Merrimack
W-L: (21-16) PR = 97.9114Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1003 H UMass Lowell HE (13-22, 97.1) 0- 4 1010 A UMass Lowell HE (13-22, 97.1) 4- 1 1018 A New Hamp HE (14-21, 96.6) 5- 1 1024 A Quinnipiac ECAC (27-11, 98.8) 4- 1 1025 A LIU IND (11-16, 96.7) 2- 5 1101 H Connecticut HE (20-13, 98.5) 1- 5 1107 H Boston Univ HE (16-17, 97.6) 2- 3 1108 A Boston Univ HE (16-17, 97.6) 4- 5 1114 H Providence HE (22-11, 98.9) 2- 4 1115 A Providence HE (22-11, 98.9) 3- 2 1121 H LIU IND (11-16, 96.7) 6- 2 1126 A Notre Dame B10 ( 9-23, 97.2) 4- 5 1129 H Dartmouth ECAC (23- 8, 98.5) 0- 1 1205 A Connecticut HE (20-13, 98.5) 0- 3 1206 H Connecticut HE (20-13, 98.5) 2- 5 1212 A Yale ECAC ( 8-22, 96.2) 4- 1 1213 A LIU IND (11-16, 96.7) 4- 2 1229 H Vermont HE (13-21, 96.5) 5- 4 103 H Brown ECAC ( 5-24, 95.5) 3- 2 110 H Holy Cross AH (18-18, 97.0) 5- 2 116 A UMass HE (22-13, 98.3) 2- 4 117 H UMass HE (22-13, 98.3) 1- 3 122 A North Eastern HE (18-18, 97.9) 4- 1 123 A North Eastern HE (18-18, 97.9) 3- 1 130 A New Hamp HE (14-21, 96.6) 2- 1 131 H New Hamp HE (14-21, 96.6) 3- 3 203 H Stonehill IND (10-22, 96.5) 9- 5 213 A Boston Col HE (21-15, 98.5) 4- 2 214 H Boston Col HE (21-15, 98.5) 2- 4 220 H Maine HE (18-14, 98.4) 3- 5 221 H Maine HE (18-14, 98.4) 2- 5 227 A Vermont HE (13-21, 96.5) 5- 2 228 A Vermont HE (13-21, 96.5) 4- 4 305 A UMass Lowell HE (13-22, 97.1) 5- 3 311 A UMass Lowell HE (13-22, 97.1) 5- 3 314 H Providence HE (22-11, 98.9) 3- 2 320 H UMass HE (22-13, 98.3) 2- 0 321 H Connecticut HE (20-13, 98.5) 2- 1 326 H North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 0- 3
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1003 H UMass Lowell 0- 4 -4 1 -- -4.83
1010 A UMass Lowell 4- 1 3 1 + 2.19
1018 A New Hamp 5- 1 4 1 + 2.67
1024 A Quinnipiac 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.87
1025 A LIU 2- 5 -3 1 -- -4.24
1101 H Connecticut 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.45
1107 H Boston Univ 2- 3 -1 0 -1.30
1108 A Boston Univ 4- 5 -1 0 -1.28
1114 H Providence 2- 4 -2 -1 -0.97
1115 A Providence 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.05
1121 H LIU 6- 2 4 1 + 2.74
1126 A Notre Dame 4- 5 -1 1 -1.71
1205 A Connecticut 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.43
1206 H Connecticut 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.45
1212 A Yale 4- 1 3 2 1.34
1213 A LIU 4- 2 2 1 0.76
1229 H Vermont 5- 4 1 1 -0.45
103 H Brown 3- 2 1 2 -1.42
110 H Holy Cross 5- 2 3 1 + 2.11
116 A UMass 2- 4 -2 0 -1.65
117 H UMass 1- 3 -2 0 -1.67
122 A North Eastern 4- 1 3 0 + 2.96
123 A North Eastern 3- 1 2 0 1.96
130 A New Hamp 2- 1 1 1 -0.33
131 H New Hamp 3- 3 0 1 -1.35
203 H Stonehill 9- 5 4 1 + 2.53
213 A Boston Col 4- 2 2 -1 + 2.59
214 H Boston Col 2- 4 -2 -1 -1.43
220 H Maine 3- 5 -2 -1 -1.48
221 H Maine 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.48
227 A Vermont 5- 2 3 1 1.57
228 A Vermont 4- 4 0 1 -1.43
305 A UMass Lowell 5- 3 2 1 1.19
311 A UMass Lowell 5- 3 2 1 1.19
314 H Providence 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.03
320 H UMass 2- 0 2 0 + 2.33
321 H Connecticut 2- 1 1 -1 1.55
326 H North Dakota 0- 3 -3 -2 -1.33
