Michigan
W-L: (29- 8) PR = 99.8846Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1003 A Mercyhurst AH ( 6-27, 95.4) 1- 1 1004 A Mercyhurst AH ( 6-27, 95.4) 7- 0 1010 H Providence HE (22-11, 98.9) 5- 1 1011 H Providence HE (22-11, 98.9) 3- 1 1016 A Rob Morris AH (17-20, 96.4) 4- 2 1017 A Rob Morris AH (17-20, 96.4) 1- 2 1023 A Western Mich HE (27-11, 99.7) 4- 0 1024 H Western Mich HE (27-11, 99.7) 2- 5 1031 H Notre Dame B10 ( 9-23, 97.2) 5- 3 1101 H Notre Dame B10 ( 9-23, 97.2) 2- 1 1107 A Wisconsin B10 (25-12, 99.1) 7- 4 1108 A Wisconsin B10 (25-12, 99.1) 1- 6 1114 H Penn State B10 (20-15, 98.5) 7- 1 1115 H Penn State B10 (20-15, 98.5) 2- 4 1121 A Ohio State B10 (15-20, 98.3) 5- 2 1122 A Ohio State B10 (15-20, 98.3) 8- 1 1128 H Harvard ECAC (16-15, 97.3) 5- 1 1129 H Harvard ECAC (16-15, 97.3) 4- 3 1205 H Michigan St B10 (26- 9, 99.6) 3- 0 1206 A Michigan St B10 (26- 9, 99.6) 1- 3 109 A Notre Dame B10 ( 9-23, 97.2) 5- 2 110 A Notre Dame B10 ( 9-23, 97.2) 7- 4 116 H Minnesota B10 (11-22, 97.9) 5- 1 117 H Minnesota B10 (11-22, 97.9) 3- 2 130 H Ohio State B10 (15-20, 98.3) 6- 4 131 H Ohio State B10 (15-20, 98.3) 3- 2 206 A Michigan St B10 (26- 9, 99.6) 4- 3 207 H Michigan St B10 (26- 9, 99.6) 2- 5 213 A Penn State B10 (20-15, 98.5) 4- 4 214 A Penn State B10 (20-15, 98.5) 6- 3 220 H Wisconsin B10 (25-12, 99.1) 1- 4 221 H Wisconsin B10 (25-12, 99.1) 3- 1 226 A Minnesota B10 (11-22, 97.9) 2- 4 227 A Minnesota B10 (11-22, 97.9) 4- 2 311 A Notre Dame B10 ( 9-23, 97.2) 6- 1 314 A Penn State B10 (20-15, 98.5) 5- 2 321 A Ohio State B10 (15-20, 98.3) 7- 3 327 A Bentley AH (23-12, 97.6) 5- 1 328 A Minn Duluth HE (22-15, 99.3) 4- 3
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1003 A Mercyhurst 1- 1 0 5 -- -4.52
1004 A Mercyhurst 7- 0 7 5 + 2.48
1010 H Providence 5- 1 4 1 + 3.05
1011 H Providence 3- 1 2 1 1.05
1016 A Rob Morris 4- 2 2 3 -1.44
1017 A Rob Morris 1- 2 -1 3 -- -4.44
1023 A Western Mich 4- 0 4 0 + 3.82
1024 H Western Mich 2- 5 -3 0 - -3.20
1031 H Notre Dame 5- 3 2 3 -0.71
1101 H Notre Dame 2- 1 1 3 -1.71
1107 A Wisconsin 7- 4 3 1 + 2.21
1108 A Wisconsin 1- 6 -5 1 -- -5.79
1114 H Penn State 7- 1 6 1 ++ 4.64
1115 H Penn State 2- 4 -2 1 - -3.36
1121 A Ohio State 5- 2 3 2 1.40
1122 A Ohio State 8- 1 7 2 ++ 5.40
1128 H Harvard 5- 1 4 3 1.37
1129 H Harvard 4- 3 1 3 -1.63
1205 H Michigan St 3- 0 3 0 + 2.66
1206 A Michigan St 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.32
109 A Notre Dame 5- 2 3 3 0.31
110 A Notre Dame 7- 4 3 3 0.31
116 H Minnesota 5- 1 4 2 + 2.01
117 H Minnesota 3- 2 1 2 -0.99
130 H Ohio State 6- 4 2 2 0.38
131 H Ohio State 3- 2 1 2 -0.62
206 A Michigan St 4- 3 1 0 0.68
207 H Michigan St 2- 5 -3 0 - -3.34
213 A Penn State 4- 4 0 1 -1.34
214 A Penn State 6- 3 3 1 1.66
220 H Wisconsin 1- 4 -3 1 - -3.81
221 H Wisconsin 3- 1 2 1 1.19
226 A Minnesota 2- 4 -2 2 - -3.97
227 A Minnesota 4- 2 2 2 0.03
311 A Notre Dame 6- 1 5 3 + 2.31
314 A Penn State 5- 2 3 1 1.66
321 A Ohio State 7- 3 4 2 + 2.40
327 A Bentley 5- 1 4 2 1.77
328 A Minn Duluth 4- 3 1 1 0.39
