UMass
W-L: (22-13) PR = 98.2554Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1004 A No Mich CCH ( 3-29, 95.6) 5- 3 1005 A No Mich CCH ( 3-29, 95.6) 4- 1 1010 H Stonehill IND (10-22, 96.5) 4- 1 1017 A North Eastern HE (18-18, 97.9) 2- 4 1018 A Bentley AH (23-12, 97.6) 5- 4 1024 H Omaha HE (12-24, 97.7) 5- 4 1025 H Omaha HE (12-24, 97.7) 2- 5 1031 A Cornell ECAC (23-11, 98.5) 2- 1 1101 A Cornell ECAC (23-11, 98.5) 1- 3 1106 A Maine HE (18-14, 98.4) 2- 6 1107 A Maine HE (18-14, 98.4) 4- 0 1114 H Boston Col HE (21-15, 98.5) 3- 7 1115 A Boston Col HE (21-15, 98.5) 0- 4 1120 H Providence HE (22-11, 98.9) 2- 1 1122 A Providence HE (22-11, 98.9) 1- 5 1129 H Army AH (12-17, 96.9) 4- 5 1206 H North Eastern HE (18-18, 97.9) 2- 3 1207 H North Eastern HE (18-18, 97.9) 2- 0 109 A Boston Univ HE (16-17, 97.6) 0- 1 110 H Boston Univ HE (16-17, 97.6) 2- 0 116 H Merrimack HE (21-16, 97.9) 4- 2 117 A Merrimack HE (21-16, 97.9) 3- 1 123 H Vermont HE (13-21, 96.5) 4- 0 124 H Vermont HE (13-21, 96.5) 1- 0 130 A North Eastern HE (18-18, 97.9) 3- 2 201 A UMass Lowell HE (13-22, 97.1) 6- 4 206 H UMass Lowell HE (13-22, 97.1) 1- 3 207 A UMass Lowell HE (13-22, 97.1) 5- 2 220 A New Hamp HE (14-21, 96.6) 4- 0 221 H New Hamp HE (14-21, 96.6) 0- 1 227 H Connecticut HE (20-13, 98.5) 5- 1 228 A Connecticut HE (20-13, 98.5) 3- 3 305 A Boston Col HE (21-15, 98.5) 2- 1 307 H New Hamp HE (14-21, 96.6) 4- 2 314 A North Eastern HE (18-18, 97.9) 4- 1 320 A Merrimack HE (21-16, 97.9) 0- 2
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1004 A No Mich 5- 3 2 3 -0.63
1005 A No Mich 4- 1 3 3 0.37
1010 H Stonehill 4- 1 3 2 1.19
1017 A North Eastern 2- 4 -2 0 - -2.38
1018 A Bentley 5- 4 1 1 0.40
1024 H Omaha 5- 4 1 1 0.48
1025 H Omaha 2- 5 -3 1 - -3.52
1031 A Cornell 2- 1 1 0 1.22
1101 A Cornell 1- 3 -2 0 -1.78
1106 A Maine 2- 6 -4 0 - -3.80
1107 A Maine 4- 0 4 0 ++ 4.20
1114 H Boston Col 3- 7 -4 0 - -3.77
1115 A Boston Col 0- 4 -4 0 - -3.75
1120 H Providence 2- 1 1 -1 1.68
1122 A Providence 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.30
1129 H Army 4- 5 -1 1 - -2.41
1206 H North Eastern 2- 3 -1 0 -1.40
1207 H North Eastern 2- 0 2 0 1.60
110 H Boston Univ 2- 0 2 1 1.36
116 H Merrimack 4- 2 2 0 1.65
117 A Merrimack 3- 1 2 0 1.67
123 H Vermont 4- 0 4 2 + 2.21
130 A North Eastern 3- 2 1 0 0.62
201 A UMass Lowell 6- 4 2 1 0.85
206 H UMass Lowell 1- 3 -2 1 - -3.17
207 A UMass Lowell 5- 2 3 1 1.85
220 A New Hamp 4- 0 4 2 + 2.32
227 H Connecticut 5- 1 4 0 ++ 4.21
228 A Connecticut 3- 3 0 0 0.23
305 A Boston Col 2- 1 1 0 1.25
307 H New Hamp 4- 2 2 2 0.30
314 A North Eastern 4- 1 3 0 + 2.62
320 A Merrimack 0- 2 -2 0 - -2.33