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1003 H UMass Lowell 0- 4 -4 1 -- -4.83 1025 A LIU 2- 5 -3 1 -- -4.24 1101 H Connecticut 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.45 1205 A Connecticut 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.43 1206 H Connecticut 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.45 221 H Maine 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.48 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1010 A UMass Lowell 4- 1 3 1 + 2.19 1018 A New Hamp 5- 1 4 1 + 2.67 1024 A Quinnipiac 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.87 1115 A Providence 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.05 1121 H LIU 6- 2 4 1 + 2.74 110 H Holy Cross 5- 2 3 1 + 2.11 122 A North Eastern 4- 1 3 0 + 2.96 203 H Stonehill 9- 5 4 1 + 2.53 213 A Boston Col 4- 2 2 -1 + 2.59 314 H Providence 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.03 320 H UMass 2- 0 2 0 + 2.33 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H UMass Lowell (13-22, 97.1) 0- 4 -2.80 1.85 -0.01 0.93 -1.31
3 A UMass Lowell (13-22, 97.1) 4- 1 -2.80 1.85 0.01 0.93 3.45
3 A New Hamp (14-21, 96.6) 5- 1 -3.33 1.32 0.01 0.93 2.47
3 A Quinnipiac (27-11, 98.8) 4- 1 -1.13 3.52 0.01 0.93 6.57
3 A LIU (11-16, 96.7) 2- 5 -3.24 1.41 0.01 0.93 -1.50
3 H Connecticut (20-13, 98.5) 1- 5 -1.43 3.22 -0.01 0.93 -0.67
3 H Boston Univ (16-17, 97.6) 2- 3 -2.28 2.37 -0.01 0.93 -1.06
3 A Boston Univ (16-17, 97.6) 4- 5 -2.28 2.37 0.01 0.93 -1.05
3 H Providence (22-11, 98.9) 2- 4 -0.95 3.70 -0.01 0.93 -0.45
3 A Providence (22-11, 98.9) 3- 2 -0.95 3.70 0.01 0.93 6.90
3 H LIU (11-16, 96.7) 6- 2 -3.24 1.41 -0.01 0.93 2.61
3 A Notre Dame ( 9-23, 97.2) 4- 5 -2.71 1.94 0.01 0.93 -1.26
3 H Dartmouth (23- 8, 98.5) 0- 1 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 0.93 -0.66
3 A Connecticut (20-13, 98.5) 0- 3 -1.43 3.22 0.01 0.93 -0.66
3 H Connecticut (20-13, 98.5) 2- 5 -1.43 3.22 -0.01 0.93 -0.67
3 A Yale ( 8-22, 96.2) 4- 1 -3.66 1.00 0.01 0.93 1.88
3 A LIU (11-16, 96.7) 4- 2 -3.24 1.41 0.01 0.93 2.65
3 H Vermont (13-21, 96.5) 5- 4 -3.43 1.22 -0.01 0.93 2.26
3 H Brown ( 5-24, 95.5) 3- 2 -4.40 1.00 -0.01 0.93 1.84
3 H Holy Cross (18-18, 97.0) 5- 2 -2.87 1.78 -0.01 0.93 3.30
3 A UMass (22-13, 98.3) 2- 4 -1.64 3.00 0.01 0.93 -0.76
3 H UMass (22-13, 98.3) 1- 3 -1.64 3.00 -0.01 0.93 -0.77
3 A North Eastern (18-18, 97.9) 4- 1 -2.04 2.61 0.01 0.93 4.88
3 A North Eastern (18-18, 97.9) 3- 1 -2.04 2.61 0.01 0.93 4.88
3 A New Hamp (14-21, 96.6) 2- 1 -3.33 1.32 0.01 0.93 2.47
3 H New Hamp (14-21, 96.6) 3- 3 -3.33 1.32 -0.01 0.93 0.00
3 H Stonehill (10-22, 96.5) 9- 5 -3.44 1.20 -0.01 0.93 2.22
3 A Boston Col (21-15, 98.5) 4- 2 -1.41 3.24 0.01 0.93 6.05
3 H Boston Col (21-15, 98.5) 2- 4 -1.41 3.24 -0.01 0.93 -0.66
3 H Maine (18-14, 98.4) 3- 5 -1.45 3.19 -0.01 0.93 -0.68
3 H Maine (18-14, 98.4) 2- 5 -1.45 3.19 -0.01 0.93 -0.68
3 A Vermont (13-21, 96.5) 5- 2 -3.43 1.22 0.01 0.93 2.29
3 A Vermont (13-21, 96.5) 4- 4 -3.43 1.22 0.01 0.93 0.00
3 A UMass Lowell (13-22, 97.1) 5- 3 -2.80 1.85 0.01 0.93 3.45
3 A UMass Lowell (13-22, 97.1) 5- 3 -2.80 1.85 0.01 0.93 3.45
3 H Providence (22-11, 98.9) 3- 2 -0.95 3.70 -0.01 0.93 6.86
3 H UMass (22-13, 98.3) 2- 0 -1.64 3.00 -0.01 0.93 5.57
3 H Connecticut (20-13, 98.5) 2- 1 -1.43 3.22 -0.01 0.93 5.98
3 H North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 0- 3 -0.31 4.34 -0.01 0.93 -0.15
------
69.06
|
winning pts = 82.0535 losing points = -12.9946
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------