Minn Duluth
W-L: (22-15) PR = 99.2633Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1010 A Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 4- 1 1011 A Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 0- 4 1017 H Bemidji St CCH (11-19, 97.1) 7- 3 1018 A Bemidji St CCH (11-19, 97.1) 5- 1 1024 H Minnesota B10 (11-22, 97.9) 3- 0 1025 H Minnesota B10 (11-22, 97.9) 4- 1 1031 H North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 4- 3 1101 H North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 1- 5 1107 A St Cloud St HE (16-19, 98.4) 4- 0 1108 A St Cloud St HE (16-19, 98.4) 3- 2 1114 A Omaha HE (12-24, 97.7) 5- 2 1115 A Omaha HE (12-24, 97.7) 0- 2 1121 H Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 4- 2 1122 H Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 1- 2 1205 H Western Mich HE (27-11, 99.7) 4- 1 1206 H Western Mich HE (27-11, 99.7) 2- 3 1212 A Arizona St HE (15-22, 97.8) 3- 1 1213 A Arizona St HE (15-22, 97.8) 3- 6 109 A Lindenwood IND (14-14, 97.0) 6- 3 110 A Lindenwood IND (14-14, 97.0) 8- 4 116 H St Cloud St HE (16-19, 98.4) 0- 6 117 H St Cloud St HE (16-19, 98.4) 5- 3 123 A Western Mich HE (27-11, 99.7) 3- 4 124 A Western Mich HE (27-11, 99.7) 3- 4 130 H Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 3- 4 131 H Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 0- 1 206 A North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 3- 2 207 A North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 1- 4 220 H Miami HE (18-16, 98.2) 5- 2 221 H Miami HE (18-16, 98.2) 4- 1 227 A Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 1- 4 228 A Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 2- 2 306 A St Cloud St HE (16-19, 98.4) 4- 3 307 A St Cloud St HE (16-19, 98.4) 2- 1 314 H North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 5- 1 321 A Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 3- 4 327 A Penn State B10 (20-15, 98.5) 3- 1 328 H Michigan B10 (29- 8, 99.9) 3- 4
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1010 A Augustana 4- 1 3 1 + 2.22
1011 A Augustana 0- 4 -4 1 -- -4.78
1017 H Bemidji St 7- 3 4 2 1.84
1018 A Bemidji St 5- 1 4 2 1.86
1024 H Minnesota 3- 0 3 1 1.63
1025 H Minnesota 4- 1 3 1 1.63
1031 H North Dakota 4- 3 1 0 1.31
1101 H North Dakota 1- 5 -4 0 - -3.69
1107 A St Cloud St 4- 0 4 1 + 3.10
1108 A St Cloud St 3- 2 1 1 0.10
1114 A Omaha 5- 2 3 2 1.49
1115 A Omaha 0- 2 -2 2 - -3.51
1121 H Colorado Col 4- 2 2 1 1.28
1122 H Colorado Col 1- 2 -1 1 -1.72
1205 H Western Mich 4- 1 3 0 + 3.42
1206 H Western Mich 2- 3 -1 0 -0.58
1212 A Arizona St 3- 1 2 1 0.51
1213 A Arizona St 3- 6 -3 1 -- -4.49
109 A Lindenwood 6- 3 3 2 0.77
110 A Lindenwood 8- 4 4 2 1.77
116 H St Cloud St 0- 6 -6 1 --- -6.92
117 H St Cloud St 5- 3 2 1 1.08
123 A Western Mich 3- 4 -1 0 -0.56
124 A Western Mich 3- 4 -1 0 -0.56
130 H Denver 3- 4 -1 -1 -0.37
206 A North Dakota 3- 2 1 0 1.33
207 A North Dakota 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.67
220 H Miami 5- 2 3 1 1.90
221 H Miami 4- 1 3 1 1.90
227 A Colorado Col 1- 4 -3 1 - -3.70
228 A Colorado Col 2- 2 0 1 -0.70
306 A St Cloud St 4- 3 1 1 0.10
307 A St Cloud St 2- 1 1 1 0.10
314 H North Dakota 5- 1 4 0 ++ 4.31
321 A Denver 3- 4 -1 -1 -0.35
327 A Penn State 3- 1 2 1 1.28
328 H Michigan 3- 4 -1 -1 -0.39