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1003 A Mercyhurst 1- 1 0 5 -- -4.52 1017 A Rob Morris 1- 2 -1 3 -- -4.44 1108 A Wisconsin 1- 6 -5 1 -- -5.79 1024 H Western Mich 2- 5 -3 0 - -3.20 1115 H Penn State 2- 4 -2 1 - -3.36 1206 A Michigan St 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.32 207 H Michigan St 2- 5 -3 0 - -3.34 220 H Wisconsin 1- 4 -3 1 - -3.81 226 A Minnesota 2- 4 -2 2 - -3.97 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1114 H Penn State 7- 1 6 1 ++ 4.64 1122 A Ohio State 8- 1 7 2 ++ 5.40 1004 A Mercyhurst 7- 0 7 5 + 2.48 1010 H Providence 5- 1 4 1 + 3.05 1023 A Western Mich 4- 0 4 0 + 3.82 1107 A Wisconsin 7- 4 3 1 + 2.21 1205 H Michigan St 3- 0 3 0 + 2.66 116 H Minnesota 5- 1 4 2 + 2.01 311 A Notre Dame 6- 1 5 3 + 2.31 321 A Ohio State 7- 3 4 2 + 2.40 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.4) 1- 1 -4.55 1.00 0.01 0.93 0.00
3 A Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.4) 7- 0 -4.55 1.00 0.01 0.93 1.88
3 H Providence (22-11, 98.9) 5- 1 -0.95 3.70 -0.01 0.93 6.86
3 H Providence (22-11, 98.9) 3- 1 -0.95 3.70 -0.01 0.93 6.86
3 A Rob Morris (17-20, 96.4) 4- 2 -3.46 1.18 0.01 0.93 2.22
3 A Rob Morris (17-20, 96.4) 1- 2 -3.46 1.18 0.01 0.93 -1.61
3 A Western Mich (27-11, 99.7) 4- 0 -0.21 4.44 0.01 0.93 8.28
3 H Western Mich (27-11, 99.7) 2- 5 -0.21 4.44 -0.01 0.93 -0.10
3 H Notre Dame ( 9-23, 97.2) 5- 3 -2.71 1.94 -0.01 0.93 3.59
3 H Notre Dame ( 9-23, 97.2) 2- 1 -2.71 1.94 -0.01 0.93 3.59
3 A Wisconsin (25-12, 99.1) 7- 4 -0.81 3.84 0.01 0.93 7.16
3 A Wisconsin (25-12, 99.1) 1- 6 -0.81 3.84 0.01 0.93 -0.37
3 H Penn State (20-15, 98.5) 7- 1 -1.36 3.29 -0.01 0.93 6.10
3 H Penn State (20-15, 98.5) 2- 4 -1.36 3.29 -0.01 0.93 -0.64
3 A Ohio State (15-20, 98.3) 5- 2 -1.63 3.02 0.01 0.93 5.64
3 A Ohio State (15-20, 98.3) 8- 1 -1.63 3.02 0.01 0.93 5.64
3 H Harvard (16-15, 97.3) 5- 1 -2.64 2.01 -0.01 0.93 3.73
3 H Harvard (16-15, 97.3) 4- 3 -2.64 2.01 -0.01 0.93 3.73
3 H Michigan St (26- 9, 99.6) 3- 0 -0.34 4.31 -0.01 0.93 7.99
3 A Michigan St (26- 9, 99.6) 1- 3 -0.34 4.31 0.01 0.93 -0.16
3 A Notre Dame ( 9-23, 97.2) 5- 2 -2.71 1.94 0.01 0.93 3.62
3 A Notre Dame ( 9-23, 97.2) 7- 4 -2.71 1.94 0.01 0.93 3.62
3 H Minnesota (11-22, 97.9) 5- 1 -2.00 2.65 -0.01 0.93 4.91
3 H Minnesota (11-22, 97.9) 3- 2 -2.00 2.65 -0.01 0.93 4.91
3 H Ohio State (15-20, 98.3) 6- 4 -1.63 3.02 -0.01 0.93 5.60
3 H Ohio State (15-20, 98.3) 3- 2 -1.63 3.02 -0.01 0.93 5.60
3 A Michigan St (26- 9, 99.6) 4- 3 -0.34 4.31 0.01 0.93 8.03
3 H Michigan St (26- 9, 99.6) 2- 5 -0.34 4.31 -0.01 0.93 -0.16
3 A Penn State (20-15, 98.5) 4- 4 -1.36 3.29 0.01 0.93 0.00
3 A Penn State (20-15, 98.5) 6- 3 -1.36 3.29 0.01 0.93 6.14
3 H Wisconsin (25-12, 99.1) 1- 4 -0.81 3.84 -0.01 0.93 -0.38
3 H Wisconsin (25-12, 99.1) 3- 1 -0.81 3.84 -0.01 0.93 7.12
3 A Minnesota (11-22, 97.9) 2- 4 -2.00 2.65 0.01 0.93 -0.93
3 A Minnesota (11-22, 97.9) 4- 2 -2.00 2.65 0.01 0.93 4.95
3 A Notre Dame ( 9-23, 97.2) 6- 1 -2.71 1.94 0.01 0.93 3.62
3 A Penn State (20-15, 98.5) 5- 2 -1.36 3.29 0.01 0.93 6.14
3 A Ohio State (15-20, 98.3) 7- 3 -1.63 3.02 0.01 0.93 5.64
3 A Bentley (23-12, 97.6) 5- 1 -2.26 2.39 0.01 0.93 4.47
3 A Minn Duluth (22-15, 99.3) 4- 3 -0.64 4.01 0.01 0.93 7.49
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150.79
|
winning pts = 155.1377 losing points = -4.3492
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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