Michigan St
W-L: (26- 9) PR = 99.5556Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1009 A New Hamp HE (14-21, 96.6) 3- 4 1010 A New Hamp HE (14-21, 96.6) 2- 0 1017 H Boston Univ HE (16-17, 97.6) 4- 2 1018 H Boston Univ HE (16-17, 97.6) 4- 3 1024 H No Mich CCH ( 3-29, 95.6) 4- 0 1025 H No Mich CCH ( 3-29, 95.6) 6- 2 1107 A Penn State B10 (20-15, 98.5) 2- 1 1108 A Penn State B10 (20-15, 98.5) 5- 0 1114 H Notre Dame B10 ( 9-23, 97.2) 4- 1 1115 H Notre Dame B10 ( 9-23, 97.2) 3- 1 1121 A Wisconsin B10 (25-12, 99.1) 4- 5 1122 A Wisconsin B10 (25-12, 99.1) 1- 2 1126 A Colgate ECAC (13-21, 96.6) 5- 2 1128 A Colgate ECAC (13-21, 96.6) 4- 1 1205 A Michigan B10 (29- 8, 99.9) 0- 3 1206 H Michigan B10 (29- 8, 99.9) 3- 1 1228 H Ferris St CCH ( 8-27, 96.5) 5- 2 1229 H Mich Tech CCH (22-12, 97.9) 4- 1 109 H Ohio State B10 (15-20, 98.3) 6- 2 110 H Ohio State B10 (15-20, 98.3) 1- 2 115 H Wisconsin B10 (25-12, 99.1) 4- 3 116 H Wisconsin B10 (25-12, 99.1) 4- 1 123 A Minnesota B10 (11-22, 97.9) 3- 1 124 A Minnesota B10 (11-22, 97.9) 3- 2 130 H Penn State B10 (20-15, 98.5) 6- 3 131 H Penn State B10 (20-15, 98.5) 5- 4 206 H Michigan B10 (29- 8, 99.9) 3- 4 207 A Michigan B10 (29- 8, 99.9) 5- 2 219 A Notre Dame B10 ( 9-23, 97.2) 4- 2 220 A Notre Dame B10 ( 9-23, 97.2) 8- 2 227 A Ohio State B10 (15-20, 98.3) 1- 5 228 A Ohio State B10 (15-20, 98.3) 3- 3 305 H Minnesota B10 (11-22, 97.9) 7- 1 306 H Minnesota B10 (11-22, 97.9) 3- 3 314 A Ohio State B10 (15-20, 98.3) 2- 3 326 A Connecticut HE (20-13, 98.5) 2- 1 328 A Wisconsin B10 (25-12, 99.1) 3- 4
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1009 A New Hamp 3- 4 -1 3 - -3.98
1010 A New Hamp 2- 0 2 3 -0.98
1017 H Boston Univ 4- 2 2 2 0.06
1018 H Boston Univ 4- 3 1 2 -0.94
1024 H No Mich 4- 0 4 4 0.05
1025 H No Mich 6- 2 4 4 0.05
1107 A Penn State 2- 1 1 1 -0.01
1108 A Penn State 5- 0 5 1 + 3.99
1114 H Notre Dame 4- 1 3 2 0.62
1115 H Notre Dame 3- 1 2 2 -0.38
1121 A Wisconsin 4- 5 -1 0 -1.46
1122 A Wisconsin 1- 2 -1 0 -1.46
1126 A Colgate 5- 2 3 3 0.04
1128 A Colgate 4- 1 3 3 0.04
1205 A Michigan 0- 3 -3 0 - -2.66
1206 H Michigan 3- 1 2 0 + 2.32
1228 H Ferris St 5- 2 3 3 -0.02
1229 H Mich Tech 4- 1 3 2 1.33
109 H Ohio State 6- 2 4 1 + 2.71
110 H Ohio State 1- 2 -1 1 - -2.29
115 H Wisconsin 4- 3 1 0 0.52
116 H Wisconsin 4- 1 3 0 + 2.52
123 A Minnesota 3- 1 2 2 0.35
124 A Minnesota 3- 2 1 2 -0.65
130 H Penn State 6- 3 3 1 1.97
131 H Penn State 5- 4 1 1 -0.03
206 H Michigan 3- 4 -1 0 -0.68
207 A Michigan 5- 2 3 0 + 3.34
219 A Notre Dame 4- 2 2 2 -0.36
220 A Notre Dame 8- 2 6 2 + 3.64
227 A Ohio State 1- 5 -4 1 -- -5.27
228 A Ohio State 3- 3 0 1 -1.27
305 H Minnesota 7- 1 6 2 ++ 4.33
306 H Minnesota 3- 3 0 2 -1.67
314 A Ohio State 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.27
326 A Connecticut 2- 1 1 1 -0.07
328 A Wisconsin 3- 4 -1 0 -1.46
