Maine
W-L: (18-14) PR = 98.4453Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1010 A Holy Cross AH (18-18, 97.0) 5- 2 1011 A Holy Cross AH (18-18, 97.0) 6- 0 1017 H Quinnipiac ECAC (27-11, 98.8) 4- 4 1018 H Quinnipiac ECAC (27-11, 98.8) 0- 4 1024 A Colgate ECAC (13-21, 96.6) 2- 3 1025 A Colgate ECAC (13-21, 96.6) 3- 2 1031 A Boston Univ HE (16-17, 97.6) 5- 4 1101 A Boston Univ HE (16-17, 97.6) 8- 5 1106 H UMass HE (22-13, 98.3) 6- 2 1107 H UMass HE (22-13, 98.3) 0- 4 1114 A Vermont HE (13-21, 96.5) 7- 0 1115 A Vermont HE (13-21, 96.5) 1- 2 1121 H Boston Col HE (21-15, 98.5) 3- 7 1122 H Boston Col HE (21-15, 98.5) 3- 0 1205 A New Hamp HE (14-21, 96.6) 0- 1 1206 A New Hamp HE (14-21, 96.6) 2- 3 1210 A UMass Lowell HE (13-22, 97.1) 5- 4 1213 A Lindenwood IND (14-14, 97.0) 5- 0 1214 A Lindenwood IND (14-14, 97.0) 7- 2 102 H Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 5- 2 103 H Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 3- 3 109 H Providence HE (22-11, 98.9) 1- 6 110 H Providence HE (22-11, 98.9) 0- 3 123 H UMass Lowell HE (13-22, 97.1) 2- 0 124 H UMass Lowell HE (13-22, 97.1) 6- 5 131 A Providence HE (22-11, 98.9) 2- 3 206 H Boston Univ HE (16-17, 97.6) 2- 3 213 A Connecticut HE (20-13, 98.5) 0- 2 214 A Connecticut HE (20-13, 98.5) 3- 3 220 A Merrimack HE (21-16, 97.9) 5- 3 221 A Merrimack HE (21-16, 97.9) 5- 2 227 A North Eastern HE (18-18, 97.9) 4- 0 228 H North Eastern HE (18-18, 97.9) 3- 2 307 H Vermont HE (13-21, 96.5) 3- 5 313 H Boston Col HE (21-15, 98.5) 0- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1010 A Holy Cross 5- 2 3 1 1.60
1011 A Holy Cross 6- 0 6 1 ++ 4.60
1017 H Quinnipiac 4- 4 0 0 0.32
1018 H Quinnipiac 0- 4 -4 0 - -3.68
1024 A Colgate 2- 3 -1 2 - -2.85
1025 A Colgate 3- 2 1 2 -0.85
1031 A Boston Univ 5- 4 1 1 0.19
1101 A Boston Univ 8- 5 3 1 + 2.19
1106 H UMass 6- 2 4 0 + 3.80
1107 H UMass 0- 4 -4 0 -- -4.20
1114 A Vermont 7- 0 7 2 ++ 5.04
1115 A Vermont 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.96
1121 H Boston Col 3- 7 -4 0 - -3.96
1122 H Boston Col 3- 0 3 0 + 3.04
1206 A New Hamp 2- 3 -1 2 - -2.87
1210 A UMass Lowell 5- 4 1 1 -0.34
1213 A Lindenwood 5- 0 5 1 + 3.59
1214 A Lindenwood 7- 2 5 1 + 3.59
102 H Denver 5- 2 3 -1 ++ 4.44
103 H Denver 3- 3 0 -1 1.44
109 H Providence 1- 6 -5 0 -- -4.51
110 H Providence 0- 3 -3 0 - -2.51
123 H UMass Lowell 2- 0 2 1 0.64
124 H UMass Lowell 6- 5 1 1 -0.36
131 A Providence 2- 3 -1 -1 -0.49
206 H Boston Univ 2- 3 -1 1 -1.83
213 A Connecticut 0- 2 -2 0 -1.96
214 A Connecticut 3- 3 0 0 0.04
220 A Merrimack 5- 3 2 1 1.48
221 A Merrimack 5- 2 3 1 + 2.48
227 A North Eastern 4- 0 4 1 + 3.43
228 H North Eastern 3- 2 1 1 0.41
307 H Vermont 3- 5 -2 2 - -3.98
313 H Boston Col 0- 5 -5 0 -- -4.96
