Minn St
W-L: (22-11) PR = 98.1169Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1010 H Omaha HE (12-24, 97.7) 2- 6 1011 H Omaha HE (12-24, 97.7) 4- 1 1016 H Wisconsin B10 (25-12, 99.1) 1- 1 1017 H Wisconsin B10 (25-12, 99.1) 2- 2 1024 A RPI ECAC (11-23, 96.3) 4- 2 1025 A RPI ECAC (11-23, 96.3) 2- 1 1031 H St. Thomas CCH (20-13, 97.9) 3- 1 1101 A St. Thomas CCH (20-13, 97.9) 3- 4 1107 A Bowl Green CCH (18-12, 97.7) 4- 4 1108 A Bowl Green CCH (18-12, 97.7) 1- 1 1114 H L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 2- 1 1115 H L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 4- 2 1121 A Mich Tech CCH (22-12, 97.9) 3- 0 1122 A Mich Tech CCH (22-12, 97.9) 3- 2 1128 H No Mich CCH ( 3-29, 95.6) 4- 0 1129 H No Mich CCH ( 3-29, 95.6) 3- 2 1205 A Ferris St CCH ( 8-27, 96.5) 5- 1 1206 A Ferris St CCH ( 8-27, 96.5) 1- 4 1212 H Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 1- 3 1213 H Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 4- 4 102 H UMass Lowell HE (13-22, 97.1) 1- 3 103 H Yale ECAC ( 8-22, 96.2) 4- 3 110 A St. Thomas CCH (20-13, 97.9) 2- 4 116 H Mich Tech CCH (22-12, 97.9) 1- 3 117 H Mich Tech CCH (22-12, 97.9) 1- 4 124 A Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 4- 1 130 H Ferris St CCH ( 8-27, 96.5) 6- 1 131 H Ferris St CCH ( 8-27, 96.5) 4- 3 213 A Bemidji St CCH (11-19, 97.1) 1- 0 214 A Bemidji St CCH (11-19, 97.1) 0- 1 220 H Bowl Green CCH (18-12, 97.7) 5- 4 221 H Bowl Green CCH (18-12, 97.7) 1- 1 227 A No Mich CCH ( 3-29, 95.6) 2- 2 228 A No Mich CCH ( 3-29, 95.6) 3- 0 306 A Ferris St CCH ( 8-27, 96.5) 5- 1 307 A Ferris St CCH ( 8-27, 96.5) 1- 2 308 A Ferris St CCH ( 8-27, 96.5) 2- 0 314 A Mich Tech CCH (22-12, 97.9) 7- 2 320 A St. Thomas CCH (20-13, 97.9) 4- 1 327 H Western Mich HE (27-11, 99.7) 1- 3
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1010 H Omaha 2- 6 -4 0 -- -4.38
1011 H Omaha 4- 1 3 0 + 2.62
1016 H Wisconsin 1- 1 0 -1 0.96
1017 H Wisconsin 2- 2 0 -1 0.96
1024 A RPI 4- 2 2 2 0.20
1025 A RPI 2- 1 1 2 -0.80
1031 H St. Thomas 3- 1 2 0 1.81
1101 A St. Thomas 3- 4 -1 0 -1.17
1107 A Bowl Green 4- 4 0 0 -0.40
1108 A Bowl Green 1- 1 0 0 -0.40
1114 H L Superor 2- 1 1 1 -0.45
1115 H L Superor 4- 2 2 1 0.55
1121 A Mich Tech 3- 0 3 0 + 2.79
1122 A Mich Tech 3- 2 1 0 0.79
1128 H No Mich 4- 0 4 3 1.48
1129 H No Mich 3- 2 1 3 -1.52
1205 A Ferris St 5- 1 4 2 + 2.44
1206 A Ferris St 1- 4 -3 2 -- -4.56
1212 H Augustana 1- 3 -2 0 -1.65
1213 H Augustana 4- 4 0 0 0.35
102 H UMass Lowell 1- 3 -2 1 - -3.03
103 H Yale 4- 3 1 2 -0.89
110 A St. Thomas 2- 4 -2 0 - -2.17
116 H Mich Tech 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.23
117 H Mich Tech 1- 4 -3 0 - -3.23
124 A Augustana 4- 1 3 0 + 3.37
130 H Ferris St 6- 1 5 2 + 3.42
131 H Ferris St 4- 3 1 2 -0.58
220 H Bowl Green 5- 4 1 0 0.58
221 H Bowl Green 1- 1 0 0 -0.42
227 A No Mich 2- 2 0 2 - -2.50
228 A No Mich 3- 0 3 2 0.50
306 A Ferris St 5- 1 4 2 + 2.44
307 A Ferris St 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.56
308 A Ferris St 2- 0 2 2 0.44
314 A Mich Tech 7- 2 5 0 ++ 4.79
320 A St. Thomas 4- 1 3 0 + 2.83
327 H Western Mich 1- 3 -2 -2 -0.44
