Mich Tech
W-L: (22-12) PR = 97.8977Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1003 H Minnesota B10 (11-22, 97.9) 3- 6 1004 H Minnesota B10 (11-22, 97.9) 5- 3 1024 A Ferris St CCH ( 8-27, 96.5) 5- 1 1025 A Ferris St CCH ( 8-27, 96.5) 4- 2 1031 H Clarkson ECAC (18-19, 97.2) 4- 6 1101 H St Lawrence ECAC ( 7-25, 95.3) 3- 0 1107 A No Mich CCH ( 3-29, 95.6) 4- 1 1108 H No Mich CCH ( 3-29, 95.6) 4- 2 1114 A Bemidji St CCH (11-19, 97.1) 2- 2 1115 A Bemidji St CCH (11-19, 97.1) 2- 1 1121 H Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 0- 3 1122 H Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 2- 3 1128 A St. Thomas CCH (20-13, 97.9) 3- 3 1129 A St. Thomas CCH (20-13, 97.9) 1- 2 1212 H Ferris St CCH ( 8-27, 96.5) 3- 2 1213 H Ferris St CCH ( 8-27, 96.5) 5- 2 1228 H Miami HE (18-16, 98.2) 5- 2 1229 A Michigan St B10 (26- 9, 99.6) 1- 4 102 H Air Force AH (19-14, 97.2) 2- 8 103 H Alaska Anch IND ( 5-23, 95.4) 5- 0 109 H Bemidji St CCH (11-19, 97.1) 5- 2 110 H Bemidji St CCH (11-19, 97.1) 4- 3 116 A Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 3- 1 117 A Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 4- 1 123 H No Mich CCH ( 3-29, 95.6) 8- 2 124 A No Mich CCH ( 3-29, 95.6) 2- 3 130 H St. Thomas CCH (20-13, 97.9) 2- 4 131 H St. Thomas CCH (20-13, 97.9) 4- 3 206 A Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 3- 2 207 A Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 4- 3 213 H L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 2- 2 214 H L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 5- 4 227 A Bowl Green CCH (18-12, 97.7) 0- 1 228 A Bowl Green CCH (18-12, 97.7) 3- 4 306 A Bowl Green CCH (18-12, 97.7) 5- 3 307 A Bowl Green CCH (18-12, 97.7) 3- 2 314 H Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 2- 7
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1003 H Minnesota 3- 6 -3 0 - -3.01
1004 H Minnesota 5- 3 2 0 1.99
1024 A Ferris St 5- 1 4 1 + 2.66
1025 A Ferris St 4- 2 2 1 0.66
1031 H Clarkson 4- 6 -2 1 - -2.74
1101 H St Lawrence 3- 0 3 3 0.34
1107 A No Mich 4- 1 3 2 0.72
1108 H No Mich 4- 2 2 2 -0.30
1114 A Bemidji St 2- 2 0 1 -0.77
1115 A Bemidji St 2- 1 1 1 0.23
1121 H Minn St 0- 3 -3 0 - -2.79
1122 H Minn St 2- 3 -1 0 -0.79
1128 A St. Thomas 3- 3 0 0 0.05
1129 A St. Thomas 1- 2 -1 0 -0.95
1212 H Ferris St 3- 2 1 1 -0.36
1213 H Ferris St 5- 2 3 1 1.64
1228 H Miami 5- 2 3 0 + 3.27
1229 A Michigan St 1- 4 -3 -2 -1.33
102 H Air Force 2- 8 -6 1 --- -6.75
103 H Alaska Anch 5- 0 5 3 + 2.47
109 H Bemidji St 5- 2 3 1 + 2.21
110 H Bemidji St 4- 3 1 1 0.21
116 A Minn St 3- 1 2 0 + 2.23
117 A Minn St 4- 1 3 0 + 3.23
123 H No Mich 8- 2 6 2 + 3.70
124 A No Mich 2- 3 -1 2 - -3.28
130 H St. Thomas 2- 4 -2 0 -1.97
131 H St. Thomas 4- 3 1 0 1.03
206 A Augustana 3- 2 1 -1 1.59
207 A Augustana 4- 3 1 -1 1.59
213 H L Superor 2- 2 0 1 -1.23
214 H L Superor 5- 4 1 1 -0.23
228 A Bowl Green 3- 4 -1 0 -1.18
306 A Bowl Green 5- 3 2 0 1.82
307 A Bowl Green 3- 2 1 0 0.82
314 H Minn St 2- 7 -5 0 -- -4.79
