Minnesota
W-L: (11-22) PR = 97.8997Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1003 A Mich Tech CCH (22-12, 97.9) 6- 3 1004 A Mich Tech CCH (22-12, 97.9) 3- 5 1009 A Boston Col HE (21-15, 98.5) 1- 3 1010 A Boston Col HE (21-15, 98.5) 2- 2 1017 H North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 2- 5 1018 H North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 5- 1 1024 A Minn Duluth HE (22-15, 99.3) 0- 3 1025 A Minn Duluth HE (22-15, 99.3) 1- 4 1030 H Wisconsin B10 (25-12, 99.1) 2- 5 1101 H Wisconsin B10 (25-12, 99.1) 0- 4 1107 A Notre Dame B10 ( 9-23, 97.2) 3- 0 1108 A Notre Dame B10 ( 9-23, 97.2) 4- 1 1114 A LIU IND (11-16, 96.7) 2- 6 1115 A LIU IND (11-16, 96.7) 6- 3 1121 A Penn State B10 (20-15, 98.5) 3- 2 1122 A Penn State B10 (20-15, 98.5) 1- 2 1129 H Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 6- 5 1204 H Ohio State B10 (15-20, 98.3) 6- 3 1205 H Ohio State B10 (15-20, 98.3) 5- 6 109 H Penn State B10 (20-15, 98.5) 0- 3 110 H Penn State B10 (20-15, 98.5) 2- 5 116 A Michigan B10 (29- 8, 99.9) 1- 5 117 A Michigan B10 (29- 8, 99.9) 2- 3 123 H Michigan St B10 (26- 9, 99.6) 1- 3 124 H Michigan St B10 (26- 9, 99.6) 2- 3 130 A Wisconsin B10 (25-12, 99.1) 4- 1 131 A Wisconsin B10 (25-12, 99.1) 8- 4 206 A Ohio State B10 (15-20, 98.3) 2- 6 207 A Ohio State B10 (15-20, 98.3) 1- 2 213 H Notre Dame B10 ( 9-23, 97.2) 2- 2 214 H Notre Dame B10 ( 9-23, 97.2) 2- 3 226 H Michigan B10 (29- 8, 99.9) 4- 2 227 H Michigan B10 (29- 8, 99.9) 2- 4 305 A Michigan St B10 (26- 9, 99.6) 1- 7 306 A Michigan St B10 (26- 9, 99.6) 3- 3 311 H Penn State B10 (20-15, 98.5) 2- 6
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1003 A Mich Tech 6- 3 3 0 + 3.01
1004 A Mich Tech 3- 5 -2 0 -1.99
1009 A Boston Col 1- 3 -2 -1 -1.40
1010 A Boston Col 2- 2 0 -1 0.60
1017 H North Dakota 2- 5 -3 -2 -1.32
1018 H North Dakota 5- 1 4 -2 ++ 5.68
1024 A Minn Duluth 0- 3 -3 -1 -1.63
1025 A Minn Duluth 1- 4 -3 -1 -1.63
1030 H Wisconsin 2- 5 -3 -1 -1.82
1101 H Wisconsin 0- 4 -4 -1 - -2.82
1107 A Notre Dame 3- 0 3 1 + 2.30
1108 A Notre Dame 4- 1 3 1 + 2.30
1114 A LIU 2- 6 -4 1 -- -5.23
1115 A LIU 6- 3 3 1 1.77
1121 A Penn State 3- 2 1 -1 1.65
1122 A Penn State 1- 2 -1 -1 -0.35
1129 H Denver 6- 5 1 -2 + 2.99
1204 H Ohio State 6- 3 3 0 + 3.36
1205 H Ohio State 5- 6 -1 0 -0.64
109 H Penn State 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.37
110 H Penn State 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.37
116 A Michigan 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.01
117 A Michigan 2- 3 -1 -2 0.99
123 H Michigan St 1- 3 -2 -2 -0.35
124 H Michigan St 2- 3 -1 -2 0.65
130 A Wisconsin 4- 1 3 -1 ++ 4.20
131 A Wisconsin 8- 4 4 -1 ++ 5.20
206 A Ohio State 2- 6 -4 0 - -3.62
207 A Ohio State 1- 2 -1 0 -0.62
213 H Notre Dame 2- 2 0 1 -0.72
214 H Notre Dame 2- 3 -1 1 -1.72
226 H Michigan 4- 2 2 -2 + 3.97
227 H Michigan 2- 4 -2 -2 -0.03
305 A Michigan St 1- 7 -6 -2 -- -4.33
306 A Michigan St 3- 3 0 -2 1.67
311 H Penn State 2- 6 -4 -1 - -3.37