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 A Ohio State 1- 5 -4 1 -- -5.27 1009 A New Hamp 3- 4 -1 3 - -3.98 1205 A Michigan 0- 3 -3 0 - -2.66 110 H Ohio State 1- 2 -1 1 - -2.29 314 A Ohio State 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.27 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 305 H Minnesota 7- 1 6 2 ++ 4.33 1108 A Penn State 5- 0 5 1 + 3.99 1206 H Michigan 3- 1 2 0 + 2.32 109 H Ohio State 6- 2 4 1 + 2.71 116 H Wisconsin 4- 1 3 0 + 2.52 207 A Michigan 5- 2 3 0 + 3.34 220 A Notre Dame 8- 2 6 2 + 3.64 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A New Hamp (14-21, 96.6) 3- 4 -3.33 1.32 0.01 0.98 -1.63
3 A New Hamp (14-21, 96.6) 2- 0 -3.33 1.32 0.01 0.98 2.61
3 H Boston Univ (16-17, 97.6) 4- 2 -2.28 2.37 -0.01 0.98 4.64
3 H Boston Univ (16-17, 97.6) 4- 3 -2.28 2.37 -0.01 0.98 4.64
3 H No Mich ( 3-29, 95.6) 4- 0 -4.29 1.00 -0.01 0.98 1.94
3 H No Mich ( 3-29, 95.6) 6- 2 -4.29 1.00 -0.01 0.98 1.94
3 A Penn State (20-15, 98.5) 2- 1 -1.36 3.29 0.01 0.98 6.47
3 A Penn State (20-15, 98.5) 5- 0 -1.36 3.29 0.01 0.98 6.47
3 H Notre Dame ( 9-23, 97.2) 4- 1 -2.71 1.94 -0.01 0.98 3.78
3 H Notre Dame ( 9-23, 97.2) 3- 1 -2.71 1.94 -0.01 0.98 3.78
3 A Wisconsin (25-12, 99.1) 4- 5 -0.81 3.84 0.01 0.98 -0.39
3 A Wisconsin (25-12, 99.1) 1- 2 -0.81 3.84 0.01 0.98 -0.39
3 A Colgate (13-21, 96.6) 5- 2 -3.31 1.34 0.01 0.98 2.64
3 A Colgate (13-21, 96.6) 4- 1 -3.31 1.34 0.01 0.98 2.64
3 A Michigan (29- 8, 99.9) 0- 3 -0.02 4.63 0.01 0.98 -0.00
3 H Michigan (29- 8, 99.9) 3- 1 -0.02 4.63 -0.01 0.98 9.07
3 H Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.5) 5- 2 -3.35 1.30 -0.01 0.98 2.52
3 H Mich Tech (22-12, 97.9) 4- 1 -2.00 2.65 -0.01 0.98 5.17
3 H Ohio State (15-20, 98.3) 6- 2 -1.63 3.02 -0.01 0.98 5.91
3 H Ohio State (15-20, 98.3) 1- 2 -1.63 3.02 -0.01 0.98 -0.80
3 H Wisconsin (25-12, 99.1) 4- 3 -0.81 3.84 -0.01 0.98 7.51
3 H Wisconsin (25-12, 99.1) 4- 1 -0.81 3.84 -0.01 0.98 7.51
3 A Minnesota (11-22, 97.9) 3- 1 -2.00 2.65 0.01 0.98 5.22
3 A Minnesota (11-22, 97.9) 3- 2 -2.00 2.65 0.01 0.98 5.22
3 H Penn State (20-15, 98.5) 6- 3 -1.36 3.29 -0.01 0.98 6.43
3 H Penn State (20-15, 98.5) 5- 4 -1.36 3.29 -0.01 0.98 6.43
3 H Michigan (29- 8, 99.9) 3- 4 -0.02 4.63 -0.01 0.98 -0.01
3 A Michigan (29- 8, 99.9) 5- 2 -0.02 4.63 0.01 0.98 9.11
3 A Notre Dame ( 9-23, 97.2) 4- 2 -2.71 1.94 0.01 0.98 3.82
3 A Notre Dame ( 9-23, 97.2) 8- 2 -2.71 1.94 0.01 0.98 3.82
3 A Ohio State (15-20, 98.3) 1- 5 -1.63 3.02 0.01 0.98 -0.79
3 A Ohio State (15-20, 98.3) 3- 3 -1.63 3.02 0.01 0.98 0.00
3 H Minnesota (11-22, 97.9) 7- 1 -2.00 2.65 -0.01 0.98 5.18
3 H Minnesota (11-22, 97.9) 3- 3 -2.00 2.65 -0.01 0.98 0.00
3 A Ohio State (15-20, 98.3) 2- 3 -1.63 3.02 0.01 0.98 -0.79
3 A Connecticut (20-13, 98.5) 2- 1 -1.43 3.22 0.01 0.98 6.34
3 A Wisconsin (25-12, 99.1) 3- 4 -0.81 3.84 0.01 0.98 -0.39
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125.57
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winning pts = 130.7800 losing points = -5.2121
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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