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1010 H Omaha 2- 6 -4 0 -- -4.38 1206 A Ferris St 1- 4 -3 2 -- -4.56 102 H UMass Lowell 1- 3 -2 1 - -3.03 110 A St. Thomas 2- 4 -2 0 - -2.17 116 H Mich Tech 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.23 117 H Mich Tech 1- 4 -3 0 - -3.23 227 A No Mich 2- 2 0 2 - -2.50 307 A Ferris St 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.56 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 314 A Mich Tech 7- 2 5 0 ++ 4.79 1011 H Omaha 4- 1 3 0 + 2.62 1121 A Mich Tech 3- 0 3 0 + 2.79 1205 A Ferris St 5- 1 4 2 + 2.44 124 A Augustana 4- 1 3 0 + 3.37 130 H Ferris St 6- 1 5 2 + 3.42 306 A Ferris St 5- 1 4 2 + 2.44 320 A St. Thomas 4- 1 3 0 + 2.83 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Omaha (12-24, 97.7) 2- 6 -2.15 2.49 -0.01 0.91 -0.98
3 H Omaha (12-24, 97.7) 4- 1 -2.15 2.49 -0.01 0.91 4.51
3 H Wisconsin (25-12, 99.1) 1- 1 -0.81 3.84 -0.01 0.91 0.00
3 H Wisconsin (25-12, 99.1) 2- 2 -0.81 3.84 -0.01 0.91 0.00
3 A RPI (11-23, 96.3) 4- 2 -3.59 1.06 0.01 0.91 1.94
3 A RPI (11-23, 96.3) 2- 1 -3.59 1.06 0.01 0.91 1.94
3 H St. Thomas (20-13, 97.9) 3- 1 -1.96 2.69 -0.01 0.91 4.86
3 A St. Thomas (20-13, 97.9) 3- 4 -1.96 2.69 0.01 0.91 -0.88
3 A Bowl Green (18-12, 97.7) 4- 4 -2.19 2.46 0.01 0.91 0.00
3 A Bowl Green (18-12, 97.7) 1- 1 -2.19 2.46 0.01 0.91 0.00
3 H L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 2- 1 -3.22 1.43 -0.01 0.91 2.58
3 H L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 4- 2 -3.22 1.43 -0.01 0.91 2.58
3 A Mich Tech (22-12, 97.9) 3- 0 -2.00 2.65 0.01 0.91 4.82
3 A Mich Tech (22-12, 97.9) 3- 2 -2.00 2.65 0.01 0.91 4.82
3 H No Mich ( 3-29, 95.6) 4- 0 -4.29 1.00 -0.01 0.91 1.80
3 H No Mich ( 3-29, 95.6) 3- 2 -4.29 1.00 -0.01 0.91 1.80
3 A Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.5) 5- 1 -3.35 1.30 0.01 0.91 2.37
3 A Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.5) 1- 4 -3.35 1.30 0.01 0.91 -1.52
3 H Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 1- 3 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 0.91 -0.65
3 H Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 4- 4 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 0.91 0.00
3 H UMass Lowell (13-22, 97.1) 1- 3 -2.80 1.85 -0.01 0.91 -1.28
3 H Yale ( 8-22, 96.2) 4- 3 -3.66 1.00 -0.01 0.91 1.80
3 A St. Thomas (20-13, 97.9) 2- 4 -1.96 2.69 0.01 0.91 -0.88
3 H Mich Tech (22-12, 97.9) 1- 3 -2.00 2.65 -0.01 0.91 -0.91
3 H Mich Tech (22-12, 97.9) 1- 4 -2.00 2.65 -0.01 0.91 -0.91
3 A Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 4- 1 -1.42 3.23 0.01 0.91 5.87
3 H Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.5) 6- 1 -3.35 1.30 -0.01 0.91 2.33
3 H Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.5) 4- 3 -3.35 1.30 -0.01 0.91 2.33
3 A Bemidji St (11-19, 97.1) 1- 0 -2.79 1.86 0.01 0.91 3.40
3 A Bemidji St (11-19, 97.1) 0- 1 -2.79 1.86 0.01 0.91 -1.26
3 H Bowl Green (18-12, 97.7) 5- 4 -2.19 2.46 -0.01 0.91 4.44
3 H Bowl Green (18-12, 97.7) 1- 1 -2.19 2.46 -0.01 0.91 0.00
3 A No Mich ( 3-29, 95.6) 2- 2 -4.29 1.00 0.01 0.91 0.00
3 A No Mich ( 3-29, 95.6) 3- 0 -4.29 1.00 0.01 0.91 1.83
3 A Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.5) 5- 1 -3.35 1.30 0.01 0.91 2.37
3 A Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.5) 1- 2 -3.35 1.30 0.01 0.91 -1.52
3 A Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.5) 2- 0 -3.35 1.30 0.01 0.91 2.37
3 A Mich Tech (22-12, 97.9) 7- 2 -2.00 2.65 0.01 0.91 4.82
3 A St. Thomas (20-13, 97.9) 4- 1 -1.96 2.69 0.01 0.91 4.90
3 H Western Mich (27-11, 99.7) 1- 3 -0.21 4.44 -0.01 0.91 -0.10
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59.57
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winning pts = 70.4669 losing points = -10.8932
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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