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1114 A LIU 2- 6 -4 1 -- -5.23 305 A Michigan St 1- 7 -6 -2 -- -4.33 1101 H Wisconsin 0- 4 -4 -1 - -2.82 109 H Penn State 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.37 110 H Penn State 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.37 116 A Michigan 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.01 206 A Ohio State 2- 6 -4 0 - -3.62 311 H Penn State 2- 6 -4 -1 - -3.37 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1018 H North Dakota 5- 1 4 -2 ++ 5.68 130 A Wisconsin 4- 1 3 -1 ++ 4.20 131 A Wisconsin 8- 4 4 -1 ++ 5.20 1003 A Mich Tech 6- 3 3 0 + 3.01 1107 A Notre Dame 3- 0 3 1 + 2.30 1108 A Notre Dame 4- 1 3 1 + 2.30 1129 H Denver 6- 5 1 -2 + 2.99 1204 H Ohio State 6- 3 3 0 + 3.36 226 H Michigan 4- 2 2 -2 + 3.97 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Mich Tech (22-12, 97.9) 6- 3 -2.00 2.65 0.01 1.01 5.36
3 A Mich Tech (22-12, 97.9) 3- 5 -2.00 2.65 0.01 1.01 -1.00
3 A Boston Col (21-15, 98.5) 1- 3 -1.41 3.24 0.01 1.01 -0.71
3 A Boston Col (21-15, 98.5) 2- 2 -1.41 3.24 0.01 1.01 0.00
3 H North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 2- 5 -0.31 4.34 -0.01 1.01 -0.16
3 H North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 5- 1 -0.31 4.34 -0.01 1.01 8.72
3 A Minn Duluth (22-15, 99.3) 0- 3 -0.64 4.01 0.01 1.01 -0.32
3 A Minn Duluth (22-15, 99.3) 1- 4 -0.64 4.01 0.01 1.01 -0.32
3 H Wisconsin (25-12, 99.1) 2- 5 -0.81 3.84 -0.01 1.01 -0.41
3 H Wisconsin (25-12, 99.1) 0- 4 -0.81 3.84 -0.01 1.01 -0.41
3 A Notre Dame ( 9-23, 97.2) 3- 0 -2.71 1.94 0.01 1.01 3.93
3 A Notre Dame ( 9-23, 97.2) 4- 1 -2.71 1.94 0.01 1.01 3.93
3 A LIU (11-16, 96.7) 2- 6 -3.24 1.41 0.01 1.01 -1.63
3 A LIU (11-16, 96.7) 6- 3 -3.24 1.41 0.01 1.01 2.87
3 A Penn State (20-15, 98.5) 3- 2 -1.36 3.29 0.01 1.01 6.65
3 A Penn State (20-15, 98.5) 1- 2 -1.36 3.29 0.01 1.01 -0.68
3 H Denver (27-11, 99.9) 6- 5 -0.00 4.65 -0.01 1.01 9.35
3 H Ohio State (15-20, 98.3) 6- 3 -1.63 3.02 -0.01 1.01 6.07
3 H Ohio State (15-20, 98.3) 5- 6 -1.63 3.02 -0.01 1.01 -0.83
3 H Penn State (20-15, 98.5) 0- 3 -1.36 3.29 -0.01 1.01 -0.69
3 H Penn State (20-15, 98.5) 2- 5 -1.36 3.29 -0.01 1.01 -0.69
3 A Michigan (29- 8, 99.9) 1- 5 -0.02 4.63 0.01 1.01 -0.00
3 A Michigan (29- 8, 99.9) 2- 3 -0.02 4.63 0.01 1.01 -0.00
3 H Michigan St (26- 9, 99.6) 1- 3 -0.34 4.31 -0.01 1.01 -0.18
3 H Michigan St (26- 9, 99.6) 2- 3 -0.34 4.31 -0.01 1.01 -0.18
3 A Wisconsin (25-12, 99.1) 4- 1 -0.81 3.84 0.01 1.01 7.76
3 A Wisconsin (25-12, 99.1) 8- 4 -0.81 3.84 0.01 1.01 7.76
3 A Ohio State (15-20, 98.3) 2- 6 -1.63 3.02 0.01 1.01 -0.82
3 A Ohio State (15-20, 98.3) 1- 2 -1.63 3.02 0.01 1.01 -0.82
3 H Notre Dame ( 9-23, 97.2) 2- 2 -2.71 1.94 -0.01 1.01 0.00
3 H Notre Dame ( 9-23, 97.2) 2- 3 -2.71 1.94 -0.01 1.01 -1.37
3 H Michigan (29- 8, 99.9) 4- 2 -0.02 4.63 -0.01 1.01 9.32
3 H Michigan (29- 8, 99.9) 2- 4 -0.02 4.63 -0.01 1.01 -0.01
3 A Michigan St (26- 9, 99.6) 1- 7 -0.34 4.31 0.01 1.01 -0.17
3 H Penn State (20-15, 98.5) 2- 6 -1.36 3.29 -0.01 1.01 -0.69
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59.62
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winning pts = 71.7010 losing points = -12.0859
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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