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1107 H UMass 0- 4 -4 0 -- -4.20 109 H Providence 1- 6 -5 0 -- -4.51 313 H Boston Col 0- 5 -5 0 -- -4.96 1018 H Quinnipiac 0- 4 -4 0 - -3.68 1024 A Colgate 2- 3 -1 2 - -2.85 1115 A Vermont 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.96 1121 H Boston Col 3- 7 -4 0 - -3.96 1206 A New Hamp 2- 3 -1 2 - -2.87 110 H Providence 0- 3 -3 0 - -2.51 307 H Vermont 3- 5 -2 2 - -3.98 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1011 A Holy Cross 6- 0 6 1 ++ 4.60 1114 A Vermont 7- 0 7 2 ++ 5.04 102 H Denver 5- 2 3 -1 ++ 4.44 1101 A Boston Univ 8- 5 3 1 + 2.19 1106 H UMass 6- 2 4 0 + 3.80 1122 H Boston Col 3- 0 3 0 + 3.04 1213 A Lindenwood 5- 0 5 1 + 3.59 1214 A Lindenwood 7- 2 5 1 + 3.59 221 A Merrimack 5- 2 3 1 + 2.48 227 A North Eastern 4- 0 4 1 + 3.43 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Holy Cross (18-18, 97.0) 5- 2 -2.87 1.78 0.01 1.04 3.72
3 A Holy Cross (18-18, 97.0) 6- 0 -2.87 1.78 0.01 1.04 3.72
3 H Quinnipiac (27-11, 98.8) 4- 4 -1.13 3.52 -0.01 1.04 0.00
3 H Quinnipiac (27-11, 98.8) 0- 4 -1.13 3.52 -0.01 1.04 -0.59
3 A Colgate (13-21, 96.6) 2- 3 -3.31 1.34 0.01 1.04 -1.71
3 A Colgate (13-21, 96.6) 3- 2 -3.31 1.34 0.01 1.04 2.79
3 A Boston Univ (16-17, 97.6) 5- 4 -2.28 2.37 0.01 1.04 4.94
3 A Boston Univ (16-17, 97.6) 8- 5 -2.28 2.37 0.01 1.04 4.94
3 H UMass (22-13, 98.3) 6- 2 -1.64 3.00 -0.01 1.04 6.21
3 H UMass (22-13, 98.3) 0- 4 -1.64 3.00 -0.01 1.04 -0.86
3 A Vermont (13-21, 96.5) 7- 0 -3.43 1.22 0.01 1.04 2.56
3 A Vermont (13-21, 96.5) 1- 2 -3.43 1.22 0.01 1.04 -1.77
3 H Boston Col (21-15, 98.5) 3- 7 -1.41 3.24 -0.01 1.04 -0.74
3 H Boston Col (21-15, 98.5) 3- 0 -1.41 3.24 -0.01 1.04 6.70
3 A New Hamp (14-21, 96.6) 0- 1 -3.33 1.32 0.01 1.04 -1.72
3 A New Hamp (14-21, 96.6) 2- 3 -3.33 1.32 0.01 1.04 -1.72
3 A UMass Lowell (13-22, 97.1) 5- 4 -2.80 1.85 0.01 1.04 3.85
3 A Lindenwood (14-14, 97.0) 5- 0 -2.87 1.78 0.01 1.04 3.70
3 A Lindenwood (14-14, 97.0) 7- 2 -2.87 1.78 0.01 1.04 3.70
3 H Denver (27-11, 99.9) 5- 2 -0.00 4.65 -0.01 1.04 9.62
3 H Denver (27-11, 99.9) 3- 3 -0.00 4.65 -0.01 1.04 0.00
3 H Providence (22-11, 98.9) 1- 6 -0.95 3.70 -0.01 1.04 -0.50
3 H Providence (22-11, 98.9) 0- 3 -0.95 3.70 -0.01 1.04 -0.50
3 H UMass Lowell (13-22, 97.1) 2- 0 -2.80 1.85 -0.01 1.04 3.81
3 H UMass Lowell (13-22, 97.1) 6- 5 -2.80 1.85 -0.01 1.04 3.81
3 A Providence (22-11, 98.9) 2- 3 -0.95 3.70 0.01 1.04 -0.49
3 H Boston Univ (16-17, 97.6) 2- 3 -2.28 2.37 -0.01 1.04 -1.18
3 A Connecticut (20-13, 98.5) 0- 2 -1.43 3.22 0.01 1.04 -0.73
3 A Connecticut (20-13, 98.5) 3- 3 -1.43 3.22 0.01 1.04 0.00
3 A Merrimack (21-16, 97.9) 5- 3 -1.99 2.66 0.01 1.04 5.54
3 A Merrimack (21-16, 97.9) 5- 2 -1.99 2.66 0.01 1.04 5.54
3 A North Eastern (18-18, 97.9) 4- 0 -2.04 2.61 0.01 1.04 5.44
3 H North Eastern (18-18, 97.9) 3- 2 -2.04 2.61 -0.01 1.04 5.40
3 H Vermont (13-21, 96.5) 3- 5 -3.43 1.22 -0.01 1.04 -1.78
3 H Boston Col (21-15, 98.5) 0- 5 -1.41 3.24 -0.01 1.04 -0.74
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70.95
|
winning pts = 85.9818 losing points = -15.0290
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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