Niagara
W-L: (13-23) PR = 96.0876Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1004 A St Lawrence ECAC ( 7-25, 95.3) 5- 2 1010 A Bowl Green CCH (18-12, 97.7) 2- 0 1011 A Bowl Green CCH (18-12, 97.7) 5- 2 1017 H Union ECAC (22-14, 97.8) 2- 3 1018 H Union ECAC (22-14, 97.8) 0- 6 1031 H Rob Morris AH (17-20, 96.4) 2- 4 1101 A Rob Morris AH (17-20, 96.4) 3- 4 1107 H Holy Cross AH (18-18, 97.0) 1- 5 1108 H Holy Cross AH (18-18, 97.0) 2- 6 1114 A Army AH (12-17, 96.9) 6- 4 1115 A Army AH (12-17, 96.9) 4- 1 1118 A RIT AH (17-17, 96.6) 2- 1 1128 A RPI ECAC (11-23, 96.3) 1- 4 1129 A RPI ECAC (11-23, 96.3) 2- 3 1205 H Bentley AH (23-12, 97.6) 3- 1 1206 H Bentley AH (23-12, 97.6) 2- 3 103 A Clarkson ECAC (18-19, 97.2) 2- 6 109 A Sacred Heart AH (23-14, 97.4) 4- 5 110 A Sacred Heart AH (23-14, 97.4) 2- 4 116 H Mercyhurst AH ( 6-27, 95.4) 0- 3 117 A Mercyhurst AH ( 6-27, 95.4) 2- 4 123 A RIT AH (17-17, 96.6) 2- 4 124 H RIT AH (17-17, 96.6) 3- 3 130 H Canisius AH (17-16, 96.6) 5- 3 131 A Canisius AH (17-16, 96.6) 3- 4 206 A Air Force AH (19-14, 97.2) 1- 2 207 A Air Force AH (19-14, 97.2) 4- 2 210 H RIT AH (17-17, 96.6) 1- 2 213 A Rob Morris AH (17-20, 96.4) 5- 2 214 H Rob Morris AH (17-20, 96.4) 1- 5 220 H Mercyhurst AH ( 6-27, 95.4) 2- 3 221 A Mercyhurst AH ( 6-27, 95.4) 3- 1 227 A Canisius AH (17-16, 96.6) 3- 2 228 H Canisius AH (17-16, 96.6) 1- 5 303 A Army AH (12-17, 96.9) 5- 4 306 H Sacred Heart AH (23-14, 97.4) 1- 3 307 H Sacred Heart AH (23-14, 97.4) 1- 2
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1004 A St Lawrence 5- 2 3 1 + 2.17
1010 A Bowl Green 2- 0 2 -2 + 3.63
1011 A Bowl Green 5- 2 3 -2 ++ 4.63
1017 H Union 2- 3 -1 -2 0.72
1018 H Union 0- 6 -6 -2 -- -4.28
1031 H Rob Morris 2- 4 -2 0 -1.66
1101 A Rob Morris 3- 4 -1 0 -0.64
1107 H Holy Cross 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.06
1108 H Holy Cross 2- 6 -4 -1 - -3.06
1114 A Army 6- 4 2 -1 + 2.78
1115 A Army 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.78
1118 A RIT 2- 1 1 -1 1.55
1128 A RPI 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.77
1129 A RPI 2- 3 -1 0 -0.77
1205 H Bentley 3- 1 2 -2 + 3.54
1206 H Bentley 2- 3 -1 -2 0.54
103 A Clarkson 2- 6 -4 -1 - -2.91
109 A Sacred Heart 4- 5 -1 -1 0.35
110 A Sacred Heart 2- 4 -2 -1 -0.65
116 H Mercyhurst 0- 3 -3 1 - -3.75
117 A Mercyhurst 2- 4 -2 1 - -2.73
123 A RIT 2- 4 -2 -1 -1.45
124 H RIT 3- 3 0 -1 0.53
130 H Canisius 5- 3 2 -1 + 2.52
131 A Canisius 3- 4 -1 -1 -0.46
206 A Air Force 1- 2 -1 -1 0.08
207 A Air Force 4- 2 2 -1 + 3.08
210 H RIT 1- 2 -1 -1 -0.47
213 A Rob Morris 5- 2 3 0 + 3.36
214 H Rob Morris 1- 5 -4 0 - -3.66
220 H Mercyhurst 2- 3 -1 1 -1.75
221 A Mercyhurst 3- 1 2 1 1.27
227 A Canisius 3- 2 1 -1 1.54
228 H Canisius 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.48
303 A Army 5- 4 1 -1 1.78
306 H Sacred Heart 1- 3 -2 -1 -0.67
307 H Sacred Heart 1- 2 -1 -1 0.33
