North Dakota
W-L: (31- 9) PR = 99.5865Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1010 A St. Thomas CCH (20-13, 97.9) 6- 2 1012 H St. Thomas CCH (20-13, 97.9) 5- 2 1017 A Minnesota B10 (11-22, 97.9) 5- 2 1018 A Minnesota B10 (11-22, 97.9) 1- 5 1024 H Clarkson ECAC (18-19, 97.2) 2- 5 1025 H Clarkson ECAC (18-19, 97.2) 1- 0 1031 A Minn Duluth HE (22-15, 99.3) 3- 4 1101 A Minn Duluth HE (22-15, 99.3) 5- 1 1107 H Omaha HE (12-24, 97.7) 7- 2 1108 H Omaha HE (12-24, 97.7) 4- 1 1114 A Arizona St HE (15-22, 97.8) 5- 2 1115 A Arizona St HE (15-22, 97.8) 2- 4 1128 H Bemidji St CCH (11-19, 97.1) 5- 3 1129 A Bemidji St CCH (11-19, 97.1) 2- 1 1205 H St Cloud St HE (16-19, 98.4) 4- 3 1205 H Alaska Anch IND ( 5-23, 95.4) 3- 2 1206 H St Cloud St HE (16-19, 98.4) 4- 2 1206 H Alaska Anch IND ( 5-23, 95.4) 4- 3 1207 H Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 4- 4 1212 A Omaha HE (12-24, 97.7) 4- 1 1213 A Omaha HE (12-24, 97.7) 3- 1 102 A Mercyhurst AH ( 6-27, 95.4) 2- 0 103 A Mercyhurst AH ( 6-27, 95.4) 6- 1 109 H Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 2- 3 110 H Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 5- 2 116 A Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 5- 0 117 A Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 2- 3 123 H Arizona St HE (15-22, 97.8) 7- 4 124 H Arizona St HE (15-22, 97.8) 5- 3 206 H Minn Duluth HE (22-15, 99.3) 2- 3 207 H Minn Duluth HE (22-15, 99.3) 4- 1 213 A Miami HE (18-16, 98.2) 1- 0 214 A Miami HE (18-16, 98.2) 4- 3 220 A St Cloud St HE (16-19, 98.4) 4- 4 221 A St Cloud St HE (16-19, 98.4) 6- 4 227 H Western Mich HE (27-11, 99.7) 5- 3 228 H Western Mich HE (27-11, 99.7) 3- 4 306 A Omaha HE (12-24, 97.7) 5- 3 307 A Omaha HE (12-24, 97.7) 5- 1 314 A Minn Duluth HE (22-15, 99.3) 1- 5 326 A Merrimack HE (21-16, 97.9) 3- 0 328 A Quinnipiac ECAC (27-11, 98.8) 5- 0
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1010 A St. Thomas 6- 2 4 2 + 2.36
1012 H St. Thomas 5- 2 3 2 1.34
1017 A Minnesota 5- 2 3 2 1.32
1018 A Minnesota 1- 5 -4 2 -- -5.68
1024 H Clarkson 2- 5 -3 2 -- -5.42
1031 A Minn Duluth 3- 4 -1 0 -1.31
1101 A Minn Duluth 5- 1 4 0 + 3.69
1107 H Omaha 7- 2 5 2 + 3.15
1108 H Omaha 4- 1 3 2 1.15
1114 A Arizona St 5- 2 3 2 1.18
1115 A Arizona St 2- 4 -2 2 - -3.82
1128 H Bemidji St 5- 3 2 2 -0.48
1129 A Bemidji St 2- 1 1 2 -1.46
1205 H St Cloud St 4- 3 1 1 -0.24
1205 H Alaska Anch 3- 2 1 4 - -3.22
1206 H St Cloud St 4- 2 2 1 0.76
1206 H Alaska Anch 4- 3 1 4 - -3.22
1207 H Augustana 4- 4 0 1 -1.12
1212 A Omaha 4- 1 3 2 1.17
1213 A Omaha 3- 1 2 2 0.17
102 A Mercyhurst 2- 0 2 4 - -2.23
103 A Mercyhurst 6- 1 5 4 0.77
109 H Colorado Col 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.04
110 H Colorado Col 5- 2 3 1 1.96
116 A Denver 5- 0 5 0 ++ 5.32
117 A Denver 2- 3 -1 0 -0.68
123 H Arizona St 7- 4 3 2 1.16
124 H Arizona St 5- 3 2 2 0.16
206 H Minn Duluth 2- 3 -1 0 -1.33
207 H Minn Duluth 4- 1 3 0 + 2.67
214 A Miami 4- 3 1 1 -0.40
220 A St Cloud St 4- 4 0 1 -1.22
221 A St Cloud St 6- 4 2 1 0.78
227 H Western Mich 5- 3 2 0 + 2.09
228 H Western Mich 3- 4 -1 0 -0.91
306 A Omaha 5- 3 2 2 0.17
307 A Omaha 5- 1 4 2 + 2.17
314 A Minn Duluth 1- 5 -4 0 -- -4.31
326 A Merrimack 3- 0 3 2 1.33
328 A Quinnipiac 5- 0 5 1 ++ 4.20