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 102 H Air Force 2- 8 -6 1 --- -6.75 314 H Minn St 2- 7 -5 0 -- -4.79 1003 H Minnesota 3- 6 -3 0 - -3.01 1031 H Clarkson 4- 6 -2 1 - -2.74 1121 H Minn St 0- 3 -3 0 - -2.79 124 A No Mich 2- 3 -1 2 - -3.28 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1024 A Ferris St 5- 1 4 1 + 2.66 1228 H Miami 5- 2 3 0 + 3.27 103 H Alaska Anch 5- 0 5 3 + 2.47 109 H Bemidji St 5- 2 3 1 + 2.21 116 A Minn St 3- 1 2 0 + 2.23 117 A Minn St 4- 1 3 0 + 3.23 123 H No Mich 8- 2 6 2 + 3.70 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Minnesota (11-22, 97.9) 3- 6 -2.00 2.65 -0.01 0.98 -0.99
3 H Minnesota (11-22, 97.9) 5- 3 -2.00 2.65 -0.01 0.98 5.18
3 A Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.5) 5- 1 -3.35 1.30 0.01 0.98 2.56
3 A Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.5) 4- 2 -3.35 1.30 0.01 0.98 2.56
3 H Clarkson (18-19, 97.2) 4- 6 -2.73 1.92 -0.01 0.98 -1.34
3 H St Lawrence ( 7-25, 95.3) 3- 0 -4.65 1.00 -0.01 0.98 1.94
3 A No Mich ( 3-29, 95.6) 4- 1 -4.29 1.00 0.01 0.98 1.98
3 H No Mich ( 3-29, 95.6) 4- 2 -4.29 1.00 -0.01 0.98 1.94
3 A Bemidji St (11-19, 97.1) 2- 2 -2.79 1.86 0.01 0.98 0.00
3 A Bemidji St (11-19, 97.1) 2- 1 -2.79 1.86 0.01 0.98 3.68
3 H Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 0- 3 -1.78 2.87 -0.01 0.98 -0.88
3 H Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 2- 3 -1.78 2.87 -0.01 0.98 -0.88
3 A St. Thomas (20-13, 97.9) 3- 3 -1.96 2.69 0.01 0.98 0.00
3 A St. Thomas (20-13, 97.9) 1- 2 -1.96 2.69 0.01 0.98 -0.96
3 H Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.5) 3- 2 -3.35 1.30 -0.01 0.98 2.52
3 H Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.5) 5- 2 -3.35 1.30 -0.01 0.98 2.52
3 H Miami (18-16, 98.2) 5- 2 -1.73 2.92 -0.01 0.98 5.72
3 A Michigan St (26- 9, 99.6) 1- 4 -0.34 4.31 0.01 0.98 -0.16
3 H Air Force (19-14, 97.2) 2- 8 -2.75 1.90 -0.01 0.98 -1.35
3 H Alaska Anch ( 5-23, 95.4) 5- 0 -4.53 1.00 -0.01 0.98 1.94
3 H Bemidji St (11-19, 97.1) 5- 2 -2.79 1.86 -0.01 0.98 3.64
3 H Bemidji St (11-19, 97.1) 4- 3 -2.79 1.86 -0.01 0.98 3.64
3 A Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 3- 1 -1.78 2.87 0.01 0.98 5.64
3 A Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 4- 1 -1.78 2.87 0.01 0.98 5.64
3 H No Mich ( 3-29, 95.6) 8- 2 -4.29 1.00 -0.01 0.98 1.94
3 A No Mich ( 3-29, 95.6) 2- 3 -4.29 1.00 0.01 0.98 -2.10
3 H St. Thomas (20-13, 97.9) 2- 4 -1.96 2.69 -0.01 0.98 -0.97
3 H St. Thomas (20-13, 97.9) 4- 3 -1.96 2.69 -0.01 0.98 5.26
3 A Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 3- 2 -1.42 3.23 0.01 0.98 6.35
3 A Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 4- 3 -1.42 3.23 0.01 0.98 6.35
3 H L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 2- 2 -3.22 1.43 -0.01 0.98 0.00
3 H L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 5- 4 -3.22 1.43 -0.01 0.98 2.79
3 A Bowl Green (18-12, 97.7) 0- 1 -2.19 2.46 0.01 0.98 -1.07
3 A Bowl Green (18-12, 97.7) 3- 4 -2.19 2.46 0.01 0.98 -1.07
3 A Bowl Green (18-12, 97.7) 5- 3 -2.19 2.46 0.01 0.98 4.84
3 A Bowl Green (18-12, 97.7) 3- 2 -2.19 2.46 0.01 0.98 4.84
3 H Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 2- 7 -1.78 2.87 -0.01 0.98 -0.88
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70.81
|
winning pts = 83.4533 losing points = -12.6407
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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