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1018 H Union 0- 6 -6 -2 -- -4.28 1107 H Holy Cross 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.06 1108 H Holy Cross 2- 6 -4 -1 - -3.06 1128 A RPI 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.77 103 A Clarkson 2- 6 -4 -1 - -2.91 116 H Mercyhurst 0- 3 -3 1 - -3.75 117 A Mercyhurst 2- 4 -2 1 - -2.73 214 H Rob Morris 1- 5 -4 0 - -3.66 228 H Canisius 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.48 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1011 A Bowl Green 5- 2 3 -2 ++ 4.63 1004 A St Lawrence 5- 2 3 1 + 2.17 1010 A Bowl Green 2- 0 2 -2 + 3.63 1114 A Army 6- 4 2 -1 + 2.78 1115 A Army 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.78 1205 H Bentley 3- 1 2 -2 + 3.54 130 H Canisius 5- 3 2 -1 + 2.52 207 A Air Force 4- 2 2 -1 + 3.08 213 A Rob Morris 5- 2 3 0 + 3.36 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A St Lawrence ( 7-25, 95.3) 5- 2 -4.65 1.00 0.01 0.98 1.98
3 A Bowl Green (18-12, 97.7) 2- 0 -2.19 2.46 0.01 0.98 4.84
3 A Bowl Green (18-12, 97.7) 5- 2 -2.19 2.46 0.01 0.98 4.84
3 H Union (22-14, 97.8) 2- 3 -2.08 2.57 -0.01 0.98 -1.02
3 H Union (22-14, 97.8) 0- 6 -2.08 2.57 -0.01 0.98 -1.02
3 H Rob Morris (17-20, 96.4) 2- 4 -3.46 1.18 -0.01 0.98 -1.70
3 A Rob Morris (17-20, 96.4) 3- 4 -3.46 1.18 0.01 0.98 -1.69
3 H Holy Cross (18-18, 97.0) 1- 5 -2.87 1.78 -0.01 0.98 -1.41
3 H Holy Cross (18-18, 97.0) 2- 6 -2.87 1.78 -0.01 0.98 -1.41
3 A Army (12-17, 96.9) 6- 4 -3.04 1.60 0.01 0.98 3.17
3 A Army (12-17, 96.9) 4- 1 -3.04 1.60 0.01 0.98 3.17
3 A RIT (17-17, 96.6) 2- 1 -3.27 1.38 0.01 0.98 2.73
3 A RPI (11-23, 96.3) 1- 4 -3.59 1.06 0.01 0.98 -1.76
3 A RPI (11-23, 96.3) 2- 3 -3.59 1.06 0.01 0.98 -1.76
3 H Bentley (23-12, 97.6) 3- 1 -2.26 2.39 -0.01 0.98 4.67
3 H Bentley (23-12, 97.6) 2- 3 -2.26 2.39 -0.01 0.98 -1.11
3 A Clarkson (18-19, 97.2) 2- 6 -2.73 1.92 0.01 0.98 -1.33
3 A Sacred Heart (23-14, 97.4) 4- 5 -2.47 2.18 0.01 0.98 -1.21
3 A Sacred Heart (23-14, 97.4) 2- 4 -2.47 2.18 0.01 0.98 -1.21
3 H Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.4) 0- 3 -4.55 1.00 -0.01 0.98 -2.24
3 A Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.4) 2- 4 -4.55 1.00 0.01 0.98 -2.23
3 A RIT (17-17, 96.6) 2- 4 -3.27 1.38 0.01 0.98 -1.60
3 H RIT (17-17, 96.6) 3- 3 -3.27 1.38 -0.01 0.98 0.00
3 H Canisius (17-16, 96.6) 5- 3 -3.28 1.37 -0.01 0.98 2.67
3 A Canisius (17-16, 96.6) 3- 4 -3.28 1.37 0.01 0.98 -1.60
3 A Air Force (19-14, 97.2) 1- 2 -2.75 1.90 0.01 0.98 -1.34
3 A Air Force (19-14, 97.2) 4- 2 -2.75 1.90 0.01 0.98 3.75
3 H RIT (17-17, 96.6) 1- 2 -3.27 1.38 -0.01 0.98 -1.61
3 A Rob Morris (17-20, 96.4) 5- 2 -3.46 1.18 0.01 0.98 2.34
3 H Rob Morris (17-20, 96.4) 1- 5 -3.46 1.18 -0.01 0.98 -1.70
3 H Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.4) 2- 3 -4.55 1.00 -0.01 0.98 -2.24
3 A Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.4) 3- 1 -4.55 1.00 0.01 0.98 1.98
3 A Canisius (17-16, 96.6) 3- 2 -3.28 1.37 0.01 0.98 2.71
3 H Canisius (17-16, 96.6) 1- 5 -3.28 1.37 -0.01 0.98 -1.61
3 A Army (12-17, 96.9) 5- 4 -3.04 1.60 0.01 0.98 3.17
3 H Sacred Heart (23-14, 97.4) 1- 3 -2.47 2.18 -0.01 0.98 -1.22
3 H Sacred Heart (23-14, 97.4) 1- 2 -2.47 2.18 -0.01 0.98 -1.22
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6.78
|
winning pts = 42.0153 losing points = -35.2356
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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