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1017 A North Eastern 2- 4 -2 0 - -2.38 1025 H Omaha 2- 5 -3 1 - -3.52 1106 A Maine 2- 6 -4 0 - -3.80 1114 H Boston Col 3- 7 -4 0 - -3.77 1115 A Boston Col 0- 4 -4 0 - -3.75 1122 A Providence 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.30 1129 H Army 4- 5 -1 1 - -2.41 206 H UMass Lowell 1- 3 -2 1 - -3.17 320 A Merrimack 0- 2 -2 0 - -2.33 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1107 A Maine 4- 0 4 0 ++ 4.20 227 H Connecticut 5- 1 4 0 ++ 4.21 123 H Vermont 4- 0 4 2 + 2.21 220 A New Hamp 4- 0 4 2 + 2.32 314 A North Eastern 4- 1 3 0 + 2.62 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A No Mich ( 3-29, 95.6) 5- 3 -4.29 1.00 0.01 1.01 2.04
3 A No Mich ( 3-29, 95.6) 4- 1 -4.29 1.00 0.01 1.01 2.04
3 H Stonehill (10-22, 96.5) 4- 1 -3.44 1.20 -0.01 1.01 2.41
3 A North Eastern (18-18, 97.9) 2- 4 -2.04 2.61 0.01 1.01 -1.02
3 A Bentley (23-12, 97.6) 5- 4 -2.26 2.39 0.01 1.01 4.84
3 H Omaha (12-24, 97.7) 5- 4 -2.15 2.49 -0.01 1.01 5.01
3 H Omaha (12-24, 97.7) 2- 5 -2.15 2.49 -0.01 1.01 -1.09
3 A Cornell (23-11, 98.5) 2- 1 -1.44 3.21 0.01 1.01 6.50
3 A Cornell (23-11, 98.5) 1- 3 -1.44 3.21 0.01 1.01 -0.72
3 A Maine (18-14, 98.4) 2- 6 -1.45 3.19 0.01 1.01 -0.73
3 A Maine (18-14, 98.4) 4- 0 -1.45 3.19 0.01 1.01 6.46
3 H Boston Col (21-15, 98.5) 3- 7 -1.41 3.24 -0.01 1.01 -0.72
3 A Boston Col (21-15, 98.5) 0- 4 -1.41 3.24 0.01 1.01 -0.71
3 H Providence (22-11, 98.9) 2- 1 -0.95 3.70 -0.01 1.01 7.43
3 A Providence (22-11, 98.9) 1- 5 -0.95 3.70 0.01 1.01 -0.47
3 H Army (12-17, 96.9) 4- 5 -3.04 1.60 -0.01 1.01 -1.54
3 H North Eastern (18-18, 97.9) 2- 3 -2.04 2.61 -0.01 1.01 -1.03
3 H North Eastern (18-18, 97.9) 2- 0 -2.04 2.61 -0.01 1.01 5.25
3 A Boston Univ (16-17, 97.6) 0- 1 -2.28 2.37 0.01 1.01 -1.14
3 H Boston Univ (16-17, 97.6) 2- 0 -2.28 2.37 -0.01 1.01 4.76
3 H Merrimack (21-16, 97.9) 4- 2 -1.99 2.66 -0.01 1.01 5.34
3 A Merrimack (21-16, 97.9) 3- 1 -1.99 2.66 0.01 1.01 5.38
3 H Vermont (13-21, 96.5) 4- 0 -3.43 1.22 -0.01 1.01 2.45
3 H Vermont (13-21, 96.5) 1- 0 -3.43 1.22 -0.01 1.01 2.45
3 A North Eastern (18-18, 97.9) 3- 2 -2.04 2.61 0.01 1.01 5.29
3 A UMass Lowell (13-22, 97.1) 6- 4 -2.80 1.85 0.01 1.01 3.74
3 H UMass Lowell (13-22, 97.1) 1- 3 -2.80 1.85 -0.01 1.01 -1.42
3 A UMass Lowell (13-22, 97.1) 5- 2 -2.80 1.85 0.01 1.01 3.74
3 A New Hamp (14-21, 96.6) 4- 0 -3.33 1.32 0.01 1.01 2.68
3 H New Hamp (14-21, 96.6) 0- 1 -3.33 1.32 -0.01 1.01 -1.68
3 H Connecticut (20-13, 98.5) 5- 1 -1.43 3.22 -0.01 1.01 6.48
3 A Connecticut (20-13, 98.5) 3- 3 -1.43 3.22 0.01 1.01 0.00
3 A Boston Col (21-15, 98.5) 2- 1 -1.41 3.24 0.01 1.01 6.55
3 H New Hamp (14-21, 96.6) 4- 2 -3.33 1.32 -0.01 1.01 2.64
3 A North Eastern (18-18, 97.9) 4- 1 -2.04 2.61 0.01 1.01 5.29
3 A Merrimack (21-16, 97.9) 0- 2 -1.99 2.66 0.01 1.01 -1.00
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85.49
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winning pts = 98.7553 losing points = -13.2653
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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