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 116 H St Cloud St 0- 6 -6 1 --- -6.92 1011 A Augustana 0- 4 -4 1 -- -4.78 1213 A Arizona St 3- 6 -3 1 -- -4.49 1101 H North Dakota 1- 5 -4 0 - -3.69 1115 A Omaha 0- 2 -2 2 - -3.51 207 A North Dakota 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.67 227 A Colorado Col 1- 4 -3 1 - -3.70 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 314 H North Dakota 5- 1 4 0 ++ 4.31 1010 A Augustana 4- 1 3 1 + 2.22 1107 A St Cloud St 4- 0 4 1 + 3.10 1205 H Western Mich 4- 1 3 0 + 3.42 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 4- 1 -1.42 3.23 0.01 0.95 6.18
3 A Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 0- 4 -1.42 3.23 0.01 0.95 -0.67
3 H Bemidji St (11-19, 97.1) 7- 3 -2.79 1.86 -0.01 0.95 3.54
3 A Bemidji St (11-19, 97.1) 5- 1 -2.79 1.86 0.01 0.95 3.58
3 H Minnesota (11-22, 97.9) 3- 0 -2.00 2.65 -0.01 0.95 5.04
3 H Minnesota (11-22, 97.9) 4- 1 -2.00 2.65 -0.01 0.95 5.04
3 H North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 4- 3 -0.31 4.34 -0.01 0.95 8.26
3 H North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 1- 5 -0.31 4.34 -0.01 0.95 -0.15
3 A St Cloud St (16-19, 98.4) 4- 0 -1.54 3.11 0.01 0.95 5.95
3 A St Cloud St (16-19, 98.4) 3- 2 -1.54 3.11 0.01 0.95 5.95
3 A Omaha (12-24, 97.7) 5- 2 -2.15 2.49 0.01 0.95 4.78
3 A Omaha (12-24, 97.7) 0- 2 -2.15 2.49 0.01 0.95 -1.02
3 H Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 4- 2 -1.34 3.31 -0.01 0.95 6.30
3 H Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 1- 2 -1.34 3.31 -0.01 0.95 -0.65
3 H Western Mich (27-11, 99.7) 4- 1 -0.21 4.44 -0.01 0.95 8.46
3 H Western Mich (27-11, 99.7) 2- 3 -0.21 4.44 -0.01 0.95 -0.11
3 A Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 3- 1 -2.14 2.51 0.01 0.95 4.81
3 A Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 3- 6 -2.14 2.51 0.01 0.95 -1.02
3 A Lindenwood (14-14, 97.0) 6- 3 -2.87 1.78 0.01 0.95 3.41
3 A Lindenwood (14-14, 97.0) 8- 4 -2.87 1.78 0.01 0.95 3.41
3 H St Cloud St (16-19, 98.4) 0- 6 -1.54 3.11 -0.01 0.95 -0.74
3 H St Cloud St (16-19, 98.4) 5- 3 -1.54 3.11 -0.01 0.95 5.92
3 A Western Mich (27-11, 99.7) 3- 4 -0.21 4.44 0.01 0.95 -0.10
3 A Western Mich (27-11, 99.7) 3- 4 -0.21 4.44 0.01 0.95 -0.10
3 H Denver (27-11, 99.9) 3- 4 -0.00 4.65 -0.01 0.95 -0.00
3 H Denver (27-11, 99.9) 0- 1 -0.00 4.65 -0.01 0.95 -0.00
3 A North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 3- 2 -0.31 4.34 0.01 0.95 8.30
3 A North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 1- 4 -0.31 4.34 0.01 0.95 -0.14
3 H Miami (18-16, 98.2) 5- 2 -1.73 2.92 -0.01 0.95 5.57
3 H Miami (18-16, 98.2) 4- 1 -1.73 2.92 -0.01 0.95 5.57
3 A Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 1- 4 -1.34 3.31 0.01 0.95 -0.64
3 A Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 2- 2 -1.34 3.31 0.01 0.95 0.00
3 A St Cloud St (16-19, 98.4) 4- 3 -1.54 3.11 0.01 0.95 5.95
3 A St Cloud St (16-19, 98.4) 2- 1 -1.54 3.11 0.01 0.95 5.95
3 H North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 5- 1 -0.31 4.34 -0.01 0.95 8.26
3 A Denver (27-11, 99.9) 3- 4 -0.00 4.65 0.01 0.95 -0.00
3 A Penn State (20-15, 98.5) 3- 1 -1.36 3.29 0.01 0.95 6.30
3 H Michigan (29- 8, 99.9) 3- 4 -0.02 4.63 -0.01 0.95 -0.01
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121.18
|
winning pts = 126.5361 losing points = -5.3603
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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