rob Morris AH (17-20, 96.4) 2- 0 1114 H Minnesota B10 (11-22, 97.9) 6- 2 1115 H Minnesota B10 (11-22, 97.9) 3- 6 1121 A Merrimack HE (21-16, 97.9) 2- 6 1122 H Sacred Heart AH (23-14, 97.4) 2- 7 1128 H Lindenwood IND (14-14, 97.0) 2- 5 1129 H Lindenwood IND (14-14, 97.0) 5- 2 1213 H Merrimack HE (21-16, 97.9) 2- 4 1228 A Army AH (12-17, 96.9) 4- 4 1231 H Connecticut HE (20-13, 98.5) 1- 4 103 A Connecticut HE (20-13, 98.5) 1- 3 111 H Stonehill IND (10-22, 96.5) 3- 2 127 H Alaska Anch IND ( 5-23, 95.4) 4- 3 213 A Stonehill IND (10-22, 96.5) 1- 3 214 A Stonehill IND (10-22, 96.5) 5- 3 220 H Stonehill IND (10-22, 96.5) 1- 5 221 H Stonehill IND (10-22, 96.5) 2- 3 305 H Lindenwood IND (14-14, 97.0) 4- 5 306 A Alaska Anch IND ( 5-23, 95.4) 4- 3 307 A Stonehill IND (10-22, 96.5) 4- 3
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1004 H Boston Univ 2- 4 -2 -1 -1.05
1010 H Canisius 2- 3 -1 0 -1.05
1011 H Canisius 6- 1 5 0 ++ 4.95
1017 H Penn State 4- 5 -1 -2 0.86
1018 H Penn State 0- 3 -3 -2 -1.14
1024 H New Hamp 2- 3 -1 0 -1.10
1025 H Merrimack 5- 2 3 -1 ++ 4.24
1107 H Rob Morris 6- 3 3 0 + 2.76
1108 H Rob Morris 2- 0 2 0 1.76
1114 H Minnesota 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 5.23
1115 H Minnesota 3- 6 -3 -1 -1.77
1121 A Merrimack 2- 6 -4 -1 - -2.74
1122 H Sacred Heart 2- 7 -5 -1 -- -4.25
1128 H Lindenwood 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.65
1129 H Lindenwood 5- 2 3 0 + 3.35
1213 H Merrimack 2- 4 -2 -1 -0.76
1228 A Army 4- 4 0 0 0.20
1231 H Connecticut 1- 4 -3 -2 -1.20
103 A Connecticut 1- 3 -2 -2 -0.18
111 H Stonehill 3- 2 1 0 0.78
127 H Alaska Anch 4- 3 1 1 -0.30
213 A Stonehill 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.20
214 A Stonehill 5- 3 2 0 1.80
220 H Stonehill 1- 5 -4 0 -- -4.22
221 H Stonehill 2- 3 -1 0 -1.22
305 H Lindenwood 4- 5 -1 0 -0.65
306 A Alaska Anch 4- 3 1 1 -0.28
307 A Stonehill 4- 3 1 0 0.80
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1122 H Sacred Heart 2- 7 -5 -1 -- -4.25 220 H Stonehill 1- 5 -4 0 -- -4.22 1121 A Merrimack 2- 6 -4 -1 - -2.74 1128 H Lindenwood 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.65 213 A Stonehill 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.20 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1011 H Canisius 6- 1 5 0 ++ 4.95 1025 H Merrimack 5- 2 3 -1 ++ 4.24 1114 H Minnesota 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 5.23 1107 H Rob Morris 6- 3 3 0 + 2.76 1129 H Lindenwood 5- 2 3 0 + 3.35 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Boston Univ (16-17, 97.6) 2- 4 -2.28 2.37 -0.01 1.30 -1.48
3 H Canisius (17-16, 96.6) 2- 3 -3.28 1.37 -0.01 1.30 -2.13
3 H Canisius (17-16, 96.6) 6- 1 -3.28 1.37 -0.01 1.30 3.53
3 H Penn State (20-15, 98.5) 4- 5 -1.36 3.29 -0.01 1.30 -0.89
3 H Penn State (20-15, 98.5) 0- 3 -1.36 3.29 -0.01 1.30 -0.89
3 H New Hamp (14-21, 96.6) 2- 3 -3.33 1.32 -0.01 1.30 -2.16
3 H Merrimack (21-16, 97.9) 5- 2 -1.99 2.66 -0.01 1.30 6.87
3 H Rob Morris (17-20, 96.4) 6- 3 -3.46 1.18 -0.01 1.30 3.04
3 H Rob Morris (17-20, 96.4) 2- 0 -3.46 1.18 -0.01 1.30 3.04
3 H Minnesota (11-22, 97.9) 6- 2 -2.00 2.65 -0.01 1.30 6.84
3 H Minnesota (11-22, 97.9) 3- 6 -2.00 2.65 -0.01 1.30 -1.30
3 A Merrimack (21-16, 97.9) 2- 6 -1.99 2.66 0.01 1.30 -1.28
3 H Sacred Heart (23-14, 97.4) 2- 7 -2.47 2.18 -0.01 1.30 -1.61
3 H Lindenwood (14-14, 97.0) 2- 5 -2.87 1.78 -0.01 1.30 -1.87
3 H Lindenwood (14-14, 97.0) 5- 2 -2.87 1.78 -0.01 1.30 4.58
3 H Merrimack (21-16, 97.9) 2- 4 -1.99 2.66 -0.01 1.30 -1.30
3 A Army (12-17, 96.9) 4- 4 -3.04 1.60 0.01 1.30 0.00
3 H Connecticut (20-13, 98.5) 1- 4 -1.43 3.22 -0.01 1.30 -0.93
3 A Connecticut (20-13, 98.5) 1- 3 -1.43 3.22 0.01 1.30 -0.92
3 H Stonehill (10-22, 96.5) 3- 2 -3.44 1.20 -0.01 1.30 3.10
3 H Alaska Anch ( 5-23, 95.4) 4- 3 -4.53 1.00 -0.01 1.30 2.57
3 A Stonehill (10-22, 96.5) 1- 3 -3.44 1.20 0.01 1.30 -2.23
3 A Stonehill (10-22, 96.5) 5- 3 -3.44 1.20 0.01 1.30 3.15
3 H Stonehill (10-22, 96.5) 1- 5 -3.44 1.20 -0.01 1.30 -2.24
3 H Stonehill (10-22, 96.5) 2- 3 -3.44 1.20 -0.01 1.30 -2.24
3 H Lindenwood (14-14, 97.0) 4- 5 -2.87 1.78 -0.01 1.30 -1.87
3 A Alaska Anch ( 5-23, 95.4) 4- 3 -4.53 1.00 0.01 1.30 2.62
3 A Stonehill (10-22, 96.5) 4- 3 -3.44 1.20 0.01 1.30 3.15
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17.16
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winning pts = 42.4871 losing points = -25.3290
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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