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1018 A Minnesota 1- 5 -4 2 -- -5.68 1024 H Clarkson 2- 5 -3 2 -- -5.42 314 A Minn Duluth 1- 5 -4 0 -- -4.31 1115 A Arizona St 2- 4 -2 2 - -3.82 1205 H Alaska Anch 3- 2 1 4 - -3.22 1206 H Alaska Anch 4- 3 1 4 - -3.22 102 A Mercyhurst 2- 0 2 4 - -2.23 109 H Colorado Col 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.04 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 116 A Denver 5- 0 5 0 ++ 5.32 328 A Quinnipiac 5- 0 5 1 ++ 4.20 1010 A St. Thomas 6- 2 4 2 + 2.36 1101 A Minn Duluth 5- 1 4 0 + 3.69 1107 H Omaha 7- 2 5 2 + 3.15 207 H Minn Duluth 4- 1 3 0 + 2.67 227 H Western Mich 5- 3 2 0 + 2.09 307 A Omaha 5- 1 4 2 + 2.17 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A St. Thomas (20-13, 97.9) 6- 2 -1.96 2.69 0.01 0.86 4.67
3 H St. Thomas (20-13, 97.9) 5- 2 -1.96 2.69 -0.01 0.86 4.63
3 A Minnesota (11-22, 97.9) 5- 2 -2.00 2.65 0.01 0.86 4.59
3 A Minnesota (11-22, 97.9) 1- 5 -2.00 2.65 0.01 0.86 -0.86
3 H Clarkson (18-19, 97.2) 2- 5 -2.73 1.92 -0.01 0.86 -1.18
3 H Clarkson (18-19, 97.2) 1- 0 -2.73 1.92 -0.01 0.86 3.30
3 A Minn Duluth (22-15, 99.3) 3- 4 -0.64 4.01 0.01 0.86 -0.27
3 A Minn Duluth (22-15, 99.3) 5- 1 -0.64 4.01 0.01 0.86 6.95
3 H Omaha (12-24, 97.7) 7- 2 -2.15 2.49 -0.01 0.86 4.29
3 H Omaha (12-24, 97.7) 4- 1 -2.15 2.49 -0.01 0.86 4.29
3 A Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 5- 2 -2.14 2.51 0.01 0.86 4.35
3 A Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 2- 4 -2.14 2.51 0.01 0.86 -0.92
3 H Bemidji St (11-19, 97.1) 5- 3 -2.79 1.86 -0.01 0.86 3.20
3 A Bemidji St (11-19, 97.1) 2- 1 -2.79 1.86 0.01 0.86 3.24
3 H St Cloud St (16-19, 98.4) 4- 3 -1.54 3.11 -0.01 0.86 5.35
3 H Alaska Anch ( 5-23, 95.4) 3- 2 -4.53 1.00 -0.01 0.86 1.71
3 H St Cloud St (16-19, 98.4) 4- 2 -1.54 3.11 -0.01 0.86 5.35
3 H Alaska Anch ( 5-23, 95.4) 4- 3 -4.53 1.00 -0.01 0.86 1.71
3 H Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 4- 4 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 0.86 0.00
3 A Omaha (12-24, 97.7) 4- 1 -2.15 2.49 0.01 0.86 4.33
3 A Omaha (12-24, 97.7) 3- 1 -2.15 2.49 0.01 0.86 4.33
3 A Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.4) 2- 0 -4.55 1.00 0.01 0.86 1.75
3 A Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.4) 6- 1 -4.55 1.00 0.01 0.86 1.75
3 H Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 2- 3 -1.34 3.31 -0.01 0.86 -0.58
3 H Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 5- 2 -1.34 3.31 -0.01 0.86 5.70
3 A Denver (27-11, 99.9) 5- 0 -0.00 4.65 0.01 0.86 8.05
3 A Denver (27-11, 99.9) 2- 3 -0.00 4.65 0.01 0.86 -0.00
3 H Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 7- 4 -2.14 2.51 -0.01 0.86 4.32
3 H Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 5- 3 -2.14 2.51 -0.01 0.86 4.32
3 H Minn Duluth (22-15, 99.3) 2- 3 -0.64 4.01 -0.01 0.86 -0.28
3 H Minn Duluth (22-15, 99.3) 4- 1 -0.64 4.01 -0.01 0.86 6.92
3 A Miami (18-16, 98.2) 1- 0 -1.73 2.92 0.01 0.86 5.07
3 A Miami (18-16, 98.2) 4- 3 -1.73 2.92 0.01 0.86 5.07
3 A St Cloud St (16-19, 98.4) 4- 4 -1.54 3.11 0.01 0.86 0.00
3 A St Cloud St (16-19, 98.4) 6- 4 -1.54 3.11 0.01 0.86 5.39
3 H Western Mich (27-11, 99.7) 5- 3 -0.21 4.44 -0.01 0.86 7.65
3 H Western Mich (27-11, 99.7) 3- 4 -0.21 4.44 -0.01 0.86 -0.10
3 A Omaha (12-24, 97.7) 5- 3 -2.15 2.49 0.01 0.86 4.33
3 A Omaha (12-24, 97.7) 5- 1 -2.15 2.49 0.01 0.86 4.33
3 A Minn Duluth (22-15, 99.3) 1- 5 -0.64 4.01 0.01 0.86 -0.27
3 A Merrimack (21-16, 97.9) 3- 0 -1.99 2.66 0.01 0.86 4.61
3 A Quinnipiac (27-11, 98.8) 5- 0 -1.13 3.52 0.01 0.86 6.10
------
137.18
|
winning pts = 141.6471 losing points = -4.4677
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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